Rubber Match: Astros vs. Mets ML Bet

by | Jun 29, 2022 | mlb

Houston Astros vs New York Mets

Date: Wednesday, June 29th, 01:10 ET

Location: Citi Field

TV: ATT SportsNet-SW

Money Line: Astros -125 / Mets +105 (Bovada - 50% bonus up to $250! Rebates on ALL your bets; win or lose! FAST payouts! Best live betting platform on the web! What more could you ask for?)

Total Line: 7.5

STARTING PITCHING

Houston: Justin Verlander (9-3, 2.22)
New York: Taijuan Walker (6-2, 3.03)

Astros Projected Lineup

Jeremy Peña SS
Jake Meyers CF
Kyle Tucker RF
Yuli Gurriel 1B
Alex Bregman 3B
Martín Maldonado C
Yordan Alvarez LF
Jose Altuve 2B
Michael Brantley LF
Justin Verlander P

Mets Projected Lineup

Jeff McNeil 2B
Eduardo Escobar 3B
Mark Canha LF
Starling Marte RF
J.D. Davis 3B
James McCann C
Francisco Lindor SS
Pete Alonso 1B
Brandon Nimmo CF
Taijuan Walker P

STRAIGHT UP/ OVER/UNDER / RUN LINE RECORDS

Houston Astros: 46-27-0 SU / OU 24-46-3 / Run Line W/L 37-36-0
New York Mets: 47-28-0 SU / OU 39-30-6 / Run Line W/L 42-33-0

The New York Mets host the Houston Astros on Wednesday, June 29th at Citi Field. The first pitch in this matchup is scheduled for 01:10 ET. The MLB Odds Board places Houston as the favorite (-125), with an OU line set at 7.5.

Recent Form

The Houston Astros will look to pick up another big win after they defeated the Mets by a score of 9-1. On their way to the victory, the pitching staff gave up 1 run on 8 hits. The Astros benefited from an offense that generated 9 runs on 12 hits. In the matchup, Houston was favored at -125.0 on the moneyline. Through 60 games as the favorite, the team has found the win column at a rate of 67.0%. With the over-under line set at 8.0 runs, the Astros and Mets combined to go over this total. Games involving the Astros have stayed below the over-under line more than half of the time, at 24-46-3.

The Astros are looking to continue adding wins, as they are 3-2 over their last 5 games. During this time, they have an average scoring differential of +9. Houston’s offense heads into action averaging 4.8 runs per game in their last 5 contests. Similar to their season average of 4.36. So far, Houston has won over half of their 24 series played, going 14-8-2.

New York is coming off an 8 run loss to the Astros. Dropping the game 9-1. In the game, the team’s pitching staff allowed a total of 12 hits, leading to 9 runs. The Mets offense ended the game with just 1 run on 8 hits. This loss came as no surprise, as New York came into the game as the underdog, getting 105.0. So far, the team has gone into 20 games as the underdog, still finding the win column at a rate of 45.0%. In terms of the over-under, the Mets and Astros combined to surpass the line of 8.0 runs. Overall, the team has gone over the betting line in over half of their games, going 39-30-6.

The Mets come into today’s game looking to turn things around, as they are just 2-3 over their last 5 games. During this time, the team has a run differential of -7. If New York is going to pick up their play, they need to improve their offensive performance. Over their last 5 contests, they are averaging just 3.2 runs per game, compared to a season average of 4.88. On the season, New York has won more than half of their series, going 17-5-2.

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Pitching Matchup

The Houston Astros will send Justin Verlander to the mound with an overall record of 9-3. Through 14 appearances, Verlander has an ERA of just 2.22 while averaging 6.36 innings per appearance. So far, batters are hitting just 0.192 against him. Per 9 innings pitched, Verlander is averaging 1.11 home runs allowed. On the season, Justin Verlander has had no problem racking up strikeouts, posting a strikeout percentage of 24.0%. This includes a per game average of 6.0 K’s per game. Leading into the game, he has shown a strong command of his pitches, averaging just 1.61 walks per contest.

In today’s game, New York turns to starter Taijuan Walker. For the year, he has a record of 6-2. Through 12 appearances, Walker has an ERA of just 3.03 while averaging 5.42 innings per appearance. This season opponents are hitting 0.243 against Walker. Throughout the season, Walker has done a good job at limiting home runs, allowing 0.41 per 9 innings. Overall, he is averaging 4.08 per game, on a K rate of 18.0%. Command has been a problem for Walker, as he is giving up 2.62 walks per outing.

Houston vs New York History

For the season, the Houston Astros and New York Mets will be playing their 4th game of the season. Houston has the lead in the series at 3-0. Through 3 games, the series’ over-under record is 2-0.

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Betting Trends

  • Houston is 5-0 ATS in its last 5 games when playing NY Mets
  • Houston is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games when playing NY Mets
  • NY Mets is 13-3 SU in its last 16 games at home
  • The total has gone UNDER in 12 of NY Mets’s last 15 games when playing at home against Houston

Houston Astros at New York Mets Prediction

Heading into Wednesday’s interleague matchup between Houston and New York, the Astros are the slight favorites on the moneyline. Look for Houston to pull off another win over the Mets, as Justin Verlander is coming off an outing in which he shut down a dangerous Yankees lineup. I expect the Mets to struggle against the veteran right-hander. I recommend the Astros on the moneyline.

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