New York Mets vs. Detroit Tigers Free Pick for 5/2/23

New York Mets vs. Detroit Tigers
Date: Tuesday, May 2nd, 6:40 ET
Location: Comerica Park
TV: BSDET
Money Line: Mets -150/Tigers +128 (Bet on MLB at cheaper odds at BAS! It saves you tons of money!)
Total Line: 8.5

Betting Preview

Here’s our betting preview for the upcoming MLB clash between the Detroit Tigers and the Mets on Tuesday, May 2nd at Comerica Park. We provide you with a comprehensive analysis, odds, and predictions to help with your handicapping decision or tail our expert based on the projected lineups and listed starting pitchers.

Betting Odds

Mets vs. Tigers Projected Lineup

Straight Up/Over-Under/ Runline Record

New York Mets: 16-13 SU / OU 12-16 / Runline 15-14
Detroit Tigers: 10-17 SU / OU 12-14 / Runline 14-13

For the season, the Mets have put together a record of 16-13, including going just 4-6 over their last ten games. In the NL East standings, they are 2nd, trailing by three games. This year, they have gone 6-6 at home and 10-7 on the road with an overall series mark of 5-2.

• The Mets have covered the runline in two straight games and have a season-long run margin of 0.3.
• The Mets have been favored in 65.5% of their games and have runline records of 6-6 and 9-8 at home and on the road, respectively
• So far, the Mets have an over/under record of just 12-16.

Heading into their game vs. the Mets, the Tigers have a record of 10-17 and have dropped two straight games. In the AL Central, they are in 3rd place and have an overall series record of 4-4. At home, they have gone 5-7 and 5-10 on the road.

• The Tigers have two straight losses vs. the runline and have a season-long run margin of -1.7.
• The Tigers have been favored in 3.7% of their games and have runline records of 6-6 and 8-7 at home and on the road, respectively
• So far, the Tigers have an over/under record of just 12-14.

Pitching Matchup

The Mets will turn to starter Joey Lucchesi who has an overall record of 1-0. After two appearances, his ERA is 2.19 and he has a K/9 figure of 1.0. Also, he has compiled a FIP of 3.46 and an OBP of .277.

Giving up three runs and five hits during his last appearance against the Nationals, Joey Lucchesi did not factor into the decision. Yet, the Mets managed to win the game by a score of 9-8.

Starter Michael Lorenzen comes in with an overall record of 0-1 for the Tigers. Having made three appearances, his ERA is 7.07 and he has a K/9 figure of 1.1. Additionally, he has a FIP of 5.31 and an OBP of .369.

Michael Lorenzen is coming off an outing against the Brewers in which he allowed five runs on seven hits in five innings of work, taking the loss. The Tigers lost the game by a score of 6-2.

Mets vs. Tigers Offense Outlook

After 29 games played, the Mets are 12th in the league with an average of 4.7 runs per game. In terms of home runs, the club is 19th, on a total of 31 homers. The team’s overall batting average, including .238 on the road and .230 at home, is .242.

New York Mets Top Hitters On The Road

New York Mets Top Hitters: Last Five Games

The Tigers have played 27 games so far and have an average of 3.3 runs per game, putting them 30th in the league. Detroit has hit 20 home runs, ranking them 26th in the MLB. Their overall batting average is .222, while hitting .196 on the road and .242 at home.

Detroit Tigers Top Bats

Detroit Tigers Top Hitters: Last Five Games

Free MLB Pick

The Tigers have struggled recently, with a 3-7 record in their last ten games, but it’s important to consider the context of their matchups. Six of those games were against the formidable Orioles, and three were against a solid Milwaukee team. Now, they face a Mets team that boasts a respectable 10-7 away record this season. However, the Mets have only won four of their last ten games overall, with seven of those against Washington and San Francisco, who have a combined record of 21-35 in 2023.

Detroit’s starting pitcher, Michael Lorenzen, had a decent run with the Angels last season, making 18 starts with an 8-6 record and a 4.24 ERA. Although his performance this season hasn’t been stellar, he has shown moments of promise. The Mets will counter with Joey Lucchesi, who was less impressive in his latest after his strong season opener.

Taking all factors into account, the Tigers appear to be the value play in this matchup (emphasizing that this is a subjective assessment). Take Detroit at +135 odds.