New York Mets vs. Boston Red Sox Pick 7/21/23

New York Mets vs. Boston Red Sox
Date: Friday, July 21st, 7:10 ET
Location: Fenway Park
TV: MLBN
Money Line: Mets +102/Red Sox -121 (Why pay more for odds? Pay less at BAS!)
Total Line: 9.5

Betting Preview

Here’s our betting preview for the upcoming MLB clash between the Boston Red Sox and the Mets on Friday, July 21st at Fenway Park. We provide you with a comprehensive analysis, odds, and predictions to help with your handicapping decision or tail our expert based on the projected lineups and listed starting pitchers.

Betting Odds

Mets vs. Red Sox Projected Lineup

Straight Up/Over-Under/ Runline Record

New York Mets: 45-51 SU / OU 39-51 / Runline 37-59
Boston Red Sox: 51-46 SU / OU 52-43 / Runline 50-47

So far this season, the Mets have an overall record of 45-51, putting them 4th in the NL East. Currently, they are 17.5 games out in the division. Across their last ten games, they are an even 5-5. On the road, they have gone 22-29 and 23-22 at home. The team’s series record is 10-17-4.

• The Mets have covered the runline in 38.5% of their games and have an average run margin of -0.1
• The Mets have been favored in 66.7% of their games and have runline records of 17-28 and 20-31 at home and on the road, respectively
• So far, the Mets have an over/under record of just 39-51.

Heading into their game vs. the Mets, the Red Sox have a record of 51-46 and have dropped two straight games. In the AL East, they are in 4th place and have an overall series record of 17-11-3. At home, they have gone 26-22 and 25-24 on the road.

• The Red Sox have two straight losses vs. the runline and have a season-long run margin of 0.4.
• The Red Sox have been favored in 45.4% of their games and have runline records of 23-25 and 27-22 at home and on the road, respectively
• The over has hit in 55% of the Red Sox’s 97 games at 52-43.

Pitching Matchup

Kodai Senga has gone at least six innings in two straight games and has a record of 7-5. Through 17 appearances, his ERA is 3.20 along with a WHIP of 1.26. So far, he has K/BB ratio of 122/49 and slugging percentage allowed of .324. This year, opponents have put together a batting average of .196 vs. him.

Kodai Senga delivered a quality start in his last outing, pitching six innings and allowing one run. Despite his efforts, the Mets fell to the Dodgers by a score of 5-1.

Kutter Crawford has an overall record of 4-4, and will get the start for the Red Sox. With 18 appearances, his ERA currently stands at 3.74, while his K/9 figure is 8.96. Additionally, he has a FIP of 4.08 and an OBP of .278.

A quality start and a win were added to Kutter Crawford’s record in his previous outing against the Cubs. The Red Sox went on to win by a score of 11-5. Crawford allowed zero runs and one hit during six innings.

Mets vs. Red Sox Offense Outlook

The Mets have hit 121 home runs this season, making them one of the top home run hitting teams in baseball (8th). In addition to their impressive home run stats, they are averaging 4.4 runs per game and have a collective batting average of .237. At home, their slugging percentage is .384, compared to .386 on the road.

New York Mets Team Hitting Stats

New York Mets Top Hitters: Last Five Games

At 5 runs per game, Boston is ranked 5th in the league in terms of runs scored this season. In terms of home runs, they have gone deep 105 times so far. The team’s batting average of .263 places them 4th in the league. When playing on the road, their batting average is ranked 19th compared to 2nd at home.

Boston Red Sox Top Hitters vs. Righties

Boston Red Sox Top Hitters: Last Five Games

Free MLB Pick

Take the Under 9.5