MLB Best Bet: A’s vs. Yankees

by | Jun 29, 2022 | mlb

Oakland Athletics vs New York Yankees

Date: Wednesday, June 29th, 01:05 ET

Location: Yankee Stadium

TV: NBCSCA

Money Line: Athletics +210 / Yankees -260 (Bovada - Deposit $100 and get $50 FREE!)

Total Line: 8.5

STARTING PITCHING

Oakland: Cole Irvin (2-5, 3.16)
New York: Jameson Taillon (8-1, 3.19)

Athletics Projected Lineup

Jonah Bride 3B
Nick Allen 2B
Sheldon Neuse 3B
Ramón Laureano RF
Elvis Andrus SS
Cristian Pache CF
Sean Murphy C
Seth Brown 1B
Tony Kemp LF
Cole Irvin P

Yankees Projected Lineup

Isiah Kiner-Falefa SS
Jose Trevino C
Josh Donaldson 3B
Aaron Judge CF
Gleyber Torres 2B
DJ LeMahieu 2B
Aaron Hicks LF
Anthony Rizzo 1B
Giancarlo Stanton RF
Jameson Taillon P

STRAIGHT UP/ OVER/UNDER / RUN LINE RECORDS

Oakland Athletics: 25-51-0 SU / OU 32-37-7 / Run Line W/L 35-41-0
New York Yankees: 55-20-0 SU / OU 34-39-2 / Run Line W/L 38-37-0

The New York Yankees host the Oakland Athletics on Wednesday, June 29th at Yankee Stadium. The first pitch in this matchup is scheduled for 01:05 ET. The MLB Odds Board places New York as the favorite (-260), with an OU line set at 8.5.

Recent Form

After suffering a 1-run loss to the Yankees (2-1), the Athletics will look to get back in the win column. Even in the loss, the pitching staff gave up just 2 runs while allowing 5 hits. On offense, the Athletics finished with 1 run on 6 hits. The loss came as Oakland was the betting underdog, getting 165.0 on the moneyline. Combined, the Athletics and Yankees fell short of the over-under betting line of 8.0 runs. This outcome pushed Oakland’s over-under record further below .500 at 32-37-7.

Over the Athletics’ last 5 contests, they have a record of just 2-3. In this rough stretch of games, the team’s run differential comes in at -3. Compared to their overall average of 3.17 runs per game, the team’s offense is playing well. Over their last 5 contests, they have bumped this figure up to 4.2. Oakland’s overall series record is just 5-18-1.

In their last game, the Yankees picked up a close win over the Athletics by a score of 2-1. For the game, the pitching staff held the Athletics to 1 run on 6 hits. The Yankees offense ended the game with just 2 runs on 5 hits. New York picked up the win while being favored at -200.0. For the season, the team has been favored in 70 games, winning at a rate of 73.0%. Combined, the Yankees and Athletics’ run total fell below the over-under line of 8.0 runs. This result comes as no surprise, as the team’s over-under record is just 34-39-2.

Across their last 5 contests, the Yankees are above .500, going 3-2. Their recent success is backed by an average scoring margin of +3 (last 5). New York has benefited from strong pitching, as their offense has slipped in their last 5 games, averaging just 3.6 runs per game. Their overall average sits at 5.04. On the season, New York has won more than half of their series, going 19-2-3.

Pitching Matchup

The Oakland Athletics will send Cole Irvin to the mound with an overall record of 2-5. In his previous outings, Irvin has lasted an average of 5.67 innings, putting together an ERA of just 3.16. Across his previous starts, opposing teams have put together a batting average of 0.257. Opponents are hitting for power against Irvin, as his HR/9 figure sits at 1.19. Overall, he is averaging 3.92 per game, on a K rate of 16.0%. Throughout the season, Irvin has avoided walking batters, allowing just 2.24 per contest.

The New York Yankees will send Jameson Taillon to the mound with an overall record of 8-1. Through 14 appearances, Taillon has an ERA of just 3.19 while averaging 5.64 innings per appearance. Across his previous starts, opposing teams have put together a batting average of 0.256. Opposing batters are hitting for power at a below-average rate against Taillon, as he is allowing just 0.91 per 9 innings. In terms of strikeouts, Jameson Taillon has a strong K% of 20.0%, including a per game average of 4.5. Taillon has done a good job at limiting walks, averaging just 1.03 per contest.

Oakland vs New York History

Today’s matchup between the Oakland Athletics and New York Yankees will be their 3rd meeting of the season. New York holds the edge in the series at 2-0. The over-under record in this series sits at 1-1. The average run total in these games is 7.86 runs per game. In these matchups, the average scoring differential sits at 2.5 runs. Dating back to last season, the New York picked up 4 wins compared to 3, taking the season series. The over-under record in last year’s matchups was 3-4, with the average run total being 7.86 runs per game. On average, the winning team won by a margin of 2.14 runs per contest.

Betting Trends

  • Oakland is 6-2 ATS in its last 8 games when playing on the road against NY Yankees
  • The total has gone UNDER in 6 of Oakland’s last 8 games when playing on the road against NY Yankees
  • NY Yankees is 18-2 SU in its last 20 games at home
  • NY Yankees is 6-1 SU in its last 7 games when playing at home against Oakland

Oakland Athletics at New York Yankees Prediction

Heading into Wednesday’s American League matchup between Oakland and New York, the Yankees are the heavy favorite on the moneyline. Look for Jameson Taillon to bounce back from a rough outing vs Houston to lockdown a below-average A’s lineup. I like the Yankees to cover the runline.

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