Reds vs. Mariners – MLB Picks 4/17/24
Cincinnati Reds vs. Seattle Mariners
Date: Wednesday, April 17th, 4:10 ET
Location: T-Mobile Park
TV: RSNW
Money Line: Cin +112/Sea -134
Total Line: 7.5
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Betting Preview
Here’s our betting preview for the upcoming MLB clash between the Seattle Mariners and the Reds on Wednesday, April 17th at T-Mobile Park. We provide you with a comprehensive analysis, odds, and predictions to help with your handicapping decision or tail our expert based on the projected lineups and listed starting pitchers.
Betting Odds
| ML | RL | Total | |
|---|---|---|---|
| CIN | +112 | +1.5 | O 7.5 (-120) |
| SEA | -134 | -1.5 | U 7.5 (-102) |
At 4:10 from T-Mobile Park in Seattle, we have an interleague matchup between the Reds and Mariners. Cincinnati comes in with a record of 9-8, while the Mariners are 8-10 overall. The money line odds have the Mariners as the favorite at -134, and the Reds are sitting at +112. The over/under line is at 7.5 runs.
Wednesday’s starting pitching matchup features Andrew Abbott for the Reds and Bryce Miller for the Mariners. You can catch this one on TV on RSNW.
Reds vs. Mariners Projected Lineup
| Player | Batting Order | Position |
|---|---|---|
| Jonathan India | 1 | 2B |
| Will Benson | 2 | CF |
| Christian Encarnacion-Strand | 3 | 1B |
| Jeimer Candelario | 4 | 3B |
| Jake Fraley | 5 | RF |
| Elly De La Cruz | 6 | SS |
| Spencer Steer | 7 | LF |
| Nick Martini | 8 | DH |
| Tyler Stephenson | 9 | C |
| Andrew Abbott | – | SP |
| Player | Batting Order | Position |
|---|---|---|
| J.P. Crawford | 1 | SS |
| Julio Rodríguez | 2 | CF |
| Ty France | 3 | 1B |
| Mitch Haniger | 4 | RF |
| Jorge Polanco | 5 | 2B |
| Mitch Garver | 6 | DH |
| Cal Raleigh | 7 | C |
| Dylan Moore | 8 | LF |
| Luis Urías | 9 | 3B |
| Bryce Miller | – | SP |
Straight Up/Over-Under/ Runline Record
Cincinnati Reds: 9-8 SU / OU 12-5 / Runline 8-9
Seattle picked up a 3-1 win over the Reds in the most recent game of this series. The Mariners had a 2-0 lead going into the 5th inning, and the Reds scored their only run in the 5th. As for the Mariners, they scored an insurance run in the 6th, and both offenses went silent after that.
Logan Gilbert started for the Mariners and picked up the win, going 6 2/3 innings and giving up just one run. He finished the game with six strikeouts but issued five walks. On the other side, Hunter Greene got the start for the Reds and took the loss, giving up one earned run in four innings of work.
Julio Rodriguez was the difference for the Mariners, as he homered twice, scored three times, and finished with two RBIs. Mitch Haniger also had a two-hit game and drove in a run. J.P. Crawford scored the Mariners’ other run and also had two hits.
Reds Records & Recent Play
Cincinnati will be looking to move back to a .500 record today, as they are currently 9-8 and on a two-game losing streak. In the NL Central, they are 1.5 games behind the Brewers, as they come into today’s game 4th in the division standings.
On the road, the Reds are above .500 at 5-3 this season. They have gone just 4-5 at home. Cincinnati has an overall series record of 3-2, which includes winning each of their last two series on the road.
The Reds have been a solid run line bet on the road this season, going 5-3 overall. They have covered the run line in five of their last seven road games. Their average run differential on the road is +1.9 runs per game.
When the Reds and Mariners met earlier this season, they combined for just four runs in a game with a 7.0 over/under line. However, in the Reds’ 12-5 over/under record for the season, the average combined run total has been 10.2 runs per game, and the average over/under line has been set at 9 runs per game.
Mariners Records & Recent Play
Heading into today’s matchup vs. the Reds, the Mariners are in 3rd place in the AL West, just one game behind the Angels for 2nd place and 1.5 games behind the Rangers for the division lead. Overall, the Mariners have a record of 8-10 and have won two straight games.
When playing at home, the Mariners are 6-6 compared to 2-4 on the road. Seattle finally picked up a series win in their most recent series vs. the Reds. This season, the Mariners are 5-5 as the favorite and 3-5 as the underdog.
Seattle is 7-11 against the run line this season, including a 4-8 mark at home. The Mariners have covered the run line in their last two games and are 3-7 against the run line as the favorite.
So far this season, the Seattle Mariners have played 16 games with over/under lines, and their average combined run total has been 7.6 runs per game. Their over/under record is 6-10, and their average over/under line has been set at 8 runs. When the line has been set at 7.5 runs, their over/under record is 3-4. Today’s over/under line is set at 7.5 runs, and the Mariners’ games have had lines set at 7.5 runs or lower in 44.4% of their games. In the games with over/under lines set at 7.5 runs, the over has hit in 3 of the 7 games.
Pitching Matchup
Andrew Abbott and the Reds are on the road to take on the Mariners. Abbott has started 3 games this season and has a 1-1 record. His most recent start was a win over the White Sox, where he went 7 innings and struck out 3.
Bryce Miller has been solid in his first two starts of the season, picking up wins in both outings. He went 7 innings in his first start, allowing just 3 hits and no runs. Then, in his last outing, he went 6 1/3 innings, giving up 3 runs on 3 hits. He has 11 strikeouts in 13 1/3 innings of work.
Reds vs. Mariners Offense Outlook
Our model is high on the Reds’ offense today, with Christian Encarnacion-Strand leading the way. He has the best odds on the team to hit a home run and the 3rd best odds in today’s entire league. Jonathan India is also a player to watch, as his total hits projection is 5th best in the league. If you’re looking for a longshot bet, Spencer Steer has the 9th best odds to hit a home run today.
When it comes to the Mariners’ offensive projections, Julio Rodríguez is expected to have a big game. He has the highest total hits projection on the team and the 8th highest in the league today. His home run projection is 2nd on the team and 8th in the league. If you’re looking for a long shot to hit a home run, Cal Raleigh has the top odds on the Mariners and the 5th best in the league today.
Free Reds vs. Mariners MLB Pick
Our prediction for this Reds vs. Mariners matchup is that the Reds will pick up a road win over the Mariners. Given that they are the underdog at +112, we see this as a great opportunity to take them on the money line.
Looking at some of the key stats, the Reds lineup is projected to have a big day, with them having the second-most home runs in the league today. As for the Mariners, they are predicted to have the sixth-most runs in the league, and we have them finishing with nine hits compared to the Reds with 10.
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