Royals vs. Blue Jays Runline Bet 7/17/22

by | Jul 17, 2022 | mlb

Kansas City Royals vs Toronto Blue Jays

Date: Sunday, July 17th, 12:05 ET

Location: Rogers Centre

TV: Peacock

Money Line: Royals +250 / Blue Jays -310 (MyBookie - Use promo code PREDICT100 to score a 100% real cash bonus up to $300!)

Total Line: 9.0

STARTING PITCHING

Kansas City: Kris Bubic (1-6, 6.79)
Toronto: José Berríos (7-4, 5.38)

Royals Projected Lineup

Nathan Eaton CF
Nicky Lopez 2B
Ryan O’Hearn RF
Nick Pratto 1B
Emmanuel Rivera 3B
Sebastian Rivero C
Vinnie Pasquantino 1B
Edward Olivares LF
Bobby Witt Jr. SS
Kris Bubic P

Blue Jays Projected Lineup

Matt Chapman 3B
Santiago Espinal 2B
Teoscar Hernández RF
Lourdes Gurriel Jr. LF
Danny Jansen C
Alejandro Kirk C
Bo Bichette SS
George Springer CF
Vladimir Guerrero Jr. 1B
José Berríos P

STRAIGHT UP/ OVER/UNDER / RUN LINE RECORDS

Kansas City Royals: 36-55-0 SU / OU 45-42-4 / Run Line W/L 41-50-0
Toronto Blue Jays: 49-43-0 SU / OU 50-41-1 / Run Line W/L 38-54-0

The Toronto Blue Jays host the Kansas City Royals on Sunday, July 17th at Rogers Centre. The first pitch in this matchup is scheduled for 12:05 ET. The MLB Odds Board places Toronto as the favorite (-310), with an OU line set at 9.0.

Recent Form

After suffering a 1-run loss to the Blue Jays (6-5), the Royals will look to get back in the win column. In the loss, Kansas City’s pitchers gave up 6 runs on 12 hits. Offensively, they finished with 5 runs on 9 hits. Kansas City’s loss came as the underdog, getting 250.0 on the moneyline. This game went over the posted over-under line of 9.0 runs. This result is part of a larger trend, as Kansas City has had the over hit in more than half of their games (45-42-4).

In their last 5 games, the Royals are below .500, at 2-3. In this rough stretch of games, the team’s run differential comes in at -5. In their last 5 contests, Kansas City is averaging 3.8 runs per game, right in line with their season average of 3.92. Kansas City’s overall series record is just 8-18-3.

The Blue Jays are coming off a tight 6-5 win over the Royals. On their way to giving up 5 runs, the Blue Jays staff allowed 9 hits. Offensively, they finished with 6 runs on 12 hits. Heading into action, Toronto was the favorite at -300.0. So far, the team has won 56% of the games in which they were favored. The Blue Jays and Royals went over the run total line set at 9.0 runs. For the season, the team’s over-under record is 50-41-1.

In their last 5 games, the Blue Jays have put together a record of 4-1. Their recent success is backed by an average scoring margin of +13 (last 5). Toronto has benefited from strong pitching, as their offense has slipped in their last 5 games, averaging just 5.4 runs per game. Their overall average sits at 4.61. On the season, Toronto has won more than half of their series, going 15-11-3.

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Pitching Matchup

Kansas City will roll with Kris Bubic (1-6) as their starter. To date, Bubic has an ERA of 6.79 while lasting an average of 3.86 innings per appearance. Teams have been able to rack up runs against him, as he has a batting average allowed of 0.305. Home runs have been an issue for Bubic, as he is allowing an average of 1.5 per 9 innings pitched. Overall, he is averaging 3.36 per game, on a K rate of 18.0%. Command has been a problem for Bubic, as he is giving up 5.63 walks per outing.

The Toronto Blue Jays will send José Berríos to the mound with an overall record of 7-4. Berríos gets the start with an ERA of 5.38. On average, he has lasted 5.28 innings per appearance. Compared to other starters, the right-hander has a high BA allowed of 0.278. Opposing hitters are hitting home runs at an above-average rate against Berríos. This year, he is allowing 1.8 HRs per 9 innings pitched. Per game, José Berríos is averaging 4.78, on a strikeout percentage of 21.0%. Berríos comes into the game hoping to improve his walk numbers, as he is averaging 2.17 free passes per outing.

Kansas City vs Toronto History

For the season, the Kansas City Royals and Toronto Blue Jays will be playing their 7th game of the season. Currently, Toronto is winning the season series 4-2. The over-under record in this series sits at 3-3. The average run total in these games is 6.43 runs per game. In these matchups, the average scoring differential sits at 4.83 runs. Dating back to last season, Toronto picked up 4 wins compared to 3, taking the season series. In these 7 meetings, the two teams combined for an over-under record of 1-5. Last year, the Royals and Blue Jays averaged 6.43 runs per game. On average, the winning team won by a margin of 2.71 runs per contest.

More Picks: Get our Red Sox vs. Yankees free pick 7/17/22

Betting Trends

  • The total has gone UNDER in 8 of Kansas City’s last 11 games when playing Toronto
  • Kansas City is 5-2 ATS in its last 7 games
  • Toronto is 5-1 ATS in its last 6 games when playing at home against Kansas City
  • Toronto is 5-1 SU in its last 6 games when playing at home against Kansas City

Kansas City Royals at Toronto Blue Jays Prediction

Heading into Sunday’s American League matchup between Kansas City and Toronto, the Blue Jays are the heavy favorite on the moneyline. There is no reason to think that Toronto won’t walk away with a multiple-run win, as the Royals have lost 4 straight games with Chris Bubic on the mound. I like Toronto on the runline.

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