Rockies vs. Dodgers Odds, Trends, Predictions

by | Sep 30, 2022 | mlb

Colorado Rockies vs Los Angeles Dodgers
Date: Friday September 30th, 10:10 ET
Location: Dodger Stadium
TV: ATT SportsNet-RM
Money Line: Rockies +332 / Dodgers -375
Total Line: 8

STARTING PITCHING

Colorado: Chad Kuhl (6-10, 5.59) Los Angeles: Clayton Kershaw (10-3, 2.42)

Rockies Projected Lineup

Michael Toglia RF Elias Díaz C Elehuris Montero 1B Ezequiel Tovar SS Alan Trejo 2B José Iglesias SS C.J. Cron 1B Randal Grichuk RF Yonathan Daza CF Chad Kuhl P

Dodgers Projected Lineup

Chris Taylor LF Cody Bellinger CF Max Muncy 3B Mookie Betts RF Justin Turner 3B Gavin Lux 2B Will Smith C Freddie Freeman 1B Trea Turner SS Clayton Kershaw P

STRAIGHT UP/ OVER/UNDER / RUN LINE RECORDS

Colorado Rockies: 65-90-0 SU / OU 73-76-7 / Run Line W/L 82-74-0 Los Angeles Dodgers: 107-48-0 SU / OU 65-79-12 / Run Line W/L 94-62-0

The Los Angeles Dodgers host the Colorado Rockies on Friday, September 30th at Dodger Stadium. The first pitch in this matchup is scheduled for 10:10 ET. The MLB Odds Board places Los Angeles as the favorite (-375), with an OU line set at 8.

Recent Form

Colorado heads into today’s action, looking to rebound from a 6-4 loss to the Giants. In the loss, Colorado’s pitchers gave up 6 runs on 9 hits. The Rockies ended the game with just 4 runs on 7 hits. The loss came as Colorado was the betting underdog, getting 210.0 on the moneyline. With the over-under line set at 7.0 runs, the Rockies and SF Giants combined to go over this total. The Rockies now have an over-under record of 73-76-7.

In their last 5 games, the Rockies are below .500, at 0-5. In this rough stretch of games, the team’s run differential comes in at -21. Colorado’s offense is in the middle of a cold streak, as their offensive production has dipped to just 3.6 runs per game over their last 5 contests. Colorado’s overall series record is just 19-25-5.

Los Angeles is coming off a 3 run win over the Padres (5-2). In the winning effort, the team’s pitchers held the Padres to 2 runs and 10 hits. At the plate, the Dodgers scored 5 times on 7 hits. Heading into action, Los Angeles was the favorite at -150.0. So far, the team has won 70.0% of the games in which they were favored. With this result, the Dodgers and Padres combined to fall below the over-under line of 8.0 runs. This result comes as no surprise, as the team’s over-under record is just 65-79-12.

In their last 5 games, the Dodgers have put together a record of 4-1. Their recent success is backed by an average scoring margin of +10 (last 5). Los Angeles has played above .500 baseball, despite averaging just 3.8 runs in their last 5 games. This is a drop in production compared to their season average of 5.26. On the season, Los Angeles has won more than half of their series, going 37-10-2.

Pitching Matchup

Colorado will roll with Chad Kuhl (6-10) as their starter. To date, Kuhl has an ERA of 5.59 while lasting an average of 5.12 innings per appearance. Opposing teams have hit the ball well against the right-hander, with a batting average of 0.278. Opponents are hitting for power against Kuhl, as his HR/9 figure sits at 1.62. Per game, Chad Kuhl is averaging 4.15, on a strikeout percentage of 18.0%. In his previous outings, walks have been an issue, as Kuhl is averaging 3.7 free passes per outing.

Clayton Kershaw gets the start for the Dodgers, with an overall record of 10-3. Through 20 appearances, Kershaw has an ERA of just 2.42 while averaging 5.75 innings per appearance. Hits have been hard to come by against the right-hander, as his batting average allowed is just 0.211. Not only does Kershaw have a strong batting average allowed, but he has also avoided giving up home runs. In his previous outings, opponents are averaging just 0.70 home runs allowed per 9 innings. Overall, Clayton Kershaw has struck out 27.0% of the batters he has faced. On average, he averages 6.2 K’s per game. Command has been a problem for Kershaw, as he is giving up 1.56 walks per outing.

Colorado vs Los Angeles History

For the season, the Colorado Rockies and Los Angeles Dodgers will be playing their 14th game of the season. Los Angeles holds the edge in the series at 8-5. Through 13 games, the series over-under record is 3-8, with the average run total sitting at 9.63 runs per game. The averge scoring margin in these meetings is 3.46 runs. Dating back to last season, the Los Angeles picked up 13 wins compared to 6, taking the season series. The over-under record in last year’s matchups was 7-12, with the average run total being 9.63 runs per game. On average, the winning team won by a margin of 3.11 runs per contest.

Betting Trends

  • The total has gone UNDER in 7 of Colorado’s last 8 games when playing on the road against LA Dodgers
  • The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Colorado’s last 6 games when playing LA Dodgers
  • LA Dodgers is 7-1 SU in its last 8 games when playing Colorado
  • The total has gone UNDER in 7 of LA Dodgers’s last 8 games when playing at home against Colorado

Colorado Rockies at Los Angeles Dodgers Prediction

Heading into Friday’s NL West matchup between Colorado and Los Angeles, look for the Dodgers to cruise to an easy win, as the Rockies have lost 3 straight games with Chad Kuhl on the mound. Look for the Dodgers to jump all over Kuhl who currently has a WHIP of 1.51. I like Los Angeles to cover the runline.

Free MLB Pick: Dodgers Runline