Phillies vs. Nationals Betting Predictions

by | Jun 19, 2022 | mlb

Philadelphia Phillies vs Washington Nationals

Date: Sunday, June 19th, 12:05 ET

Location: Nationals Park

TV: Peacock

Money Line: Phillies -160 / Nationals +134 (MyBookie)

Total Line: 9.5

STARTING PITCHING

Philadelphia: Zach Eflin (2-4, 4.28)
Washington: Jackson Tetreault (0-1, 15.75)

Phillies Projected Lineup

Alec Bohm 3B
Bryson Stott 2B
J.T. Realmuto C
Didi Gregorius SS
Nick Castellanos RF
Odubel Herrera CF
Bryce Harper RF
Kyle Schwarber LF
Rhys Hoskins 1B
Zach Eflin P

Nationals Projected Lineup

Lane Thomas CF
Maikel Franco 3B
Josh Bell 1B
Yadiel Hernandez RF
Juan Soto RF
Luis Garcia SS
Keibert Ruiz C
Nelson Cruz CF
César Hernández 2B

STRAIGHT UP/ OVER/UNDER / RUN LINE RECORDS

Philadelphia Phillies: 36-31-0 SU / OU 38-27-2 / Run Line W/L 34-33-0
Washington Nationals: 23-46-0 SU / OU 36-30-3 / Run Line W/L 27-42-0

The Washington Nationals host the Philadelphia Phillies on Sunday, June 19th at Nationals Park. The first pitch in this matchup is scheduled for 12:05 ET. The MLB Odds Board places Philadelphia as the favorite (-160), with an OU line set at 9.5.

Recent Form

The Philadelphia Phillies head into today’s matchup after picking up a close win over the Nationals by the score of 2-1. Overall, the team’s pitching staff limited the Nationals to 1 run on 5 hits. On offense, Philadelphia’s lineup put together a total of 5 hits, leading to 2 runs. In the matchup, Philadelphia was favored at -165.0 on the moneyline. So far, the team has been the favorite in 46 of their games, winning at a rate of 59.0%. This matchup remained below the over-under line set at 8.0 runs. Philadelphia games have still surpassed the over-under line more than half of the time, at 38-27-2.

In their last 5 games, the Phillies have gone a perfect 5-0. During this time, they have an average scoring differential of +15. Their hot play has been driven by an offense that typically averages 4.91 runs per game. But, over this stretch, this figure has bumped up to 5.6. Philadelphia’s overall series record is just 9-11-1.

The Nationals are coming off a tight loss to the Phillies, dropping the game 2-1. Despite the losing effort, the team’s pitchers held the Phillies to 2 runs and 5 hits. At the plate, the Nationals only came through for 1 run on 5 hits. This loss came as no surprise, as Washington came into the game as the underdog, getting 140.0. In their 58 games as the underdog, their straight-up win percentage sits at 31.0%. Combined, the Nationals and Phillies’ run total fell below the over-under line of 8.0 runs. Washington still has an above .500 over-under record at (36-30-3).

The Nationals come into today’s game looking to turn things around, as they are just 0-5 over their last 5 games. This recent slump is backed by a scoring margin of -19 over their last 5 games. The team’s offense is partly to blame for their recent slump, as they have averaged just 2.8 runs over their last 5 game. Washington has a below .500 series record of just 5-15-1.

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Pitching Matchup

Philadelphia will roll with Zach Eflin (2-4) as their starter. So far, Eflin has put together an ERA of 4.28. In his appearances leading up to today, he has lasted an average of 5.55 innings. Teams have been able to rack up runs against him, as he has a batting average allowed of 0.249. So far, Eflin has managed to keep the ball in the ballpark, allowing just 1.03 home runs per 9 innings. This season, he has struck out 20% of the batters he has faced. This has led to a per-game average of 4.64. Throughout the season, Eflin has avoided walking batters, allowing just 1.92 per contest.

In today’s game, the Nationals will give right-hander Jackson Tetreault another go on the mound. In his first outing against Atlanta, Tetreault gave up 7 runs in just 4 innings. This poor performance included giving up 3 home runs. Washington is hoping that the young starter can shake off this poor outing vs Philadelphia.

Philadelphia vs Washington History

Today’s matchup between the Philadelphia Phillies and Washington Nationals will be their 5th meeting of the season. So far, Philadelphia is leading the season series, 4-0. The over-under record in this series sits at 2-2. The average run total in these games is 11.21 runs per game. In these matchups, the average scoring differential sits at 3.25 runs. Last season, Philadelphia picked up the series win, 13 games to 6. The over-under record in last year’s matchups was 11-8, with the average run total being 11.21 runs per game. On average, the winning team won by a margin of 2.58 runs per contest.

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Betting Trends

  • Philadelphia is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games on the road
  • Philadelphia is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games when playing Washington
  • The total has gone OVER in 10 of Washington’s last 11 games when playing Philadelphia
  • The total has gone OVER in 9 of Washington’s last 10 games when playing at home against Philadelphia

Philadelphia Phillies at Washington Nationals Prediction

Heading into Sunday’s National League East matchup between Philadelphia and Washington, the Phillies are the heavy favorite to pick up the win. Look for Philadelphia to pile on to the Nationals’ recent woes, as I don’t see Jackson Tetreault holding up well in his 2nd career start. Look for the Phillies to cover the runline.

Free MLB Pick: Phillies -1.5 Runline

MLB Betting Guide

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