Minnesota Twins vs. Atlanta Braves Free Pick

by | Last updated Jun 26, 2023 | mlb

Minnesota Twins vs. Atlanta Braves
Date: Monday, June 26th, 7:20 ET
Location: Truist Park
TV: MLBN
Money Line: Twins +171/Braves -204 (You need to be betting at reduced juice if you tend to bet on huge money line favorites. Find reduced odds at BAS Sportsbook!)
Total Line: 8.5

Betting Preview

Here’s our betting preview for the upcoming MLB clash between the Atlanta Braves and the Twins on Monday, June 26th at Truist Park. We provide you with a comprehensive analysis, odds, and predictions to help with your handicapping decision or tail our expert based on the projected lineups and listed starting pitchers.

Betting Odds

ML RL Total
MIN +171 +1.5 O 8.5 (-104)
ATL -204 -1.5 U 8.5 (-118)

Twins vs. Braves Projected Lineup

 

Batting Order Position
Edouard Julien 1 2B
Carlos Correa 2 SS
Alex Kirilloff 3 1B
Byron Buxton 4 DH
Max Kepler 5 RF
Royce Lewis 6 SS
Joey Gallo 7 RF
Christian Vázquez 8 C
Michael A. Taylor 9 CF
Sonny Gray SP

 

Batting Order Position
Ronald Acuña Jr. 1 RF
Ozzie Albies 2 2B
Austin Riley 3 3B
Sean Murphy 4 C
Matt Olson 5 1B
Marcell Ozuna 6 DH
Eddie Rosario 7 LF
Orlando Arcia 8 2B
Michael Harris II 9 CF
Spencer Strider SP

 

Straight Up/Over-Under/ Runline Record

Minnesota Twins: 40-39 SU / OU 34-40 / Runline 40-39
Atlanta Braves: 50-27 SU / OU 44-29 / Runline 37-40

Currently, the Twins are first in the AL Central with a record of 40-39. Over their last ten games, Minnesota has gone .500 at 5-5. On the road, they have put together a record of 17-20 and are 23-19 at home. The club’s overall series record stands at 10-11-3.

 

  • The Twins have covered the runline in 50.6% of their games and have an average run margin of 0.4
  • The Twins have been favored in 64.6% of their games and have runline records of 18-24 and 22-15 at home and on the road, respectively
  • So far, the Twins have an over/under record of just 34-40.

The Braves take on the Twins in the middle of a two-game winning streak and are leading the NL East on an overall record of 50-27. So far, they are 26-12 on the road and 24-15 at home. Atlanta’s overall series record stands at 18-5-2.

 

  • The Braves have three straight losses vs. the runline and have a season-long run margin of 1.4.
  • The Braves have been favored in 85.7% of their games and have runline records of 16-23 and 21-17 at home and on the road, respectively
  • The over has hit in 60% of the Braves’ 77 games at 44-29.

Pitching Matchup

Pitcher Appearances Started IP Record ERA WHIP HR
Sonny Gray 15 15 81 4-1 2.56 1.30 2

 

Sonny Gray has an overall record of 4-1, and will get the start for the Twins. With 15 appearances, his ERA currently stands at 2.56, while his K/9 figure is 1.0. Additionally, he has a FIP of 2.70 and an OBP of .301.

Giving up three runs and six hits during his last appearance against the Red Sox, Sonny Gray did not factor into the decision. Yet, the Twins managed to win the game by a score of 5-4.

Pitcher Appearances Started IP Record ERA WHIP HR
Spencer Strider 15 15 84 8-2 3.93 1.15 12

 

Across 15 appearances, Spencer Strider has a slugging percentage allowed of .361 and enters with a WHIP of 1.15. His overall record is 8-2 on an ERA of 3.93. For the season, he has a total of 136 K’s, and is averaging 1.6 strikeouts per nine innings. Strider’s record on the road is 6-1 and 2-1 at home. This includes an ERA of 3.66 (road) and 5.49 (home), respectively.

The Braves picked up a win the last time Spencer Strider took the mound, taking down the Phillies by a score of 4-2. In six innings of work, he allowed eight hits and one earned run while adding a W to his record.

Twins vs. Braves Offense Outlook

The Twins have played 79 games and are currently ranked 16th in the league, averaging 4.3 runs per game. Minnesota ranks 7th in home runs, (103) and have a collective batting average of .232, including .214 on the road and .238 at home.

Minnesota Twins Top Bats

BA OBP SLG RBI HR SB
Byron Buxton .206 .304 .440 27 13 6
Carlos Correa .216 .293 .413 37 11 0
Michael A. Taylor .212 .255 .404 24 10 11

 

Minnesota Twins Top Hitters: Last Five Games

Player BA H R HR SLG
Royce Lewis .400 8 4 1 .600
Max Kepler .250 5 2 2 .550
Carlos Correa .190 4 3 2 .490
Byron Buxton .150 3 3 2 .500
Willi Castro .350 4 4 0 .350

 

The Braves have played 78 games so far and have an average of 5.6 runs per game, putting them 3rd in the league. Atlanta has hit 139 home runs, ranking them 1st in the MLB. Their overall batting average is .271 while hitting .252 on the road and .271 at home.

Atlanta Braves Top Bats

BA OBP SLG RBI HR SB
Ronald Acuña Jr. .328 .402 .561 47 16 35
Matt Olson .236 .350 .541 60 25 1
Ozzie Albies .266 .319 .502 55 18 6

 

Atlanta Braves Top Hitters: Last Five Games

Player BA H R HR SLG
Matt Olson .280 6 7 5 1.020
Austin Riley .290 7 8 2 .570
Ronald Acuña Jr. .357 9 4 1 .543
Ozzie Albies .230 5 4 1 .420
Marcell Ozuna .287 6 2 2 .557

 

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