Rockies vs. Mets Odds, Analysis, Pick 8/25/22

by | Aug 25, 2022 | mlb

Colorado Rockies vs New York Mets

Date: Thursday August 25th, 07:10 ET

Location: Citi Field

TV: ATT SportsNet-RM

Money Line: Rockies +355 / Mets -400 (SportsBetting.ag - 100% free play with bonus code PREDICTEM)

Total Line: 7.0

STARTING PITCHING

Colorado: Ryan Feltner (2-4, 5.88)
New York: Jacob deGrom (2-1, 2.31)

Rockies Projected Lineup

Elehuris Montero 3B
Elias Díaz C
Ryan McMahon 3B
Charlie Blackmon RF
Randal Grichuk RF
Sam Hilliard LF
Brendan Rodgers 2B
C.J. Cron 1B
José Iglesias SS
Ryan Feltner P

Mets Projected Lineup

Mark Canha LF
Brett Baty 3B
Daniel Vogelbach 1B
Starling Marte RF
Jeff McNeil 2B
James McCann C
Francisco Lindor SS
Pete Alonso 1B
Brandon Nimmo CF
Jacob deGrom P

STRAIGHT UP/ OVER/UNDER / RUN LINE RECORDS

Colorado Rockies: 54-71-0 SU / OU 61-57-7 / Run Line W/L 67-58-0
New York Mets: 79-46-0 SU / OU 62-54-9 / Run Line W/L 68-57-0

The New York Mets host the Colorado Rockies on Thursday August 25th at Citi Field. The first pitch in this matchup is scheduled for 07:10 ET. The MLB Odds Board places New York as the favorite (-380), with an OU line set at 7.0.

Recent Form

The Rockies will look to bounce back from a tough loss to Texas by the score of 16-4. Colorado’s pitching staff finished the game by allowing 18 hits, leading to 16 runs. With their 9 hits, the Rockies could only muster 4 runs. Colorado’s loss came as the underdog, getting 115.0 on the moneyline. Together, the Rockies and Texas combined to surpass the over-under betting line set at 11.0 runs. This result is part of a larger trend, as Colorado has had the over has hit in more than half of their games (61-57-7).

The Rockies come into this game with a 3-2 record over their last 5 contests. Despite their recent success, their last 5 run margin comes in at -8. Offensively, the team has put up 30 runs in their last 5 games. Colorado’s season average comes in at 4.54 (9th. Colorado’s overall series record is just 16-19-4.

In New York’s last outing, they fell by a score of 4-2 to the Yankees. Even in the loss, the pitching staff allowed just 4 runs on 8 hits. At the plate, the Mets only came through for 2 runs on 9 hits. Leading into New York’s loss, they were the underdogs, getting 110.0 on the moneyline. In their 30 games as the underdog, their straight-up win percentage sits at 47.0%. Combined, the Mets and Yankees’ run total fell below the over-under line of 9.0 runs. Even still, New York games have still gone over the betting total over half of the time, at 62-54-9.

The Mets come into today’s game looking to turn things around, as they are just 2-3 over their last 5 games. During this time, the team has an even run differential. Even with their recent struggles, the offense has been steady, averaging 4.6 runs per game. This is right in line with their season average of 4.75. On the season, New York has won more than half of their series, going 28-8-3.

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Pitching Matchup

The Colorado Rockies will send Ryan Feltner to the mound with an overall record of 2-4. To date, Feltner has an ERA of 5.88 while lasting an average of 4.68 innings per appearance. Compared to other starters, the right-hander has a high BA allowed, currently sitting at 0.271. Home runs have been an issue for Feltner, as he is allowing an average of 1.6 per 9 innings pitched. Feltner has accumulated a strikeout percentage of 20.0% and a per-game average of 4.08. Throughout the season, Feltner has avoided walking batters, allowing just 2.86 per contest.

Jacob deGrom gets the start for the Mets, with an overall record of 2-1. In his previous outings, deGrom has lasted an average of 5.78 innings, putting together an ERA of just 2.31. Overall, opponents have a batting average of just 0.138 against the right-hander. Not only does deGrom have a strong batting average allowed, but he has also avoided giving up home runs. In his previous outings, opponents are averaging just 0.39 home runs allowed per 9 innings. In terms of strikeouts, deGrom is averaging just 9.25 K’s per game. So far, he has struck out 46.0% of the batters he has faced. deGrom has done a good job at limiting walks, averaging just 0.39 per contest.

Colorado vs New York History

For the season, the Colorado Rockies and New York Mets will be playing their 4th game of the season. Currently, New York is winning the season series 2-1. Through 3 games, the series over-under record is 1-2, with the average run total sitting at 5.0 runs per game. In these matchups, the average scoring differential sits at 4.67 runs. Dating back to last season, the New York picked up 5 wins compared to 2, taking the season series. The over-under record in last year’s matchups was 3-3, with the average run total being 5.0 runs per game. On average, the winning team won by a margin of 1.86 runs per contest.

More Picks: Get our recommended bet for the COL/NYM 8/25/22 game

Betting Trends

  • The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Colorado’s last 5 games when playing on the road against NY Mets
  • The total has gone UNDER in 6 of Colorado’s last 8 games when playing NY Mets
  • NY Mets is 8-1 SU in its last 9 games at home
  • NY Mets is 5-1 SU in its last 6 games when playing at home against Colorado

Colorado Rockies at New York Mets Prediction

Leading into Thursday’s matchup between Colorado and New York, the Mets are the heavy-betting favorites. Even though Ryan Feltner is coming off a good outing vs the Giants, I don’t see him replicating that performance vs a more dangerous Mets lineup. In addition, Jackob deGrom has come out of the gates strong after returning from his injury. I like the Mets on the runline.

Free MLB Pick: Mets Runline.