Royals vs. Rangers Total Play & Side Lean

by | May 10, 2022 | mlb

Kansas City Royals (9-16) vs. Texas Rangers (11-15)

When: 8:05 p.m., Tuesday, May 10

Where: Globe Life Field, Arlington, Texas

Moneyline: KC +125/TEX -145 (Get better lines - It pays to bet at the best!)

Runline: Royals +1.5/Rangers -1.5

Total: 8

Starting Pitchers: Brad Keller (1-2, 1.74 ERA, 0.84 WHIP) vs. Martin Perez (0-2, 2.25 ERA, 1.04 WHIP)

Free of the Pressure

2022 is looking like the ideal season for Brad Keller, as the Royals’ starter is beginning to show signs of becoming the pitcher that Kansas City thought he would become when they took a flier on him as an 18-year-old back in 2013. Keller has only really had one normal season to make his mark as a starter, which came in 2019 before two years of COVID-addled baseball put his development on the back burner to an extent.
In this season, the pandemic is mostly in the past, and the Royals clearly aren’t going to contend for anything this season, which has allowed Keller to just relax and pitch. He’s done that reasonably well to this point, as only Seattle has managed to tag him for more than two earned runs in 2022. Not coincidentally, that’s the only game in which Keller didn’t make it through the sixth inning. Keller is a rarity in the modern game: a pitcher who is comfortable going six or seven innings and able to get outs without having to rely on strikeouts. He’s only averaging four strikeouts per game, yet he’s been Kansas City’s most reliable pitcher this season.

So If You Love Texas…

Martin Perez certainly seems to be a fan of the Lone Star State, as a return to Dallas-Fort Worth seems to be exactly what his career needed. Perez’s career numbers suggest that he’s due for a regression to the mean, as he’s posted an ERA around 4.50 for his career, but so far, so good in his second stint in Arlington. In his past 20 innings, he’s been lights-out, giving up one earned run and eight hits overall. What’s more, that cannot all be attributed to pitching in pitcher-friendly Globe Life Field, as he’s pitched two of his past three starts away from home.
So far, playing the under has been the way to bet when Perez takes the mound, as the Rangers aren’t giving him much in the way of run support. In four of his five trips to the mound, the Rangers haven’t scored more than twice, and the two teams haven’t combined for more than five runs for the game.

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Home Is Less Than Sweet

Usually, the home field is supposed to provide a sizable advantage for the team playing on its field, but that has not been the case for the Rangers in 2022. So far, Texas has been a terrible home bet in 2022, going just 4-9 in Arlington against a 7-7 mark on the road. Part of that could be because Texas has faced one of the tougher home slates in the majors, as Houston, Atlanta, and the Angels have all visited Globe Life Field in the early going.They’ve got the right opponent to get things turned around against; Kansas City has won just one of its three road series and has a mere three wins away from home on the campaign. Get our Phillies at Mariners O/U Wager >>>

Betting Trends

  • The Royals are 8-23 in their past 31 games as an underdog.
  • The Royals are 2-7 in their past nine games overall.
  • The Rangers are 5-2 in their past seven games overall.
  • The Rangers are 4-10 in their past 14 home games.
  • The under is 3-1-1 in the Royals’ past five road games.
  • The under is 5-2 in the Royals’ past seven series openers.
  • The under is 4-0 in the Rangers’ past four games overall.
  • The under is 9-2-1 in the Rangers’ past 12 games as a favorite.
  • The Rangers have won 26 of the last 33 meetings with the Royals.
  • The under is 37-10-7 in the past 54 matchups between the teams.

Weather Report

High wind could be a factor if the roof stays open, as it’s set to blow down the left-field line at 13 miles per hour, but with temperatures pushing 88 degrees at first pitch, the Rangers will likely close the roof.

Dan’s Pick

The Royals have been genuinely awful against the Rangers over the past few seasons, so I don’t really feel comfortable in taking Kansas City to get a win here even though Texas has struggled at home. My preferred bet is the under, as I don’t see either of these teams putting up a lot of runs. I’ll probably stay away from the money line because Texas does its best work as an underdog, but if I have to make a play there, I’ll back the Rangers. Bet your baseball predictions for FREE today by taking advantage of a 100% REAL CASH bonus on your first deposit of $100 to $300 at MyBookie Sportsbook! (Must use bonus code PREDICT100).

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