MLB Picks: Royals vs. Angels 4/23/23
Kansas City Royals vs. Los Angeles Angels
Date: Sunday, April 23rd, 4:07 ET
Location: Angel Stadium of Anaheim
TV: BSW
Money Line: Royals +171/Angels -203 (Did you know you can bet at discounted odds?)
Total Line: 9.5
Betting Preview
Here’s our betting preview for the upcoming MLB clash between the Los Angeles Angels and the Royals on Sunday, April 23rd at Angel Stadium of Anaheim. We provide you with a comprehensive analysis, odds, and predictions to help with your handicapping decision or tail our expert based on the projected lineups and listed starting pitchers.
Betting Odds
| ML | RL | Total | |
|---|---|---|---|
 |
+171 | +1.5 | O 9.5 (-112) |
 |
-203 | -1.5 | U 9.5 (-108) |
Royals vs. Angels Projected Lineup
|
Batting Order | Position |
|---|---|---|
| Bobby Witt Jr. | 1 | SS |
| Edward Olivares | 2 | RF |
| Vinnie Pasquantino | 3 | 1B |
| Salvador Perez | 4 | C |
| Matt Duffy | 5 | 3B |
| Nicky Lopez | 6 | 2B |
| Hunter Dozier | 7 | 1B |
| Nate Eaton | 8 | RF |
| Jackie Bradley Jr. | 9 | RF |
| Jordan Lyles | – | SP |
|
Batting Order | Position |
|---|---|---|
| Taylor Ward | 1 | RF |
| Shohei Ohtani | 2 | DH |
| Mike Trout | 3 | CF |
| Anthony Rendon | 4 | 3B |
| Hunter Renfroe | 5 | RF |
| Jake Lamb | 6 | 3B |
| Brandon Drury | 7 | 3B |
| Zach Neto | 8 | SS |
| Matt Thaiss | 9 | C |
| Reid Detmers | – | SP |
Straight Up/Over-Under/ Runline Record
Kansas City Royals: 5-16 SU / OU 12-8 / Runline 6-15
For the season, the Royals have put together a record of 5-16, including going just 2-8 over their last ten games. In the AL Central standings, they are 5th, trailing by six games. This year, they have gone 1-12 at home and 4-4 on the road with an overall series mark of 1-5.
- The Royals have covered the runline in 28.6% of their games and have an average run margin of -2.4
- The Royals have been favored in 4.8% of their games and have runline records of 2-11 and 4-4 at home and on the road, respectively
- The over has hit in 60% of the Royals’ 21 games at 12-8.
Heading into today’s action, the Angels’ record of 10-11 has them sitting 4th in the AL West. Currently, they are 3.5 games out of the division lead. Over their last five games, they are 2-3 and have a road and home record of 6-7 and 4-4, respectively. Los Angeles’ overall series record sits at 3-3.
- The Angels have covered the runline in 42.9% of their games and have an average run margin of 0.3
- The Angels have been favored in 71.4% of their games and have runline records of 3-5 and 6-7 at home and on the road, respectively
- So far, the Angels have an over/under record of just 10-11.
MLB Betting Guide
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Pitching Matchup
| Pitcher | Appearances | Started | IP | Record | ERA | WHIP | HR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jordan Lyles | 4 | 4 | 25 | 0-3 | 3.91 | 1.22 | 4 |
Starter Jordan Lyles comes in with an overall record of 0-3 for the Royals. Having made four appearances, his ERA is 3.91 and he has a K/9 figure of 0.7. Additionally, he has a FIP of 4.80 and an OBP of .290.
Despite Lyles’ efforts, the Royals suffered a defeat in his last outing against the Rangers, with him being charged with the loss. He gave up four runs in eight innings of work.
| Pitcher | Appearances | Started | IP | Record | ERA | WHIP | HR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Reid Detmers | 3 | 3 | 16 | 0-1 | 4.50 | 1.31 | 2 |
The Angels will turn to starter Reid Detmers who has an overall record of 0-1. Through three appearances his ERA stands at 4.50 with a K/9 figure of 1.2. So far, he has put together of FIP of 4.09 to go along with an OBP of .329.
Despite Detmers’ efforts, the Angels suffered a defeat in his last outing against the Red Sox, with him being charged with the loss. He gave up two runs in 6 1/3 innings of work.
Royals vs. Angels Offense Outlook
Through 21 games the Royals are 28th in the league at 3.3 runs per game. In terms of home runs, Kansas City is 28th having gone deep 14 times. In terms of batting average, they have hit .210 including .230 on the road and .183 at home.
Kansas City Royals Top Hitters vs. Lefties
| Player | BA | HR | SLG | WOBA |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Matt Duffy | .357 | 1 | .571 | .402 |
| Bobby Witt Jr. | .267 | 2 | .667 | .412 |
| Franmil Reyes | .308 | 1 | .538 | .338 |
| Salvador Perez | .200 | 1 | .467 | .309 |
| Vinnie Pasquantino | .200 | 0 | .267 | .287 |
Kansas City Royals Top Hitters: Last Five Games
| Player | BA | H | R | HR | SLG |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bobby Witt Jr. | .190 | 4 | 2 | 1 | .440 |
| Matt Duffy | .283 | 5 | 3 | 0 | .383 |
| MJ Melendez | .150 | 3 | 1 | 0 | .250 |
| Salvador Perez | .200 | 4 | 3 | 0 | .350 |
| Vinnie Pasquantino | .200 | 4 | 2 | 0 | .250 |
The Angels have played 21 games and have an average of 4.8 runs per game, which puts them 13th in the league. Los Angeles has hit 25 home runs (11th). Their batting average comes in at .241, while hitting .235 on the road and .239 at home.
Los Angeles Angels Top Hitters vs. Righties
| Player | BA | HR | SLG | WOBA |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mike Trout | .280 | 2 | .500 | .411 |
| Taylor Ward | .241 | 2 | .379 | .323 |
| Shohei Ohtani | .260 | 2 | .420 | .344 |
| Gio Urshela | .260 | 1 | .340 | .288 |
| Hunter Renfroe | .193 | 2 | .386 | .302 |
Los Angeles Angels Top Hitters: Last Five Games
| Player | BA | H | R | HR | SLG |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Shohei Ohtani | .117 | 2 | 2 | 1 | .317 |
| Hunter Renfroe | .350 | 7 | 4 | 2 | .750 |
| Mike Trout | .388 | 7 | 2 | 1 | .600 |
| Zach Neto | .233 | 4 | 1 | 0 | .367 |
| Matt Thaiss | .125 | 2 | 3 | 1 | .312 |
Free MLB Pick
The Royals knocked it out of the park yesterday, scoring a whopping 11 runs, which could mean their batters are finally hitting their stride. They’re up against lefty Reid Detmers today, and even though they haven’t been crushing lefties, their stats show a solid 4.84 R/9 against left-handed pitchers compared to just 2.82 against righties. Detmers only faced the Royals once before, and they put up 5 runs in 5 innings against him.
As for the Angels, they managed to score 8 runs yesterday, bouncing back from a slump where they couldn’t get more than 3 runs in three straight games. They have a good chance of keeping that momentum against Royals starter Jordan Lyles, with the roster having a combined .318 batting average across 88 at-bats. Of those 28 hits, 13 were for extra bases. Plus, the Royals’ bullpen has been a disaster, with a 6.69 ERA. Even if Lyles starts off strong, the Angels still have a shot at scoring a bunch of runs later in the game.
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