New York Mets vs. St. Louis Cardinals Best Bet

by | Last updated Aug 17, 2023 | mlb

New York Mets vs. St. Louis Cardinals
Date: Thursday, August 17th, 7:15 ET
Location: Busch Stadium
TV: FOX
Money Line: Mets -122/Cardinals +102 (Odds cost less at BAS! Why pay more?)
Total Line: 10.5

Betting Preview

Here’s our betting preview for the upcoming MLB clash between the St. Louis Cardinals and the Mets on Thursday, August 17th at Busch Stadium. We provide you with a comprehensive analysis, odds, and predictions to help with your handicapping decision or tail our expert based on the projected lineups and listed starting pitchers.

Betting Odds

ML RL Total
NYM -122 -1.5 O 10.5 (-111)
STL +102 +1.5 U 10.5 (-110)

Mets vs. Cardinals Projected Lineup

 

Batting Order Position
Brandon Nimmo 1 CF
Francisco Lindor 2 SS
Jeff McNeil 3 2B
Pete Alonso 4 1B
Daniel Vogelbach 5 DH
Francisco Alvarez 6 C
Mark Vientos 7 3B
DJ Stewart 8 RF
Rafael Ortega 9 LF
José Quintana SP

 

Batting Order Position
Tommy Edman 1 SS
Paul Goldschmidt 2 1B
Nolan Arenado 3 3B
Willson Contreras 4 C
Nolan Gorman 5 2B
Tyler O’Neill 6 LF
Jordan Walker 7 RF
Luken Baker 8 DH
Lars Nootbaar 9 CF
Adam Wainwright SP

 

Straight Up/Over-Under/ Runline Record

New York Mets: 55-66 SU / OU 51-64 / Runline 46-75
St. Louis Cardinals: 54-67 SU / OU 59-58 / Runline 60-61

So far this season, the Mets have an overall record of 55-66, putting them 4th in the NL East. Currently, they are 23.5 games out in the division. Across their last ten games, they are an even 5-5. On the road, they have gone 24-38 and 31-28 at home. The team’s series record is 13-21-5.

 

  • The Mets have covered the runline in 38.0% of their games and have an average run margin of -0.4
  • The Mets have been favored in 62.8% of their games and have runline records of 25-34 and 21-41 at home and on the road, respectively
  • So far, the Mets have an over/under record of just 51-64.

With an overall record of 54-67, the Cardinals are in 5th place in the NL Central, trailing by 11 games. Over their last ten games, they are above .500 at 6-4. On the road, the Cardinals have a mark of 27-33 while going 27-34 at home. Their overall series mark stands at 14-19-5.

 

  • The Cardinals have covered the runline in 49.6% of their games and have an average run margin of -0.2
  • The Cardinals have been favored in 57.0% of their games and have runline records of 27-34 and 33-27 at home and on the road, respectively
  • Through 121 games, the over has hit in half of the Cardinals’ games at 59-58.

Pitching Matchup

Pitcher Appearances Started IP Record ERA WHIP HR
José Quintana 5 5 29 0-4 3.03 1.28 0

 

As he prepares to take on the Cardinals, New York starter José Quintana has recorded a quality start in each of his last four outings. Overall, he has made five trips to the mound and has a recorded of 0-4 and ERA of 3.03. For the season, opponents have batting average of .255 against him, including an OPS of .617. Quintana’s strikeout total currently sits at 20 while issuing 10 this year.

José Quintana’s last appearance on the mound resulted in a defeat for the Mets against the Braves, with him taking the loss after pitching six innings and giving up one run.

Pitcher Appearances Started IP Record ERA WHIP HR
Adam Wainwright 15 15 66 3-7 8.78 2.08 14

 

The Cardinals will turn to starter Adam Wainwright who has an overall record of 3-7. After 15 appearances, his ERA is 8.78 and he has a K/9 figure of 5.26. Also, he has compiled a FIP of 6.04 and an OBP of .419.

Adam Wainwright will look to bounce back from a short outing against the Royals. In the Cardinals’ 12-8 loss, Wainwright gave up eight runs in one inning of work.

Mets vs. Cardinals Offense Outlook

The Mets are coming in as one of the better power hitting lineups in the league this season, with a total of 153 home runs (9th). They are currently averaging 4.3 runs per game overall, with a collective batting average of .237. When playing on the road, the Mets have a slugging percentage of .377, while their slugging percentage at home is .397.

New York Mets Top Hitters vs. Righties

Player BA HR SLG WOBA
Jeff McNeil .256 5 .357 .301
Francisco Lindor .247 13 .455 .347
Brandon Nimmo .248 16 .462 .355
Pete Alonso .218 24 .502 .351
Starling Marte .238 4 .317 .274

 

New York Mets Top Hitters: Last Five Games

Player BA H R HR SLG
Brandon Nimmo .527 9 3 2 .897
Daniel Vogelbach .333 4 4 2 .833
DJ Stewart .300 4 3 3 .900
Rafael Ortega .278 6 5 0 .333
Jeff McNeil .322 8 3 0 .364

 

The Cardinals have played 121 games and are currently ranked 12th in the league, averaging 4.7 runs per game. St. Louis ranks 5th in home runs, (169) and have a collective batting average of .259, including .244 on the road and .264 at home.

St. Louis Cardinals Team Hitting Stats

Team Games Runs HR BA OBP SLG
Cardinals 121 4.7 (12th) 169 (5th) .259 (5th) .333 (4th) .333 (4th)

 

St. Louis Cardinals Top Hitters: Last Five Games

Player BA H R HR SLG
Tommy Edman .329 5 4 3 1.017
Paul Goldschmidt .537 7 3 1 1.038
Jordan Walker .312 4 3 1 .729
Nolan Arenado .388 7 1 1 .600
Andrew Knizner .417 4 2 0 .625

 

Free MLB Pick

Sure, the Cards starter Adam Wainwright got the win pitching 6 1/3 innings and allowing three runs in the 5-3 victory. That said, Wainwright has been horrible this season and especially recently allowing four or more runs in six of his last seven starts. Additionally, he has been brutal in every month this season May (6.15 ERA), June 9.00 ERA, July (6.28 ERA), and August (33.75). Even with the decent outing this season against the Mats his back numbers are poor with the roster hitting .319 over 91 at-bats. Take the New York Mets -120.

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