Padres vs. Giants Predictions & Analysis 5/20/22

by | Last updated May 20, 2022 | mlb

San Diego Padres vs San Francisco Giants

Date: Friday, May 20th, 10:15 ET

Location: Oracle Park


Money Line: Padres -110 / Giants -110 (BAS – STOP overpaying for odds! Risk less and win more by betting at reduced odds here!)

Total Line: 7.5


San Diego: Sean Manaea (2-3, 3.77)
San Francisco: Jakob Junis (1-1, 1.74)

Padres Projected Lineup

Ha-seong Kim SS
Austin Nola C
Luke Voit 1B
Wil Myers RF
Manny Machado 3B
Jose Azocar CF
Eric Hosmer 1B
Jake Cronenworth 2B
Jurickson Profar LF
Sean Manaea P

Giants Projected Lineup

Mike Yastrzemski RF
Joey Bart C
Brandon Crawford SS
Thairo Estrada 2B
Evan Longoria 3B
LaMonte Wade Jr LF
Wilmer Flores 3B
Austin Slater CF
Darin Ruf LF
Jakob Junis P


San Diego Padres: 24-14-0 SU / OU 18-20-0 / Run Line W/L 21-17-0
San Francisco Giants: 22-15-0 SU / OU 20-16-1 / Run Line W/L 18-19-0

The San Francisco Giants host the San Diego Padres on Friday, May 20th at Oracle Park. The first pitch in this matchup is scheduled for 10:15 ET. The MLB Odds Board places San Francisco as the favorite (-110), with an OU line set at 7.5.

Recent Form

In their most recent game, San Diego picked up a 2 run win over the Philadelphia (2-0). On their way to the victory, the pitching staff gave up 0 runs on 8 hits. On offense, San Diego’s lineup put together a total of 10 hits, leading to 2 runs. In the matchup, San Diego was favored at -108.0 on the moneyline. So far, the team has been the favorite in 27 of their games, winning at a rate of 70.0%. Combined, the Padres and Philadelphia fell short of the over-under betting line of 8.0 runs. So far, San Diego has been a good candidate to fall below the betting lines, as their over-under record sits at just 18-20-0.

The Padres are looking to continue adding wins, as they are 3-2 over their last 5 games. Over this stretch, the team has a positive run differential at 5. San Diego comes into the game struggling on offense, averaging 3.4 over their last 5. This figure is down from their season average of 4.34. So far, San Diego has won over half of their 12 series played, going 7-3-2.

The Giants will look to get back on track after dropping their last game by a score of 5-3 to the Rockies. In the game, the team’s pitching staff allowed a total of 8 hits, leading to 5 runs. At the plate, the Giants only came through for 3 runs on 8 hits. San Francisco dropped the game despite being favored at -175.0. So far, the team has won 68.0% of the games in which they were favored. Combined, the Giants and the Rockies’ run total fell below the OU line of 11.0 runs. San Francisco still has an above .500 OU record at (20-16-1).

In their last 5 contests, Giants have just 2 wins, going 2-3. This recent slump is backed by a scoring margin of -11 over their last 5 games. In their 5 most recent contests, the team is scoring at a rate (5.2) similar to their season-long average of 5.11. On the season, San Francisco has won more than half of their series, going 7-4-2.


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Pitching Matchup

San Diego will roll with Sean Manaea (2-3) as their starter. So far, Manaea has put together an ERA of 3.77. In his appearances leading up to today, he has lasted an average of 6.14 innings. Manaea comes into the game with a batting average allowed of 0.214. So far, Manaea has managed to keep the ball in the ballpark, allowing just 1.05 home runs per 9 innings. On the season, Sean Manaea has had no problem racking up strikeouts, posting a strikeout percentage of 28.9%, while averaging 7.14 K’s per game. For the season, he has struggled with command averaging 2.93 walks per outing.

Jakob Junis gets the start for the Giants, with an overall record of 1-1. In his previous outings, Junis is lasting an average of 5.05 innings, putting together an ERA of just 1.74. In his previous outings, right-hander opponents are hitting 0.213 off the right-hander. So far, Junis has managed to keep the ball in the ballpark, allowing just 0.89 home runs per 9 innings. Up to this point, Junis has a strikeout percentage of just 23.0% and a per game average of 4.5. Leading into the game, he has shown a strong command of his pitches, averaging just 1.74 walks per contest.

San Diego vs San Francisco History

Today’s matchup between the San Diego Padres and San Francisco Giants will be their 3rd meeting of the season. Currently, San Francisco is winning the season series 2-1. Through 3rd games, the series’ over-under record is 1-2, with the average run total sitting at 8.84 runs per game. The averge scoring margin in these meetings is 4.67 runs. Dating back to last season, the San Francisco picked up 11 wins compared to 8, taking the season series. In these 19 meetings, the two teams combined for an over-under record of 12-7. Last year, the Padres and Giants averaged 8.84 runs per game. On average, the winning team won by a margin of 3.47 runs per contest.

Betting Trends

  • San Diego is 5-1 ATS in its last 6 games on the road
  • San Diego is 5-1 ATS in its last 6 games
  • San Francisco is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games at home
  • San Francisco is 4-1 ATS in its last 5 games at home

San Diego Padres at San Francisco Giants Prediction

In this matchup, I recommend taking the Giants to pick up the win on the moneyline. Starter Jakob Junis has yet to give up more than 2 runs in any of his outings. This includes going at least 5 innings in all 4 of his starts. Look for San Francisco to pick up the home win.

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