Royals vs. Tigers Total Pick 7/3/22

by | Last updated Jul 3, 2022 | mlb

Kansas City Royals vs Detroit Tigers
Date: Sunday, July 3rd, 12:05 ET
Location: Comerica Park
TV: Peacock
Money Line: Royals +105 / Tigers -125 (BetNow)
Total Line: 7.5


Kansas City: Brady Singer (3-3, 4.5) Detroit: Tarik Skubal (5-6, 3.54)

Royals Projected Lineup

Edward Olivares RF Michael A. Taylor CF Hunter Dozier 1B Vinnie Pasquantino 1B Nicky Lopez 3B MJ Melendez C Bobby Witt Jr. SS Whit Merrifield 2B Andrew Benintendi LF Brady Singer P

Tigers Projected Lineup

Jeimer Candelario 3B Willi Castro RF Riley Greene CF Spencer Torkelson 1B Jonathan Schoop 2B Eric Haase C Miguel Cabrera 1B Robbie Grossman LF Javier Báez SS Tarik Skubal P


Kansas City Royals: 28-48-0 SU / OU 36-36-4 / Run Line W/L 32-44-0 Detroit Tigers: 30-46-0 SU / OU 26-46-4 / Run Line W/L 35-41-0

The Detroit Tigers host the Kansas City Royals on Sunday, July 3rd at Comerica Park. The first pitch in this matchup is scheduled for 12:05 ET. The MLB Odds Board places Detroit as the favorite (-125), with an OU line set at 7.5.

Recent Form

The Royals will look to rebound from a close, 4-3 loss to the Tigers. In the loss, Kansas City’s pitchers gave up 4 runs on 7 hits. On offense, the Royals finished with 3 runs on 6 hits. The loss came as Kansas City was the betting underdog, getting 111.0 on the moneyline. This matchup remained below the over-under line set at 9.0 runs. After the game, Kansas City dropped back to an over-under record of 36-36-4.

Over the Royals’ last 5 contests, they have a record of just 2-3. This mark has come on an average run margin of just -9. On offense, Kansas City’s offense has experienced a dip in production, averaging 3.0 runs per game over their last 5 contests. Kansas City’s overall series record is just 5-16-4.

The Tigers will look to add another win, as in their last game, they defeated the Royals by a score of 4-3. In the winning effort, the team’s pitchers held the Royals to 3 runs and 6 hits. With their 7 hits, the Tigers could only muster 4 runs. Heading into action, Detroit was the favorite at -133.0. For the season, the team has been favored in 19 games, winning at a rate of 47.0%. With this result, the Tigers and Royals combined to fall below the over-under line of 9.0 runs. Now, Detroit had an over-under record of 26-46-4.

In their last 5 contests, the Tigers have just 2 wins, going 2-3. This recent slump is backed by a scoring margin of -5 over their last 5 games. Even with their recent struggles, the offense has been steady, averaging 3.6 runs per game. This is right in line with their season average of 2.99. Detroit has a below .500 series record of just 6-14-5.

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Pitching Matchup

The Kansas City Royals will send Brady Singer to the mound with an overall record of 3-3. So far, Singer has put together an ERA of 4.50. In his appearances leading up to today, he has lasted an average of 4.91 innings. Opposing teams have hit the ball well against the right-hander, with a batting average of 0.25. Opposing batters have been able to drive the ball with power against Singer, averaging 1.5 homers per 9 innings pitched. Singer has accumulated a strikeout percentage of 22.0% and a per game average of 4.45. Leading into the game, he has shown a strong command of his pitches, averaging just 1.67 walks per contest.

The Detroit Tigers will send Tarik Skubal to the mound with an overall record of 5-6. Skubal gets the start with an ERA of 3.54. On average, he has lasted 5.6 innings per appearance. So far, Skubal has a batting average allowed of 0.241. Opposing batters are hitting for power at a below-average rate against Skubal, as he is allowing just 0.64 per 9 innings. Overall, Tarik Skubal has struck out 26.0% of the batters he has faced. On average, he averages 5.93 K’s per game. For the season, he has struggled with command averaging 2.25 walks per outing.

Kansas City vs Detroit History

For the season, the Kansas City Royals and Detroit Tigers will be playing their 6th game of the season. Currently, Detroit is winning the season series 3-2. Through 5 games, the series’ over-under record is 0-5, with the average run total sitting at 8.05 runs per game. The averge scoring margin in these meetings is 1.6 runs. Last season, Kansas City picked up the series win, 11 games to 8. The over-under record in last year’s matchups was 6-13, with the average run total being 8.05 runs per game. On average, the winning team won by a margin of 2.26 runs per contest.

Betting Trends

  • The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Kansas City’s last 5 games when playing on the road against Detroit
  • The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Kansas City’s last 5 games when playing Detroit
  • The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Detroit’s last 5 games when playing Kansas City
  • The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Detroit’s last 5 games when playing at home against Kansas City

Kansas City Royals at Detroit Tigers Prediction

Heading into Sunday’s early matchup between Kansas City and Detroit, the Tiger’s over-under run total is set at just 7.5 runs. I recommend taking the over, as Brady Singer has been struggling on the mound, and Tarik Skubal has seen his WHIP rise throughout the month of June.

Free MLB Pick: Over 7.5 Runs