Philadelphia Phillies vs. Washington Nationals Runline Pick 8/18/23

Philadelphia Phillies vs. Washington Nationals
Date: Friday, August 18th, 7:05 ET
Location: Nationals Park
TV: MASN
Money Line: Phillies -200/Nationals +165 (Save money by betting reduced juice at BAS!)
Total Line: 9

Betting Preview

Here’s our betting preview for the upcoming MLB clash between the Washington Nationals and the Phillies on Friday, August 18th at Nationals Park. We provide you with a comprehensive analysis, odds, and predictions to help with your handicapping decision or tail our expert based on the projected lineups and listed starting pitchers.

Betting Odds

Phillies vs. Nationals Projected Lineup

Straight Up/Over-Under/ Runline Record

Philadelphia Phillies: 66-55 SU / OU 51-61 / Runline 52-69
Washington Nationals: 55-67 SU / OU 57-61 / Runline 68-54

With an overall record of 66-55, the Phillies are in 2nd place in the NL East, trailing by 12.5 games. Over their last ten games, they are above .500 at 6-4. On the road, the Phillies have a mark of 32-31 while going 34-24 at home. Their overall series mark stands at 20-15-3.

• The Phillies have covered the runline in 43.0% of their games and have an average run margin of 0.3
• The Phillies have been favored in 66.1% of their games and have runline records of 23-35 and 29-34 at home and on the road, respectively
• So far, the Phillies have an over/under record of just 51-61.

As they take on the Phillies, the Nationals have an overall record of 55-67 and are currently last in the NL East. However, they have rattled off two straight wins. At home, Washington has a mark of 27-35 compared to 28-32 on the road. Their series record sits at 15-21-2.

• The Nationals have covered the runline in three straight games and have a season-long run margin of -0.7.
• The Nationals have been favored in 8.2% of their games and have runline records of 29-33 and 39-21 at home and on the road, respectively
• So far, the Nationals have an over/under record of just 57-61.

Pitching Matchup

The Phillies will turn to starter Michael Lorenzen who has an overall record of 7-7. Through 20 appearances his ERA stands at 3.23 with a K/9 figure of 6.82. So far, he has put together of FIP of 3.85 to go along with an OBP of .266.

The Nationals could not solve Michael Lorenzen in his last outing as he pitched nine innings of no-hit ball. Lorenzen earned the victory as the Phillies won the game 7-0.

Through four appearances, Joan Adon has yet to take a loss and has a record of 1-0. This figure has come on an ERA of 5.14 and a slugging percentage allowed of .333. With a total of 14 K’s, Adon has a K/9 figure of 9. In terms of walks, he has issued a total of four free passs leading to an OBP allowed of .211.

Joan Adon is coming off a short outing, throwing three innings while giving up two runs on two hits. Adon took a no-decision in the Nationals’ 8-2 win over the Athletics.

Phillies vs. Nationals Offense Outlook

This season, the Phillies are ranked 13th in the league with an average of 4.6 runs per game. Philadelphia is ranked 15th in home runs, with a total of 140 long balls. Their overall batting average is .255, including .241 on the road and .253 at home.

Philadelphia Phillies Top Hitters vs. Righties

Philadelphia Phillies Top Hitters: Last Five Games

Washington enters the game ranked 25th in homers, with a total of 112 home runs. Their collective batting average is .259, which places them 5th in the league. Their OPS ranks 16th on the road and 16th at home.

Washington Nationals Team Hitting Stats

Washington Nationals Top Hitters: Last Five Games

Free MLB Pick

Did the real Joan Adon resurface in his second back in the Majors? Remember this is the guy who went 1-12 with a 7.10 ERA in 2022. Additionally Phillie starter Michael Lorenzen pitched a complete game shut in his last against the Nationals. This is one of those that looks a little too easy, but it’s baseball, so I’m biting. Take Philadlphia -1.5 runs -120.