New York Yankees vs. Minnesota Twins Betting Predictions

by | Last updated Jun 9, 2022 | mlb

New York Yankees vs Minnesota Twins
Date: Thursday June 9th, 07:40 ET
Location: Target Field
TV: Bally Sports North
Money Line: Yankees -200 / Twins +165 (Bovada)
Total Line: 8.0


New York: Gerrit Cole (5-1, 2.78)
Minnesota: Dylan Bundy (3-3, 5.57)

Yankees Projected Lineup

Isiah Kiner-Falefa SS
Jose Trevino C
Josh Donaldson 3B
Joey Gallo RF
Aaron Hicks LF
Anthony Rizzo 1B
Giancarlo Stanton RF
DJ LeMahieu 2B
Aaron Judge CF
Gerrit Cole P

Twins Projected Lineup

Gio Urshela 3B
Ryan Jeffers C
Gary Sánchez C
Max Kepler RF
Trevor Larnach LF
Jermaine Palacios SS
Jorge Polanco 2B
Luis Arraez 1B
Byron Buxton CF
Dylan Bundy P


New York Yankees: 40-15-0 SU / OU 25-30-1 / Run Line W/L 29-27-0
Minnesota Twins: 32-25-0 SU / OU 27-27-4 / Run Line W/L 26-32-0

The Minnesota Twins host the New York Yankees on Thursday June 9th at Target Field. The first pitch in this matchup is scheduled for 07:40 ET. The MLB Odds Board places New York as the favorite (-200), with an OU line set at 8.0.

Recent Form

The Yankees come into this matchup having suffered a 7-run loss to the Twins (8-1). In the loss, New York’s pitchers gave up 8 runs on 11 hits. On offense, the Yankees finished with 1 run on 4 hits. Yankees suffered the loss, despite being favored at -180.0. Through 52 games as the favorite, the team has found the win column at a rate of 71.0%. When looking at the over-under result, the Yankees and Twins matched the line set at 9.0 runs. Even with the over-under draw, New York has an over-under record of just 25-30-1.

In the Yankees’ last 5 games, they are above .500, going 4-1. During this time, they have an average scoring differential of +16. Their hot play has been driven by an offense that typically averages 4.80 runs per game. But over this stretch, this figure has bumped up to 6.4. So far, New York has won over half of their 18 series played, going 13-2-3.

The Minnesota Twins will be looking to pick up another win, as they most recently defeated the Yankees by 7 runs (8-1). In the winning effort, the team’s pitchers held the Yankees to 1 run and 4 hits. Offensively, they finished with 8 runs on 11 hits. This was a good win for the Twins, as they were underdogs at 160.0 on the moneyline. So far, the team has gone into 18 games as the underdog, still finding the win column at a rate of 44.0%. Combined, the Twins and the Yankees matched the over-under total of 9.0. With this outcome, the team’s over-under record drops back to even at 27-27-4.

In their last 5 games, the Twins have put together a record of 3-2. Minnesota has managed to play above .500 baseball, despite their last 5 scoring margin sitting at 0. Compared to their season average, the Twins come into this game swinging the bats well, averaging 6.4 runs per game. On the season, Minnesota has won more than half of their series, going 9-4-5.

Pitching Matchup

Gerrit Cole gets the start for the Yankees, with an overall record of 5-1. Currently, Cole has an ERA of just 2.78 while pitching an average of 5.84 innings per outing. Hits have been hard to come by against the right-hander, as his batting average allowed is just 0.192. Cole is giving up home runs at a rate similar to the league average, allowing 0.84 per 9 innings. In terms of strikeouts, Gerrit Cole has a strong strikeout percentage of 32.0%, including a per-game average of 7.36. Throughout the season, Cole has avoided walking batters, allowing just 2.09 per contest.

The Minnesota Twins will send Dylan Bundy to the mound with an overall record of 3-3. So far, Bundy has put together an ERA of 5.57. In his appearances leading up to today, he has lasted an average of 4.67 innings. Opposing teams have hit the ball well against the right-hander, with a batting average of 0.294. Opposing batters have been able to drive the ball with power against Bundy, averaging 1.71 homers per 9 innings pitched. Up to this point, Bundy has a strikeout percentage of just 19.0% and a per game average of 4.0. Leading into the game, he has shown a strong command of his pitches, averaging just 1.93 walks per contest.

New York vs Minnesota History

Today’s matchup between the New York Yankees and Minnesota Twins will be their 3rd meeting of the season. So far, the teams have each won 1 time. Through 2nd games, the series’ over-under record is 1-0, with the average run total sitting at 11.71 runs per game. In these matchups, the average scoring differential sits at 6.5 runs. Going back to last year, New York won the season series, 6 games to 1. The over-under record in last year’s matchups was 6-0, with the average run total being 11.71 runs per game. On average, the winning team won by a margin of 3.71 runs per contest.

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Betting Trends

  • NY Yankees is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games
  • NY Yankees is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games when playing Minnesota
  • The total has gone OVER in 7 of Minnesota’s last 8 games when playing NY Yankees
  • The total has gone OVER in 7 of Minnesota’s last 8 games when playing at home against NY Yankees

New York Yankees at Minnesota Twins Prediction

Heading into Thursday’s matchup between New York and Minnesota, look for the Yankees to pick up a convincing win that covers the runline. New York starter has been outstanding in his last 2 outings, giving up just 1 run and dropping his WHIP to just .96. In addition, expect the Yankees to bounceback from a poor offensive performance in last night’s game, as Dylan Bundy has a WHIP of 1.45.

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