Red Sox vs. Giants MLB Betting Preview, Odds, and Predictions

by | Last updated May 2, 2024 | mlb

San Francisco Giants vs. Boston Red Sox
Date: Thursday, May 2nd, 1:35 ET
Location: Fenway Park
TV: NBCS
Money Line: Giants -107/Red Sox -113
Total Line: 9.5

Betting Preview

Here’s our betting preview for the upcoming MLB clash between the Boston Red Sox and the Giants on Thursday, May 2nd at Fenway Park. We provide you with a comprehensive analysis, odds, and predictions to help with your handicapping decision or tail our expert based on the projected lineups and listed starting pitchers.

Betting Odds

ML RL Total
SF -107 -1.5 O 9.5 (-103)
BOS -113 +1.5 U 9.5 (-120)

Thursday’s interleague matchup between the Giants and Red Sox is set for 1:35 PM from Fenway Park in Boston. The Red Sox are sending Josh Winckowski to the mound up against Kyle Harrison for the Giants. Coming into the game, the Red Sox are 18-13, while the Giants are 14-17.

As for the money line odds, the Red Sox are the slight favorite at -113, and the over/under line is at 9.5 runs. If you’re looking to catch this one on TV, it is being carried by NBCS.

Giants vs. Red Sox Projected Lineup

Player Batting Order Position
Jung Hoo Lee 1 CF
LaMonte Wade Jr. 2 1B
Jorge Soler 3 DH
Michael Conforto 4 LF
Matt Chapman 5 3B
Thairo Estrada 6 2B
Mike Yastrzemski 7 RF
Patrick Bailey 8 C
Nick Ahmed 9 SS
Kyle Harrison SP


Player Batting Order Position
Jarren Duran 1 LF
Rafael Devers 2 3B
Tyler O’Neill 3 DH
Garrett Cooper 4 1B
Connor Wong 5 C
Ceddanne Rafaela 6 CF
Rob Refsnyder 7 RF
David Hamilton 8 2B
Bobby Dalbec 9 SS
Josh Winckowski SP

Straight Up/Over-Under/ Runline Record

San Francisco Giants: 14-17 SU / OU 14-16 / Runline 13-18
Boston Red Sox: 18-13 SU / OU 13-15 / Runline 18-13

Thanks to a two-home run performance from Kutter Crawford and a three-hit game from Connor Wong, the Red Sox cruised to a 6-2 win over the Giants in the most recent game of this series. Heading into the game, the Red Sox were favored at -160 on the money line.

Crawford went seven innings for the Red Sox, giving up just two hits and two earned runs. He finished the game with six strikeouts and picked up a win. On the other side, Erik Miller only went one inning for the Giants, giving up two hits and two earned runs.

With the win, the Red Sox improved to 63-39 on the season, while the Giants dropped to 64-39. Both teams remain in first place in their respective divisions.

Giants Records & Recent Play

Heading into today’s road matchup vs. the Red Sox, the Giants are 14-17 overall, putting them 3rd in the NL West, five games behind the Dodgers for the division lead. The Giants have dropped two straight games, with their most recent loss coming in the series opener vs. the Red Sox.

At home, the Giants have gone 9-7 this year, but they have been just 5-10 on the road. So far, they have been right around .500 both as the favorite (10-9) and as the underdog (4-8). The Giants’ overall series record is 4-3-2, and they have won two straight series.

When the Giants are favored, they are 6-13 against the run line. When they are the underdog, they are 7-5. They have a losing streak against the run line on the road, as they have failed to cover in their last two games. Overall, they are 13-18 against the run line this season.

The San Francisco Giants have gone under the total in five straight games, and their games have averaged just eight runs per game this season. Their over/under record is 14-16, and the average over/under line in their games is eight runs. Today’s over/under line is set at 9.5 runs, but the Giants have not had a game with an over/under line higher than 9.0 runs this season.

Red Sox Records & Recent Play

Boston is hosting the Giants today with an overall record of 18-13, and they have won four straight games. The Red Sox are 3rd in the AL East, 1.5 games behind the Orioles for the division lead. So far, they have yet to win a game vs. another AL East team, as they are 0-3.

The Red Sox have been playing well lately, as they are 7-3 over their last 10 games. At home, they are 7-8 this year and 11-5 on the road. As the home underdog, Boston has gone 3-4 this year, and they are 9-9 as the underdog overall. Boston’s record as the favorite is 9-4. Their overall series record is 5-3-1, and they are the underdog in their series vs. the Giants.

The Red Sox have been a good bet on the run line this season, going 18-13 overall. They have been especially good on the run line on the road, where they are 12-4. They have covered the run line in two straight games and have been a good bet as the underdog, going 13-5.

When the Red Sox and Giants faced off on Tuesday, the over/under line was set at 8.5 runs, and the game finished with a total of just eight runs. The previous game between these two teams had an over/under line of eight runs, and that game finished with a total of four runs. The Red Sox have had just two games this season with over/under lines higher than 9.5 runs, and they have gone under in both of those games. Overall, the Red Sox have gone under in 15 of their 28 games this season.

Pitching Matchup

Giants starter Kyle Harrison has made six starts this season and has a record of 2-1 with an ERA of 4.09. Looking at his overall numbers, Harrison has a WHIP of 1.24 and opponents are batting .265 this season. In his six starts, he has turned in four quality starts. The left-hander’s last outing came on April 26th, where he didn’t allow a run in six innings of work. He finished with a no-decision in that outing. Harrison has not given up a home run in his last two starts.

Through two starts, Josh Winckowski has a record of 1-1 and an ERA of 3.50 for the Red Sox. He has made a total of nine appearances this season. Winckowski’s WHIP for the season is currently 1.67. In his last outing, he started against the Cubs and went three innings, finishing with a no-decision. He didn’t give up a run in that outing. Looking back at his last four outings, Winckowski has finished with a no-decision in three of them. The right-hander has given up one homer in each of his last two outings.

Giants vs. Red Sox Offense Outlook

As a team, the Giants are batting .239 this season, which is 13th in the league and have been averaging 3.8 runs per game. At home, they are scoring just 3.4 runs per contest. San Francisco’s team OPS of .678 is 18th in the league, and they are also near the bottom of the league in terms of on-base percentage and isolated power.

Michael Conforto and Jorge Soler are tied for the team lead in home runs, with five apiece. Conforto is also the team’s leader in RBIs, with 16. Soler is batting just .211 for the season and is hitting just .095 over his last six games. Matt Chapman is also struggling at the plate, with a batting average of .223.

Heading into today’s game, the Red Sox are 5th in the league in home runs and are averaging 4.8 runs per game, which is 9th in the MLB. Boston has been even better on the road, averaging 5.1 runs per contest. As a team, the Red Sox are batting .251, which is the 6th best mark in the league.

Tyler O’Neill has been a big power threat for the Red Sox this season, as his nine homers are the 2nd most in the league. O’Neill is also batting .304, and he is currently on a six-game hitting streak. Over his last seven games, Rafael Devers is hitting .462 with one home run, and Jarren Duran has gone deep in two of his last six games.

Free Giants vs. Red Sox MLB Pick

With the Red Sox at home, we like them to pick up a win over the Giants. And with the Red Sox money line sitting at -113, this is the way we recommend playing this one.

Looking at the starting pitchers, our projections have Kyle Harrison picking up six strikeouts, which is good for sixth among today’s starters. As for Josh Winckowski, we have him finishing with four K’s, which is fourth worst.

Need a sportsbook promo code? Click Here!

MLB Betting Guide

New to betting on baseball? We've got you covered! Our comprehensive how to bet on baseball article explains all the different types of wagers offered at the sportsbooks including money lines, over/unders, run lines, parlays and more! Also get tips and strategies to increase your odds of beating the bookies!