San Diego Padres vs. Colorado Rockies Total Pick & Analysis

by | Last updated Jul 31, 2023 | mlb

San Diego Padres vs. Colorado Rockies
Date: Monday, July 31st, 8:40 ET
Location: Coors Field
TV: SNRM
Money Line: Padres -208/Rockies +173 (Pay less for MLB odds at BAS Sportsbook!)
Total Line: 11.5

Betting Preview

Here’s our betting preview for the upcoming MLB clash between the Colorado Rockies and the Padres on Monday, July 31st at Coors Field. We provide you with a comprehensive analysis, odds, and predictions to help with your handicapping decision or tail our expert based on the projected lineups and listed starting pitchers.

Betting Odds

ML RL Total
SD -208 -1.5 O 11.5 (-115)
COL +173 +1.5 U 11.5 (-107)

Padres vs. Rockies Projected Lineup

 

Batting Order Position
Ha-Seong Kim 1 2B
Fernando Tatis Jr. 2 RF
Juan Soto 3 LF
Manny Machado 4 3B
Xander Bogaerts 5 SS
Jake Cronenworth 6 1B
Gary Sánchez 7 C
Matthew Batten 8 DH
Trent Grisham 9 CF
Seth Lugo SP

 

Batting Order Position
Jurickson Profar 1 LF
Ezequiel Tovar 2 SS
Ryan McMahon 3 3B
Elias Díaz 4 C
Nolan Jones 5 RF
Michael Toglia 6 1B
Elehuris Montero 7 DH
Harold Castro 8 2B
Brenton Doyle 9 CF
Austin Gomber SP

 

Straight Up/Over-Under/ Runline Record

San Diego Padres: 52-54 SU / OU 41-57 / Runline 52-54
Colorado Rockies: 41-64 SU / OU 44-61 / Runline 51-54

On a record of 52-54, the Padres are 4th in the NL West. Currently, they are eight games out of the division lead. Against the Rockies, they will be seeking their 4th straight win. On the road, they have a record of 23-29 while going 29-25 at home. San Diego’s overall series record is 12-16-4.

 

  • The Padres have covered the runline in three straight games and have a season-long run margin of 0.6.
  • The Padres have been favored in 76.4% of their games and have runline records of 27-27 and 25-27 at home and on the road, respectively
  • So far, the Padres have an over/under record of just 41-57.

For the season, the Rockies have put together a record of 41-64, including going just 4-6 over their last ten games. In the NL West standings, they are 5th, trailing by 18.5 games. This year, they have gone 24-28 at home and 17-36 on the road with an overall series mark of 12-17-3.

 

  • The Rockies have covered the runline in 48.6% of their games and have an average run margin of -1.4
  • The Rockies have been favored in 13.3% of their games and have runline records of 24-28 and 27-26 at home and on the road, respectively
  • So far, the Rockies have an over/under record of just 44-61.

Pitching Matchup

Pitcher Appearances Started IP Record ERA WHIP HR
Seth Lugo 15 15 82 4-5 3.62 1.20 11

Across his 15 outings, Seth Lugo has a record of 4-5 and ERA of 3.62. One thing to note, is that he has given up a home run in each of his last three appearances. As he takes the mound, his WHIP sits at 1.20 with an OBP allowed of .290. Lugo’s strikeout to walk ratio is 79/16.

The Padres are looking for another good outing from Seth Lugo, as he finished with a quality start in his last outing. Despite, Lugo tossing seven innings and allowing just two runs, the Padres still lost to the Pirates by a score of 3-2.

Pitcher Appearances Started IP Record ERA WHIP HR
Austin Gomber 21 21 108 8-8 5.83 1.44 22

Today will be Austin Gomber’s 22nd appearance this season, and he has an overall record of 8-8. His current ERA stands at 5.83 and OBP allowed of .329. So far, he struckout 72 batters and has a WHIP of 1.44. On the road, his ERA is 4.53 compared to 9.61 at home.

Austin Gomber took a no-decision in his last outing, tossing six innings and giving up one run. Despite picking up a quality start, the Rockies lost to the Nationals by a score of 6-5.

Padres vs. Rockies Offense Outlook

This season, the Padres are ranked 13th in the league with an average of 4.5 runs per game. San Diego is ranked 10th in home runs, with a total of 134 long balls. Their overall batting average is .238, including .224 on the road and .241 at home.

San Diego Padres Top Hitters On The Road

Player BA HR SLG WOBA
Juan Soto .295 13 .579 .419
Xander Bogaerts .249 4 .360 .307
Ha-Seong Kim .289 8 .476 .375
Fernando Tatis Jr. .245 8 .431 .320
Manny Machado .218 10 .443 .306

San Diego Padres Top Hitters: Last Five Games

Player BA H R HR SLG
Gary Sánchez .208 3 3 2 .667
Ha-Seong Kim .583 5 4 0 .583
Fernando Tatis Jr. .150 3 2 1 .300
Jake Cronenworth .417 6 2 0 .479
Manny Machado .329 5 1 0 .392

Through 105 games the Rockies are 18th in the league at 4.4 runs per game. In terms of home runs, Colorado is 20th having gone deep 105 times. Their batting average leading up to today’s game is .254, including .233 on the road and .265 at home.

Colorado Rockies Top Hitters vs. Righties

Player BA HR SLG WOBA
Ryan McMahon .278 13 .510 .374
Elias Díaz .287 6 .414 .326
Ezequiel Tovar .264 5 .407 .302
Jurickson Profar .217 5 .328 .278
Harold Castro .293 1 .367 .297

Colorado Rockies Top Hitters: Last Five Games

Player BA H R HR SLG
Ryan McMahon .333 5 2 1 .667
Randal Grichuk .237 4 2 2 .575
Michael Toglia .396 3 2 1 .646
Elehuris Montero .217 3 2 1 .467
Jurickson Profar .306 3 1 0 .417

Free MLB Pick

Seth Lugo has given up two earned runs or less in four of his last five starts. Austin Gomber has been pitching even better, allowing two earned runs or less in five of his last six games. The Rockies traded away two of their better hitters yesterday in Grichuk and Cron. Albeit short, the Padres had to travel to get to Colorado. There’s lots of reasons to like Monday’s Padres vs. Rockies game to go UNDER 11.5 runs. Bet your MLB picks for FREE this week by scoring a 50% real cash bonus + enjoy the benefits of the BEST live betting platform on the web at Bovada Sportsbook! It’s where we play!

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