Bet the Total: Athletics vs. Rangers 4/11/24

Oakland Athletics vs. Texas Rangers
Date: Thursday, April 11th, 2:35 ET
Location: Globe Life Field
TV: BSSW
Money Line: Athletics +157/Rangers -188
Total Line: 9.5

Betting Preview

Here’s our betting preview for the upcoming MLB clash between the Texas Rangers and the Athletics on Thursday, April 11th at Globe Life Field. We provide you with a comprehensive analysis, odds, and predictions to help with your handicapping decision or tail our expert based on the projected lineups and listed starting pitchers.

Betting Odds

The Rangers come into Thursday’s AL West matchup vs. the Athletics as the heavy favorite with Jon Gray on the mound. Oakland is starting JP Sears, and the Athletics are just 4-8 this season compared to 7-5 for the Rangers. Texas is also hitting .260 as a team compared to .234 for the A’s.

The first pitch is set for 2:35, and the over/under line for the game is currently at 9.5 runs. BSSW is carrying this one on TV.

Athletics vs. Rangers Projected Lineup

Straight Up/Over-Under/ Runline Record

Oakland Athletics: 4-8 SU / OU 6-5 / Runline 7-5
Texas Rangers: 7-5 SU / OU 5-7 / Runline 6-6

The Rangers and Athletics played the previous game of this series, with Texas coming away with a 6-2 win. Despite the Athletics hitting one more home run than Texas, the Rangers had 12 hits compared to just nine for Oakland.

Cody Bradford got the start for Texas and didn’t give up a run in his 6 2/3 innings of work. He finished with seven strikeouts and gave up five hits. Ross Stripling took the loss for Oakland, giving up six runs on 11 hits. He went six innings.

Offensively for Texas, they had three different players drive in two runs, including Jonah Heim, who went 2/4. Adolis Garcia also had a big game, going 3/3 with two doubles and two RBIs.

Athletics Records & Recent Play

After dropping the first game of the series to the Rangers, the Athletics have a chance to even things up. Oakland has struggled at home this season, going 1-6, but they have been much better on the road, posting a 3-2 record. Overall, they are 4-8 and are currently in 4th place in the AL West, trailing the Rangers by three games.

So far, the Athletics have gone 1-1 against division opponents. In the series, they have gone 1-2 and have lost two straight series at home.

The Athletics have been a solid bet to cover the run line this season, going 7-5 overall. They are 4-1 vs. the run line on the road, where they have a positive run differential of 1.2 runs per game. They are 3-4 vs. the run line at home, where they have a negative run differential of 4.1 runs per game.

The Oakland Athletics have played 11 games this season, and the over/under record is 6-5. The average over/under line for their games is 8 runs. The over/under record for games with a line of 9.5 runs is 0-0. The combined run average in their games is 7.9 runs. Currently, the under has hit in two straight games for the Athletics.

Rangers Records & Recent Play

After dropping the first game of their series against the Athletics, the Rangers have bounced back to win the last two games and are now 7-5 overall. They currently sit in 1st place in the AL West and have a 1 game lead over the Angels for the top spot in the division. Texas is 5-4 at home this season and 2-1 on the road.

Overall, the Rangers are 3-4 as the favorite and 4-1 as the underdog. They have a 3-4 record as the home favorite and are 2-0-1 in series so far this season.

The Rangers have been a solid bet on the run line this season, going 6-6 overall. They have been particularly good at covering the run line at home, going 4-5. Texas has an average run margin of 1.8 runs per game this season, and they have been a better bet on the run line as the underdog, going 4-1. Their average run margin in winning games is 5.1 runs per game.

The Texas Rangers are playing at home against the Oakland Athletics today, and the over/under line is set at 9.5 runs. The Rangers’ games have averaged 9.4 runs per game this season, and their over/under record is 5-7. When the over/under line has been set at 9.5 runs, the over has hit in one of their games. Overall, the over/under line has been set at 9.5 runs in just 33.3% of their games this season, and their last two games have gone under the total.

Pitching Matchup

JP Sears and the Athletics are on the road to take on the Rangers. Sears has started two games so far this season and is still looking for his first win. He took a loss in his first start against the Guardians, and in his last outing, he went 5 2/3 innings and gave up 4 runs against the Tigers.

Jon Gray is making his third start of the season for the Rangers, and he is still looking for his first win. He has gone 3 2/3 innings in each of his first two starts, and he has 10 strikeouts in those two outings. Gray has given up two earned runs in each of his first two starts.

Athletics vs. Rangers Offense Outlook

For the Athletics, Zack Gelof is our top projected hitter in terms of total hits and has the 9th best odds to hit a home run today. Brent Rooker has the best odds to hit a home run on the team and the 5th best odds in the league. J.D. Davis is 12th in the league in terms of odds to hit a home run.

For the Rangers, we have Corey Seager leading the way in terms of total hits, as his projection is 5th best in the league today. Marcus Semien is not far behind, as his total hits projection is 7th best in the league. In terms of home runs, Adolis García has the top projection on the team and in the league today. Corey Seager has the 2nd best home run projection on the team and 2nd best in the league.

Free Athletics vs. Rangers MLB Pick

Our prediction for today’s Athletics vs. Rangers game is to take the Rangers to win, but with a money line of -188, we are actually recommending taking the over, with the line sitting at 9.5 runs. Our predicted final score is 6-5 in favor of the Rangers, giving us a little wiggle room if you want to take the over/under.

Looking at the starting pitchers, our projections have Jon Gray finishing with six strikeouts compared to JP Sears with five. Gray is also projected to finish with fewer earned runs than Sears, and he is averaging a strikeout per start higher than Sears.