Red Sox vs. Yankees Best Bet 7/17/22

by | Last updated Jul 17, 2022 | mlb

Boston Red Sox vs New York Yankees

Date: Sunday, July 17th, 01:35 ET

Location: Yankee Stadium


Money Line: Red Sox 163 / Yankees -200 (Get the best MLB lines >>> It’s something you have to do if you ever want to come out ahead and beat the bookies!)

Total Line: 8


Boston: Chris Sale (0-0, 0.0)
New York: Gerrit Cole (8-2, 3.05)

Red Sox Projected Lineup

Franchy Cordero 1B
Christian Vázquez C
Alex Verdugo LF
Trevor Story 2B
Jackie Bradley Jr. CF
Rafael Devers 3B
J.D. Martinez LF
Xander Bogaerts SS
Jarren Duran CF
Chris Sale P

Yankees Projected Lineup

Aaron Hicks LF
Jose Trevino C
Gleyber Torres 2B
Josh Donaldson 3B
Giancarlo Stanton RF
DJ LeMahieu 3B
Isiah Kiner-Falefa SS
Anthony Rizzo 1B
Aaron Judge CF
Gerrit Cole P


Boston Red Sox: 48-44-0 SU / OU 41-44-7 / Run Line W/L 50-42-0
New York Yankees: 63-28-0 SU / OU 44-45-2 / Run Line W/L 44-47-0

The New York Yankees host the Boston Red Sox on Sunday, July 17th at Yankee Stadium. The first pitch in this matchup is scheduled for 01:35 ET. The MLB Odds Board places New York as the favorite (-200), with an OU line set at OFF.

Recent Form

The Red Sox come into this matchup having suffered a 13-run loss to the Yankees (14-1). On their way to giving up 14 runs, the Red Sox staff allowed 9 hits. On offense, the Red Sox finished with 1 run on 9 hits. Boston’s loss came as the underdog, getting 145.0 on the moneyline. This game went over the posted over-under line of 9.0 runs. On the season, Boston’s over-under record is 41-44-7.

After their 5 most recent games, the Red Sox have gone just 1-4. This mark has come on an average run margin of just -17. Boston’s offense is in the middle of a cold streak, as their offensive production has dipped to just 2.6 runs per game over their last 5 contests. Boston’s overall series record is just 12-12-5.

The New York Yankees will be looking to pick up another win, as they most recently defeated the Red Sox by 13 runs (14-1). For the game, the pitching staff held the Red Sox to 1 run on 9 hits. In the victory, the Yankees came up with 9 hits and 14 runs. In the game, New York was able to take care of business as they were the favorite at -165.0. So far, the team has won 69.0% of the games in which they were favored. In terms of the over-under, the Yankees and Red Sox combined to surpass the line of 9.0 runs. Against the run total, New York is just 44-45-2.

The Yankees come into today’s game looking to turn things around, as they are just 2-3 over their last 5 games. Despite this record, the team still has a positive run differential of +11 (last 5). Despite their struggles in the win column, the offense has averaged 6.8 runs over their last 5 games. This is an improvement over their season-long mark of 5.32. On the season, New York has won more than half of their series, going 20-4-6.

Pitching Matchup

For the Red Sox, starting pitcher Chris Sale has yet to factor into a decision. Currently, Sale has an ERA of just 0.0 while pitching an average of 5.0 innings per outing. Hits have been hard to come by against the left-hander, as his batting average allowed is just 0.167. So far, Sale has yet to give up a home run. Sale is in the bottom half of the league in strikeouts, averaging just 5.0 K’s per game. This includes a strikeout percentage of 26.0%. Throughout the season, Sale has avoided walking batters, allowing just 1.8 per contest.

The New York Yankees will send Gerrit Cole to the mound with an overall record of 8-2. Through 18 appearances, Cole has an ERA of just 3.05 while averaging 5.89 innings per appearance. Hits have been hard to come by against the right-hander, as his batting average allowed is just 0.194. Home runs have been a concern for Cole as he is allowing 1.36 per 9 innings. Overall, Gerrit Cole has struck out 32.0% of the batters he has faced. On average, he averages 7.5 K’s per game. Command has been a problem for Cole, as he is giving up 2.54 walks per outing.

Boston vs New York History

For the season, the Boston Red Sox and New York Yankees will be playing their 10th game of the season. New York holds the edge in the series at 5-4. Through 9 games, the series’ over-under record is 7-2, with the average run total sitting at 7.85 runs per game. The averge scoring margin in these meetings is 3.56 runs. Going back to last year, Boston won the season series, 11 games to 9. In these 20 meetings, the two teams combined for an over-under record of 6-13. Last year, the Red Sox and Yankees averaged 7.85 runs per game. The average scoring differential in this series was 3.05 runs per game.

More Picks: Get our Philadelphia at Miami free pick 7/17/22

Betting Trends

  • The total has gone OVER in 5 of Boston’s last 5 games when playing NY Yankees
  • Boston is 5-1 ATS in its last 6 games when playing NY Yankees
  • The total has gone OVER in 5 of NY Yankees’s last 5 games when playing Boston
  • The total has gone OVER in 8 of NY Yankees’s last 9 games

Boston Red Sox at New York Yankees Prediction

Heading into Sunday’s AL East showdown between New York and Boston, the Yankees are the heavy favorite to come away with a win. Even though Gerrit Cole struggled vs Boston in his last start, I see him bouncing back with a strong performance. On the other side, Chris Sale is making just his 2nd start of the season. Although he fared well his first time out against Tampa Bay, things could be different vs New York. I like the Yankees on the runline.

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