Philadelphia Phillies vs Atlanta Braves predictions 8/3/22

by | Aug 3, 2022 | mlb

Philadelphia Phillies vs Atlanta Braves
Date: Wednesday August 3rd, 12:20 ET
Location: Truist Park
TV: Bally Sports South
Money Line: Phillies +114 / Braves -136 (Bovada)
Total Line: 7.5

STARTING PITCHING

Philadelphia: Zack Wheeler (9-5, 2.77)
Atlanta: Charlie Morton (5-5, 4.35)

Phillies Projected Lineup

Alec Bohm 3B
Didi Gregorius SS
Nick Castellanos RF
Bryson Stott 2B
Matt Vierling LF
J.T. Realmuto C
Darick Hall 1B
Kyle Schwarber LF
Rhys Hoskins 1B
Zack Wheeler P

Braves Projected Lineup

Marcell Ozuna LF
Orlando Arcia 2B
Eddie Rosario LF
Ronald Acuña Jr. RF
Travis d’Arnaud C
Austin Riley 3B
Michael Harris II CF
Matt Olson 1B
Dansby Swanson SS
Charlie Morton P

STRAIGHT UP/ OVER/UNDER / RUN LINE RECORDS

Philadelphia Phillies: 55-48-0 SU / OU 54-46-3 / Run Line W/L 53-50-0
Atlanta Braves: 63-41-0 SU / OU 52-48-4 / Run Line W/L 54-50-0

The Atlanta Braves host the Philadelphia Phillies on Wednesday, August 3rd at Truist Park. The first pitch in this matchup is scheduled for 12:20 ET. The MLB Odds Board places Atlanta as the favorite (-136), with an OU line set at 7.5.

Recent Form

The Phillies come into this matchup having suffered a 12 run loss to the Braves (13-1). In the loss, Philadelphia’s pitchers gave up 13 runs on 14 hits. On offense, the Phillies finished with 1 run on 4 hits. Philadelphia’s loss came as the underdog, getting 210.0 on the moneyline. m Together, the Phillies and Braves combined to surpass the over-under betting line set at 8.5 runs. Philadelphia now has an over-under record of 54-46-3.

The Phillies come into this game with a 4-1 record over their last 5 contests. However, even with an above .500 record (last 5) their run differential sits at just -2 (last 5). Philadelphia’s offense heads into action averaging 4.6 runs per game in their last 5 contests. Similar to their season average of 4.63. Philadelphia’s overall series record is just 15-16-2.

Pitching Matchup

Philadelphia will roll with Zack Wheeler (9-5) as their starter. Through 19 appearances, Wheeler has an ERA of just 2.77 while averaging 5.96 innings per appearance. Hits have been hard to come by against the right-hander, as his batting average allowed is just 0.219. Home runs have not been an issue for Wheeler, as he is giving up just 0.72 HR/9. On the season, Zack Wheeler has had no problem racking up strikeouts, posting a strikeout percentage of 27.0%. This includes a per game average of 6.42 K’s per game. In his previous outings, walks have been an issue, as Wheeler is averaging 1.98 free passes per outing.

Charlie Morton gets the start for the Braves, with an overall record of 5-5. So far, Morton has put together an ERA of 4.35. In his appearances leading up to today, he has lasted an average of 5.46 innings. So far, Morton has a batting average allowed of 0.232. Home runs have been an issue for Morton, as he is allowing an average of 1.24 per 9 innings pitched. In terms of strikeouts, Charlie Morton has a strong K% of 27.0%, including a per game average of 6.3. Morton comes into the game hoping to improve his walk numbers, as he is averaging 3.45 free passes per outing.

Philadelphia vs Atlanta History

Today’s matchup between the Philadelphia Phillies and Atlanta Braves will be their 12th meeting of the season. Currently, Atlanta is winning the season series 6-5. The over-under record in this series sits at 8-2. The average run total in these games is 8.37 runs per game. The averge scoring margin in these meetings is 4.45 runs. Dating back to last season, Atlanta picked up 10 wins compared to 9, taking the season series. In these 19 meetings, the two teams combined for an over-under record of 9-10. Last year, the Phillies and Braves averaged 8.37 runs per game. On average, the winning team won by a margin of 3.53 runs per contest.

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Betting Trends

  • Philadelphia is 7-1 SU in its last 8 games on the road
  • Philadelphia is 5-1 SU in its last 6 games
  • Atlanta is 6-1 SU in its last 7 games at home
  • Atlanta is 5-1 SU in its last 6 games

Philadelphia Phillies at Atlanta Braves Prediction

Heading into Wednesday’s National League East matchup between Philadelphia and Atlanta, the Braves are the favorite to pick up yet another win over their division rival. However, the last time Charlie Morton took the mound, he had a rough outing vs the Phillies, giving up 4 earned runs in just 5 innings. Look for Philadelphia to bounce back from last night’s loss. I like the Phillies on the moneyline.

Free MLB Pick: Philadelphia Moneyline

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