Rockies vs. Marlins Odds & Pick

by | Jun 23, 2022 | mlb

Colorado Rockies vs Miami Marlins
Date: Thursday, June 23rd, 12:10 ET
Location: LoanDepot park
TV: Bally Sports Florida
Money Line: Rockies -103 / Marlins -117 (BetNow)
Total Line: 8.5

STARTING PITCHING

Colorado: Kyle Freeland (3-5, 4.46)
Miami: Braxton Garrett (1-2, 4.85)

Rockies Projected Lineup

Ryan McMahon 3B
José Iglesias SS
Brendan Rodgers 2B
Randal Grichuk RF
Elias Díaz C
Charlie Blackmon RF
C.J. Cron 1B
Connor Joe LF
Yonathan Daza CF
Kyle Freeland P

Marlins Projected Lineup

Miguel Rojas SS
Jacob Stallings C
Jesús Aguilar 1B
Avisaíl García RF
Jon Berti 2B
Bryan De La Cruz LF
Jorge Soler LF
Garrett Cooper 1B
Jasrado Chisholm Jr. 2B
Braxton Garrett P

STRAIGHT UP/ OVER/UNDER / RUN LINE RECORDS

Colorado Rockies: 30-39-0 SU / OU 35-31-3 / Run Line W/L 35-34-0
Miami Marlins: 31-36-0 SU / OU 35-31-1 / Run Line W/L 36-31-0

The Miami Marlins host the Colorado Rockies on Thursday, June 23rd at LoanDepot park. The first pitch in this matchup is scheduled for 12:10 ET. The MLB Odds Board places Miami as the favorite (-117), with an OU line set at 8.5.

Recent Form

The Rockies come into this matchup having suffered a 3 run loss to the Marlins (7-4). In the loss, Colorado’s pitchers gave up 7 runs on 11 hits. With their 6 hits, the Rockies could only muster 4 runs. The loss came as Colorado was the betting underdog, getting 160.0 on the moneyline. With the over-under line set at 8.0 runs, the Rockies and Marlins combined to go over this total. Colorado has had more than half of their games go over the over-under line (35-31-3).

The Rockies come into this game with a 3-2 record of their last 5 contests. During this time, they have an average scoring differential of +8. A key to their recent success has been an offense averaging 7.0 runs per game, compared to their season average of 4.62. Colorado’s overall series record is just 9-11-2.

Miami is coming off a 3 run win over the Rockies (7-4). For the game, the pitching staff held the Rockies to 4 runs on 6 hits. Offensively, they finished with 7 runs on 11 hits. Miami picked up the win while being favored at -195.0. For the season, the team has been favored in 34 games, winning at a rate of 59.0%. The Marlins and Rockies went over the run total line set at 8.0 runs. Overall, the team has gone over the betting line in over half of their games, going 35-31-1.

Across their last 5 contests, the Marlins are above .500, going 3-2. Their recent success is backed by an average scoring margin of +1 (last 5). Miami is still playing winning baseball, even with their offense averaging just 4.8 runs per game, compared to a season long mark of 4.54. Miami has a below .500 series record of just 8-13-1.

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Pitching Matchup

The Colorado Rockies will send Kyle Freeland to the mound with an overall record of 3-5. To date, Freeland has an ERA of 4.46 while lasting an average of 5.55 innings per appearance. Teams have been able to rack up runs against him, as he has a batting average allowed of 0.274. This season, Freeland has been able to avoid giving up home runs, allowing just 0.87 per 9 innings. Overall, he is averaging 3.69 per game, on a K rate of 15.0%. Command has been a problem for Freeland, as he is giving up 2.85 walks per outing.

Miami will roll with Braxton Garrett (1-2) as their starter. To date, Garrett has an ERA of 4.85 while lasting an average of 4.33 innings per appearance. Teams have been able to rack up runs against him, as he has a batting average allowed of 0.291. Home runs have been an issue for Garrett, as he is allowing an average of 1.38 per 9 innings pitched. Garrett is in the bottom half of the league in strikeouts, averaging just 3.33 K’s per game. This includes a strikeout percentage of 16.0%. Leading into the game, he has shown a strong command of his pitches, averaging just 2.77 walks per contest.

Colorado vs Miami History

For the season, the Colorado Rockies and Miami Marlins will be playing their 6th game of the season. Miami holds the edge in the series at 3-2. The over-under record in this series sits at 4-1. The average run total in these games is 13.0 runs per game. The averge scoring margin in these meetings is 4.8 runs. Last season, Colorado picked up the series win, 4 games to 2. The over-under record in last year’s matchups was 5-1, with the average run total being 13.0 runs per game. On average, the winning team won by a margin of 5.33 runs per contest.

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Betting Trends

  • Colorado is 9-1 ATS in its last 10 games on the road
  • The total has gone OVER in 7 of Colorado’s last 8 games when playing Miami
  • The total has gone OVER in 7 of Miami’s last 8 games when playing Colorado
  • Miami is 5-1 SU in its last 6 games when playing at home against Colorado

Colorado Rockies at Miami Marlins Prediction

Heading into Thursday’s National League matchup between Colorado and Miami, the over-under line is set at 8.5 runs. Look for the Rockies and Marlins to once again put up a bunch of runs, as both starting pitchers have had their struggles on the mound. I recommend taking the over at 8.5 runs.

Free MLB Pick: Over 8.5 Runs

MLB Betting Guide

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