New York Mets vs. Boston Red Sox Odds, Stats, Free Pick

New York Mets vs. Boston Red Sox
Date: Saturday, July 22nd, 7:10 ET
Location: Fenway Park
TV: FS1
Money Line: Mets +100/Red Sox -118 (Did you know you can bet at reduced odds for free at BetAnySports Sportsbook?)
Total Line: 9

Betting Preview

Here’s our betting preview for the upcoming MLB clash between the Boston Red Sox and the Mets on Saturday, July 22nd at Fenway Park. We provide you with a comprehensive analysis, odds, and predictions to help with your handicapping decision or tail our expert based on the projected lineups and listed starting pitchers.

Betting Odds

Mets vs. Red Sox Projected Lineup

Straight Up/Over-Under/ Runline Record

New York Mets: 45-51 SU / OU 39-51 / Runline 37-59
Boston Red Sox: 51-46 SU / OU 52-43 / Runline 50-47

The Mets head into today’s game vs. the Red Sox with an overall record of 45-51. This mark has them sitting 4th in the NL East. Currently, they are 18 games out of the division lead. Over their last five games, they are 3-2 and have a road and home record of 22-29 and 23-22, respectively. New York’s overall series record sits at 10-17-4.

• The Mets have covered the runline in 38.5% of their games and have an average run margin of -0.1
• The Mets have been favored in 66.7% of their games and have runline records of 17-28 and 20-31 at home and on the road, respectively
• So far, the Mets have an over/under record of just 39-51.

Heading into their game vs. the Mets, the Red Sox have a record of 51-46 and have dropped two straight games. In the AL East, they are in 4th place and have an overall series record of 17-11-3. At home, they have gone 26-22 and 25-24 on the road.

• The Red Sox have two straight losses vs. the runline and have a season-long run margin of 0.4.
• The Red Sox have been favored in 45.4% of their games and have runline records of 23-25 and 27-22 at home and on the road, respectively
• The over has hit in 55% of the Red Sox’s 97 games at 52-43.

Pitching Matchup

Entering with a record of 8-3, Max Scherzer is making his 18th appearance of the season. So far, he has an ERA of 3.99 on a batting average allowed of .236. On the road, he is 6-3 with a 5.39 ERA and 2-0 at home on an ERA of 3.41. For the season, teams have a slugging percentage of .419 against him.

In his last outing, Max Scherzer did not factor into the decision in the Mets’ 2-1 win over the Dodgers. However, he did finish with a quality start, allowing zero runs on one hit across seven innings of work.

Across his 11 outings, James Paxton has a record of 5-2 and ERA of 3.51. One thing to note, is that he has given up a home run in each of his last two appearances. As he takes the mound, his WHIP sits at 1.03 with an OBP allowed of .265. Paxton’s strikeout to walk ratio is 68/17.

His last time on the mound, the Red Sox fell to the Cubs by a score of 10-4. In the game, he allowed six earned runs on three hits in what turned out to be a short outing.

Mets vs. Red Sox Offense Outlook

After 97 games, the Mets are ranked 18th in the league with an average of 4.4 runs per game. New York ranks 9th in home runs (121) while their overall batting average is .237. On the road, they have a BA of .235 and .218 at home.

New York Mets Top Bats

New York Mets Top Hitters: Last Five Games

This season, Boston is ranked 7th in the league for runs scored, averaging 5 runs per game. They have hit a combined total of 105 home runs, which puts them 15th in the MLB. Their current batting average of .263 is 4th in the league. On the road, their batting average sits 19th, compared to 1st at home.

Boston Red Sox Top Hitters vs. Righties

Boston Red Sox Top Hitters: Last Five Games

Free MLB Pick

Red Sox starter James Paxton is coming off his worst out of the season, where he was rocked for six runs in just three innings pitched. That said, he was on a nice streak that saw him record five quality starts in his previous six games. Boston comes into this game hot, winners of eight of ten, although four of those wins came against the A’s. The Mets Scherzer had one of his better starts in his latest but has been a bit inconsistent this season, allowing four or more runs in six of his 17 starts, and does bring a 4.92 road ERA into this game. Take Boston -117. Bet your MLB predictions for FREE this week by scoring a massive 75% real cash bonus when you use BTC to deposit at Bovada Sportsbook!