MLB Picks: Phillies vs. Mariners 5/10/22

by | May 10, 2022 | mlb

Philadelphia Phillies vs Seattle Mariners

Date: Tuesday, May 10th, 09:40 ET

Location: T-Mobile Park

TV: ROOTNW

Money Line: Phillies -110 / Mariners -110 (GTBets - 100% REAL CASH BONUS up to $500!)

Total Line: 7.0

STARTING PITCHING

Philadelphia: Aaron Nola (1-3, 3.38)
Seattle: Robbie Ray (3-1, 1.74)

Phillies Projected Lineup

2B Jean Segura
3B Johan Camargo
C J.T. Realmuto
LF Kyle Schwarber
CF Matt Vierling
RF Bryce Harper
1B Rhys Hoskins
3B Alec Bohm
RF Nick Castellanos

Mariners Projected Lineup

CF Julio Rodriguez
RF Jarred Kelenic
SS J.P. Crawford
3B Abraham Toro
C Luis Torrens
LF Jesse Winker
3B Eugenio Suárez
2B Adam Frazier
1B Ty France

STRAIGHT UP/ OVER/UNDER / RUN LINE RECORDS

Philadelphia Phillies: 13-16-0 SU / OU 14-13-2 / Run Line W/L 13-16-0
Seattle Mariners: 13-17-0 SU / OU 15-14-1 / Run Line W/L 15-15-0

The Seattle Mariners host the Philadelphia Phillies on Tuesday, May 10th at T-Mobile Park. The first pitch in this matchup is scheduled for 09:40 ET. The MLB Odds Board places Seattle as the favorite (-110), with an OU line set at 7.0.

Recent Form

The Philadelphia Phillies will look to pick up another big win, after they defeated Seattle by a score of 9-0. On their way to the victory, the pitching staff gave up 0 runs on 4 hits. The Phillies benefited from an offense that generated 9 runs on 9 hits. In the matchup, Philadelphia was favored at -110.0 on the moneyline. Through 20 games as the favorite, the team has found the win column at a rate of 50.0%. Together, the Phillies and Seattle combined to surpass the over-under betting line set at 7.5 runs. This result being part of a larger trend, as Philadelphia has the over has hit in more than half of their games (14-13-2).

Over the Phillies’ last 5 contests, they have a record of just 2-3. Even with this record, their scoring differential during this time is 3. During this stretch, the offense is averaging 4.2 runs per game, similar to their season-long average of 4.52. Philadelphia’s overall series record is just 3-7-0.

In their last game, the Seattle Mariners picked up a 9-run win over the Phillies by a score of 9-0. In the game, the team’s pitching staff allowed a total of 4 hits, leading to 0 runs. Offensively, they finished with 9 runs on 9 hits. Seattle dropped the game despite being favored at -110.0. So far, the team has won 62.0% of the games in which they were favored. In terms of the over-under, the Mariners and Phillies combined to surpass the line of 7.5 runs. For the season, the team’s OU record is (15-14-1).

The Mariners come into today’s game looking to turn things around, as they are just 1-4 over their last 5 games. During this time, the team has a run differential of -16. If Seattle is going to pick up their play, they need to improve their offensive performance. Over their last 5 contests, they are averaging just 2.8 runs per game, compared to a season average of 3.93. Seattle has a below .500 series record of just 3-6-1.

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Pitching Matchup

For the Phillies, Aaron Nola gets the start. Heading into action, he has a record of 1-3. Currently, Nola has a strong ERA of just 3.38, while pitching an average of 5.7 innings per outing. So far, batters are hitting just 0.197 against him. On the season, Aaron Nola has had no problem racking up strikeouts, posting a strikeout percentage of 31.0%, while averaging 6.8 K’s per game. Leading into the game, he has shown a strong command of his pitches, averaging just 1.56 walks per contest.

Seattle will send Robbie Ray to the mound with a record of 3-1. Heading into his matchup vs Philadelphia, Ray has a strong ERA, sitting at just 1.74. This has come while averaging 6.2 innings per start. On the season, opposing team’s have put together a batting average of 0.209 against Ray. In addition, opposing teams are hitting home runs at a below-average at rate against him. So far, he has a HR/9 figure of just 0.29. A strength of Robbie Ray’s game is his ability to generate swings and misses, striking out batters at a rate of 31.0%. Throughout the season, his strong command has led to an average of just 2.03 walks per contest.

Philadelphia vs Seattle History

Today’s matchup between the Philadelphia Phillies and Seattle Mariners will be their 1 first meeting of the season. with Philadelphia leading the season series, 1-0. Through 1 game, the series’ over-under record is 1-0, with the average run total sitting at nan runs per game. In these matchups, the average scoring differential sits at 9.0 runs.

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Betting Trends

  • The total has gone OVER in 5 of Philadelphia’s last 6 games when playing Seattle
  • Philadelphia is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games when playing on the road against Seattle
  • The total has gone OVER in 5 of Seattle’s last 6 games when playing Philadelphia
  • The total has gone OVER in 5 of Seattle’s last 7 games at home

Philadelphia Phillies at Seattle Mariners Prediction

The over-under line for this interleague matchup comes in at 7 runs. With Robbie Ray on the mound and Aaron Nola facing a struggling Mariners offense, I see runs being at a premium. I recommend taking the under.

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