MLB Picks: Astros vs. Yankees 8/4/23

by | Last updated Aug 4, 2023 | mlb

Houston Astros vs. New York Yankees
Date: Friday, August 4th, 7:05 ET
Location: Yankee Stadium
TV: APLTV
Money Line: Astros -141/Yankees +119 (Stop overpaying for odds! Risk less at BAS!)
Total Line: 9

Betting Preview

Here’s our betting preview for the upcoming MLB clash between the New York Yankees and the Astros on Friday, August 4th at Yankee Stadium. We provide you with a comprehensive analysis, odds, and predictions to help with your handicapping decision or tail our expert based on the projected lineups and listed starting pitchers.

Betting Odds

ML RL Total
HOU -141 -1.5 O 9 (-119)
NYY +119 +1.5 U 9 (-103)

Astros vs. Yankees Projected Lineup

 

Batting Order Position
Jose Altuve 1 2B
Jeremy Peña 2 SS
Kyle Tucker 3 RF
Alex Bregman 4 3B
Yordan Alvarez 5 DH
José Abreu 6 1B
Chas McCormick 7 CF
Corey Julks 8 LF
Martín Maldonado 9 C
Hunter Brown SP

 

Batting Order Position
Gleyber Torres 1 2B
Aaron Judge 2 RF
Giancarlo Stanton 3 DH
Billy McKinney 4 LF
DJ LeMahieu 5 3B
Jake Bauers 6 1B
Harrison Bader 7 CF
Anthony Volpe 8 SS
Kyle Higashioka 9 C
Luis Severino SP

 

Straight Up/Over-Under/ Runline Record

Houston Astros: 62-48 SU / OU 53-55 / Runline 56-54
New York Yankees: 57-52 SU / OU 48-56 / Runline 56-53

The Astros head into today’s game vs. the Yankees with an overall record of 62-48. This mark has them sitting 2nd in the AL West. Currently, they are 1.5 games out of the division lead. Over their last five games, they are 3-2 and have a road and home record of 31-23 and 31-25, respectively. Houston’s overall series record sits at 19-14-2.

 

  • The Astros have two straight losses vs. the runline and have a season-long run margin of 0.6.
  • The Astros have been favored in 70.0% of their games and have runline records of 25-31 and 31-23 at home and on the road, respectively
  • So far, the Astros have an over/under record of just 53-55.

As they take on the Astros, the Yankees have an overall record of 57-52 and are currently last in the AL East. However, they have rattled off two straight wins. At home, New York has a mark of 34-26 compared to 23-26 on the road. Their series record sits at 16-14-6.

 

  • The Yankees have covered the runline in two straight games and have a season-long run margin of 0.1.
  • The Yankees have been favored in 64.2% of their games and have runline records of 29-31 and 27-22 at home and on the road, respectively
  • So far, the Yankees have an over/under record of just 48-56.

Pitching Matchup

Pitcher Appearances Started IP Record ERA WHIP HR
Hunter Brown 20 20 111 7-7 4.12 1.30 13

 

Hunter Brown heads into the game with an overall record of 7-7 and an ERA of 4.12. In his 11 appearances on the road, he has an ERA of 4.17 and record of 4-3. At home, he has put together a mark of 3-4 and ERA of 5.62. His season-long WHIP stands at 1.30, accompanied by a batting average allowed of .251. Teams facing him have amassed a slugging percentage of .397.

The last time Hunter Brown took to the mound, he secured a quality start and a win for his team, who won by a final score of 17-4 against the Rays. Brown gave up two runs and four hits across six innings.

Pitcher Appearances Started IP Record ERA WHIP HR
Luis Severino 12 12 57 2-5 7.49 1.84 15

 

With an overall record of 2-5, Luis Severino gets the start for New York. His ERA stands at 7.49 with a K/9 figure of 7.8 after making 12 appearances. Additionally, he has a FIP of 6.27 and an OBP of .372.

In Luis Severino’s last outing, the Yankees lost by a score of 9-3 to the Orioles. In the game, he allowed nine runs on 10 hits over 3 1/3 innings.

Astros vs. Yankees Offense Outlook

For the season, the Astros are one of the top home runs hitting teams in the league with a total of 139 home runs (10th). So far, Houston is averaging 4.7 runs per game with a collective batting average of .250. When playing at home, the Astros have a slugging percentage of .414 compared to .396 at home.

Houston Astros Top Bats

BA OBP SLG RBI HR SB
Kyle Tucker .299 .377 .513 75 19 20
Alex Bregman .251 .346 .422 69 18 3
Yordan Alvarez .291 .399 .604 59 19 0

 

Houston Astros Top Hitters: Last Five Games

Player BA H R HR SLG
Kyle Tucker .317 6 2 1 .583
Chas McCormick .292 4 2 2 .792
Jose Altuve .340 6 4 0 .340
Yordan Alvarez .354 5 2 1 .666
Jeremy Peña .300 4 2 0 .400

 

The Yankees have played 110 games so far and are ranked 19th in the league with an average of 4.3 runs per game. In terms of home runs, they are 7th (150) and their overall batting average stands at .230. This includes a BA of .224 on the road and .224 at home.

New York Yankees Top Bats

BA OBP SLG RBI HR SB
Gleyber Torres .263 .326 .430 45 16 9
Anthony Volpe .215 .291 .384 39 14 20
Anthony Rizzo .244 .328 .378 41 12 0

 

New York Yankees Top Hitters: Last Five Games

Player BA H R HR SLG
Giancarlo Stanton .200 4 3 2 .500
Anthony Volpe .383 6 1 1 .600
Jake Bauers .213 4 2 2 .640
Gleyber Torres .373 7 3 0 .513
Harrison Bader .383 4 4 0 .633

 

Free MLB Pick

Houston Astros -140. Luis Severino has looked horrible lately and has allowed seven earned runs or more in three of his last five starts. I’m betting on the Astros Friday night solely based on his ineffectiveness. This is a guy that has struggled to stay healthy over the course of his career. I’m guessing he’s hiding an injury or his previous injuries have negatively affected his mechanics. Bet your MLB predictions for FREE this week by scoring a 100% real cash bonus up to $300 when you enter bonus promo code PREDICT100 when you sign up for a betting account at MyBookie Sportsbook!

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