Reds vs. Pirates Expert Pick for April 22/23

by | Last updated Apr 22, 2023 | mlb

Cincinnati Reds vs. Pittsburgh Pirates
Date: Saturday, April 22nd, 6:35 ET
Location: PNC Park
TV: SNPT
Money Line: Reds +130/Pirates -154 (Bet smart! Stop overpaying for odds! Bet cheaper at BAS!)
Total Line: 9

Betting Preview

Here’s our betting preview for the upcoming MLB clash between the Pittsburgh Pirates and the Reds on Saturday, April 22nd at PNC Park. We provide you with a comprehensive analysis, odds, and predictions to help with your handicapping decision or tail our expert based on the projected lineups and listed starting pitchers.

Betting Odds

ML RL Total
+130 +1.5 O 9 (-111.0)
-154 -1.5 U 9 (-110.0)

Reds vs. Pirates Projected Lineup

 

Batting Order Position
Jonathan India 1 2B
Spencer Steer 2 3B
Wil Myers 3 LF
Tyler Stephenson 4 C
Stuart Fairchild 5 RF
Nick Senzel 6 CF
TJ Friedl 7 LF
Jose Barrero 8 SS
Curt Casali 9 C
Luis Cessa RP

 

Batting Order Position
Ji Hwan Bae 1 2B
Bryan Reynolds 2 CF
Andrew McCutchen 3 LF
Carlos Santana 4 1B
Ke’Bryan Hayes 5 3B
Canaan Smith-Njigba 6 LF
Rodolfo Castro 7 2B
Jack Suwinski 8 RF
Jason Delay 9 C
Rich Hill SP

 

Straight Up/Over-Under/ Runline Record

Cincinnati Reds: 7-13 SU / OU 11-9 / Runline 12-8
Pittsburgh Pirates: 14-7 SU / OU 10-11 / Runline 13-8

If the Reds are going to climb out of last place in the NL Central, they will need to turn things around with a win over the Pirates. Heading into the game, the Reds have lost four straight games and stand with an overall record of 7-13. On the road, the Reds are 1-7 and 6-6 at home. The team’s overall series record is 1-3.

 

  • The Reds have covered the runline in 60.0% of their games and have an average run margin of -1.0
  • The Reds have been favored in 20.0% of their games and have runline records of 6-6 and 6-2 at home and on the road, respectively
  • The over has hit in 55% of the Reds’ 20 games at 11-9.

On a record of 14-7, the Pirates are 2nd in the NL Central. Currently, they are 0.5 games out of the division lead. Against the Reds, they will be seeking their 6th straight win. On the road, they have a record of 9-4 while going 5-3 at home. Pittsburgh’s overall series record is 3-2.

 

  • The Pirates have covered the runline in 61.9% of their games and have an average run margin of 1.0
  • The Pirates have been favored in 19.0% of their games and have runline records of 3-5 and 10-3 at home and on the road, respectively
  • So far, the Pirates have an over/under record of just 10-11.

Pitching Matchup

Pitcher Appearances Started IP Record ERA WHIP HR
Luis Cessa 3 3 12 0-2 13.50 2.75 3

With an overall record of 0-2, the Reds will give Luis Cessa the start. His ERA stands at 13.50 with a K/9 figure of 0.2 after making three appearances. Additionally, he has a FIP of 8.34 and an OBP of .486.

Luis Cessa will look to bounce back from a short outing against the Phillies. In the Reds’ 14-3 loss, Cessa gave up 11 runs in three innings of work.

Pitcher Appearances Started IP Record ERA WHIP HR
Rich Hill 4 4 21 1-2 5.57 1.33 7

With an overall record of 1-2, the Pirates will give Rich Hill the start. His ERA stands at 5.57 with a K/9 figure of 0.7 after making four appearances. Additionally, he has a FIP of 7.10 and an OBP of .315.

Rich Hill earned a win and a quality start in his previous game, leading his team to a 14-3 win over the Rockies. He allowed one run and six hits across six innings.

Reds vs. Pirates Offense Outlook

The Reds have played 20 games and are currently ranked 20th in the league, averaging 4.4 runs per game. Cincinnati ranks 26th in home runs, (15) and have a collective batting average of .235, including .220 on the road and .242 at home.

Cincinnati Reds Top Hitters On The Road

Player BA HR SLG WOBA
TJ Friedl .323 0 .387 .337
Jonathan India .312 0 .375 .348
Spencer Steer .308 1 .538 .374
Tyler Stephenson .241 0 .310 .323
Jake Fraley .250 0 .292 .334

Cincinnati Reds Top Hitters: Last Five Games

Player BA H R HR SLG
TJ Friedl .300 5 0 0 .367
Jonathan India .200 4 2 0 .250
Kevin Newman .333 4 2 1 .667
Jose Barrero .183 3 2 0 .233
Tyler Stephenson .217 4 1 0 .283

The Pirates have played 21 games and are currently ranked 5th in the league, averaging 5.1 runs per game. Pittsburgh ranks 5th in home runs, (27) and have a collective batting average of .251, including .255 on the road and .211 at home.

Pittsburgh Pirates Top Hitters vs. Righties

Player BA HR SLG WOBA
Bryan Reynolds .333 5 .684 .423
Andrew McCutchen .359 2 .564 .439
Ke’Bryan Hayes .212 0 .308 .274
Jack Suwinski .290 4 .710 .440
Connor Joe .300 0 .533 .375

Pittsburgh Pirates Top Hitters: Last Five Games

Player BA H R HR SLG
Jack Suwinski .433 4 5 4 1.733
Connor Joe .467 9 8 1 .893
Carlos Santana .297 6 4 0 .413
Andrew McCutchen .147 4 4 2 .407
Rodolfo Castro .117 3 4 1 .267

Free MLB Pick

The Reds continue be a weak road team. Even worse, they’ve only hit two dingers on the road this season in 266 at bats. They’ll face Rich Hill Saturday who is coming off a 6 inning/1 earned run performance at Coors Field. Hopefully the old 43-year-old lefty has something left in the tank! I’m betting the Pirates at -147. Bet your MLB Predictions for FREE this week by scoring a massive 100% real cash bonus on your first deposit of $100 to $300 when you use bonus code PREDICT100 at MyBookie Sportsbook!

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