New York Yankees vs. Houston Astros Betting Prediction 9/3/23

by | Last updated Sep 3, 2023 | mlb

New York Yankees vs. Houston Astros

Date: Sunday, September 3rd, 7:10 ET

Location: Minute Maid Park

TV: ESPN

Money Line: Yankees +134/Astros -160 (Save big money by wagering at reduced odds!)

Total Line: 9

Betting Preview

Here’s our betting preview for the upcoming MLB clash between the Houston Astros and the Yankees on Sunday, September 3rd at Minute Maid Park. We provide you with a comprehensive analysis, odds, and predictions to help with your handicapping decision or tail our expert based on the projected lineups and listed starting pitchers.

Betting Odds

ML RL Total
NYY +134 +1.5 O 9 (-102)
HOU -160 -1.5 U 9 (-120)

Yankees vs. Astros Projected Lineup

 

Batting Order Position
DJ LeMahieu 1 1B
Aaron Judge 2 RF
Gleyber Torres 3 2B
Giancarlo Stanton 4 DH
Jasson Dominguez 5 CF
Anthony Volpe 6 SS
Everson Pereira 7 LF
Oswald Peraza 8 3B
Ben Rortvedt 9 C
Michael King SP

 

Batting Order Position
Jose Altuve 1 2B
Alex Bregman 2 3B
Yordan Alvarez 3 DH
Kyle Tucker 4 RF
Yainer Diaz 5 1B
Michael Brantley 6 LF
Jeremy Peña 7 SS
Chas McCormick 8 CF
Martín Maldonado 9 C
Cristian Javier SP

 

Straight Up/Over-Under/ Runline Record

New York Yankees: 67-69 SU / OU 62-67 / Runline 66-70
Houston Astros: 77-60 SU / OU 71-62 / Runline 69-68

As they take on the Astros, the Yankees have an overall record of 67-69 and are currently last in the AL East. However, they have rattled off two straight wins. At home, New York has a mark of 36-33 compared to 31-36 on the road. Their series record sits at 17-20-7.

 

  • The Yankees have covered the runline in two straight games and have a season-long run margin of -0.1.
  • The Yankees have been favored in 61.0% of their games and have runline records of 31-38 and 35-32 at home and on the road, respectively
  • So far, the Yankees have an over/under record of just 62-67.

Heading into their game vs. the Yankees, the Astros have a record of 77-60 and have dropped two straight games. In the AL West, they are in 2nd place and have an overall series record of 24-15-4. At home, they have gone 35-33 and 42-27 on the road.

 

  • The Astros have two straight losses vs. the runline and have a season-long run margin of 0.7.
  • The Astros have been favored in 72.3% of their games and have runline records of 29-39 and 40-29 at home and on the road, respectively
  • The over has hit in 53% of the Astros’ 137 games at 71-62.

Pitching Matchup

Pitcher Appearances Started IP Record ERA WHIP HR
Michael King 43 3 73 3-5 2.96 1.15 7

 

New York will give the starting nod to Michael King, entering with a record of 3-5. King is on a two game streak of finishing with fewer than three earned runs allowed. So far, his ERA is 2.96, including a FIP figure of 3.36. Overall, opponents have a slugging percentage of .335 against him. King’s strikeout total currently sits at 87.

Michael King is coming off an outing against the Tigers in which he gave up zero runs and three hits across four innings. Even though he took a no-decision, the Yankees won by a score of 4-2.

Pitcher Appearances Started IP Record ERA WHIP HR
Cristian Javier 25 25 131 9-2 4.66 1.31 21

 

The Astros will turn to starter Cristian Javier who has an overall record of 9-2. Through 25 appearances his ERA stands at 4.66 with a K/9 figure of 8.15. So far, he has put together of FIP of 4.85 to go along with an OBP of .306.

In his most recent outing, Cristian Javier faced the Red Sox and allowed four runs on six hits across four innings. Although he didn’t get the win or the loss, his team, the Astros, won the game by a score of 13-5.

Yankees vs. Astros Offense Outlook

The Yankees have played 137 games and are ranked 20th in the league with 4.2 runs per game. New York ranks 5th in home runs, having gone deep 195 times. Their average is .228, including .219 on the road and .224 at home.

New York Yankees Top Hitters vs. Righties

Player BA HR SLG WOBA
Gleyber Torres .274 16 .448 .338
DJ LeMahieu .244 10 .398 .312
Anthony Volpe .212 15 .387 .292
Anthony Rizzo .223 11 .370 .301
Aaron Judge .264 23 .606 .416

 

New York Yankees Top Hitters: Last Five Games

Player BA H R HR SLG
Anthony Volpe .267 5 4 2 .733
Gleyber Torres .500 4 4 2 1.333
Giancarlo Stanton .237 5 5 2 .557
Aaron Judge .200 4 5 2 .500
DJ LeMahieu .167 3 2 2 .467

 

The Astros are proving to be one of the best home run hitting teams in baseball this season, having hit 180 home runs (9th). Overall, they are averaging 5 runs per game and have a collective batting average of .257. The team’s slugging percentage is .426 on the road and .405 at home.

Houston Astros Team Hitting Stats

Team Games Runs HR BA OBP SLG
Astros 137 5 (5th) 180 (9th) .257 (6th) .330 (5th) .330 (5th)

 

Houston Astros Top Hitters: Last Five Games

Player BA H R HR SLG
Alex Bregman .312 6 4 1 .512
Yordan Alvarez .296 5 1 1 .546
Michael Brantley .250 4 3 1 .500
José Abreu .194 2 3 1 .444
Yainer Diaz .250 3 2 1 .500

 

Free MLB Pick

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MLB Betting Guide

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