Yankees vs. Blue Jays Runline Pick 6/19/22

by | Jun 19, 2022 | mlb

New York Yankees vs Toronto Blue Jays
Date: Sunday, June 19th, 01:37 ET
Location: Rogers Centre
TV: TVA Sports
Money Line: Yankees -120 / Blue Jays +100 (MyBookie)
Total Line: 9.0

STARTING PITCHING

New York: Luis Severino (4-1, 2.8)
Toronto: Yusei Kikuchi (2-3, 4.8)

Yankees Projected Lineup

Isiah Kiner-Falefa SS
Jose Trevino C
Josh Donaldson 3B
Gleyber Torres 2B
Aaron Judge CF
DJ LeMahieu 3B
Aaron Hicks CF
Anthony Rizzo 1B
Giancarlo Stanton RF
Luis Severino P

Blue Jays Projected Lineup

Matt Chapman 3B
Gabriel Moreno C
Teoscar Hern√°ndez RF
Santiago Espinal SS
Cavan Biggio 2B
Vladimir Guerrero Jr. 1B
Alejandro Kirk C
George Springer CF
Bo Bichette SS
Yusei Kikuchi P

STRAIGHT UP/ OVER/UNDER / RUN LINE RECORDS

New York Yankees: 49-16-0 SU / OU 29-35-1 / Run Line W/L 35-30-0
Toronto Blue Jays: 37-28-0 SU / OU 32-32-1 / Run Line W/L 28-37-0

The Toronto Blue Jays host the New York Yankees on Sunday, June 19th at the Rogers Centre. The first pitch in this matchup is scheduled for 01:37 ET. The MLB Odds Board places New York as the favorite (-120), with an OU line set at 9.0.

Recent Form

The New York Yankees are coming off a 4-run win over the Blue Jays by a score of 4-0. On their way to the victory, the pitching staff gave up 0 runs on 5 hits. The Yankees lineup had a good night at the plate, coming up with 8 hits, leading to 4 runs. This victory came despite being the betting underdog, getting 133.0 on the moneyline. Combined, the Yankees and Blue Jays fell short of the over-under betting line of 8.5 runs. So far, New York has been a good candidate to fall below the betting line, as their over-under record sits at just 29-35-1.

The Yankees come into this game having won all 5 of their recent games. During this time, they have an average scoring differential of +17. Overall, New York is averaging 5.09 runs per game. Over their last 5 contests, they have been producing at a similar rate, at 5.09. So far, New York has won over half of their 21 series played, going 17-2-2.

Toronto is coming off a 4 run loss to the Yankees. Dropping the game 4-0. Despite the losing effort, the team’s pitchers held the Yankees to 4 runs and 8 hits. At the plate, the Blue Jays only came through for 0 runs on 5 hits. Toronto came away with a loss, despite being favored on the moneyline (-145.0). For the season, the team has been favored in 50 games, winning at a rate of 60.0%. Combined, the Blue Jays’ and Yankees’ run total fell below the over-under line of 8.5 runs. The Blue Jays now have a .500 over-under record of 32-32-1.

The Blue Jays come into today’s game looking to turn things around, as they are just 1-4 over their last 5 games. This recent slump is backed by a scoring margin of -21 over their last 5 games. The team’s offense is partly to blame for their recent slump, as they have averaged just 3.4 runs over their last 5 game. On the season, Toronto has won more than half of their series, going 12-6-3.

Pitching Matchup

Luis Severino gets the start for the Yankees, with an overall record of 4-1. In his previous outings, Severino has lasted an average of 5.55 innings, putting together an ERA of just 2.8. So far, batters are hitting just 0.213 against him. Opponents have been able to hit for power against Severino, as he has an HR/9 figure of 1.18. Per game, Luis Severino is averaging 6.45, on a strikeout percentage of 28.9%. Leading into the game, he has shown a strong command of his pitches, averaging just 2.21 walks per contest.

The Toronto Blue Jays will send Yusei Kikuchi to the mound with an overall record of 2-3. So far, Kikuchi has put together an ERA of 4.8. In his appearances leading up to today, he has lasted an average of 4.18 innings. Kikuchi’s opponent’s batting average currently sits at 0.24. Opposing batters have been able to drive the ball with power against Kikuchi, averaging 1.61 homers per 9 innings pitched. Kikuchi’s current strikeout average is 4.67 per game. This includes a K rate of 25.0%. Kikuchi comes into the game hoping to improve his walk numbers, as he is averaging 5.68 free passes per outing.

New York vs Toronto History

Today’s matchup between the New York Yankees and Toronto Blue Jays will be their 12th meeting of the season. New York has the lead in the series at 8-3. The over-under record in this series sits at 5-6. The average run total in these games is 7.74 runs per game. In these matchups, the average scoring differential sits at 3.45 runs. Toronto won last year’s head to head series, grabbing 11 wins to 8. In these 19 meetings, the two teams combined for an over-under record of 6-12. Last year, the Yankees and Blue Jays averaged 7.74 runs per game. On average, the winning team won by a margin of 2.79 runs per contest.

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Betting Trends

  • NY Yankees is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games
  • NY Yankees is 6-1 SU in its last 7 games when playing Toronto
  • The total has gone OVER in 5 of Toronto’s last 5 games
  • The total has gone OVER in 5 of Toronto’s last 5 games at home

New York Yankees at Toronto Blue Jays Prediction

Heading into Sunday’s series finale between New York and Toronto, I recommend taking the Yankees to pull off the sweep. In yesterday’s matchup, New York took down the Blue Jays’ best starter in Alek Manoah and should have an even easier time against Yusei Kikuchi. Look for the Yankees to cover the runline.

Free MLB Pick: Yankees -1.5 Runline

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