San Francisco Giants vs. Cincinnati Reds Best Bet

by | Last updated Jul 19, 2023 | mlb

San Francisco Giants vs. Cincinnati Reds
Date: Wednesday, July 19th, 7:10 ET
Location: Great American Ball Park
TV: BSOH
Money Line: Giants -117/Reds -103 (125% bonus up to $400 at GTBets w/code PREDICTEM)
Total Line: 10.5

Betting Preview

Here’s our betting preview for the upcoming MLB clash between the Cincinnati Reds and the Giants on Wednesday, July 19th at Great American Ball Park. We provide you with a comprehensive analysis, odds, and predictions to help with your handicapping decision or tail our expert based on the projected lineups and listed starting pitchers.

Betting Odds

ML RL Total
SF -117 -1.5 O 10.5 (-116)
CIN -103 +1.5 U 10.5 (-104)

Giants vs. Reds Projected Lineup

 

Batting Order Position
LaMonte Wade Jr. 1 1B
Joc Pederson 2 DH
J.D. Davis 3 3B
Michael Conforto 4 LF
Mike Yastrzemski 5 CF
Patrick Bailey 6 C
Blake Sabol 7 C
Brandon Crawford 8 SS
Brett Wisely 9 2B
Ross Stripling SP

 

Batting Order Position
TJ Friedl 1 CF
Matt McLain 2 SS
Jonathan India 3 2B
Elly De La Cruz 4 SS
Jake Fraley 5 LF
Joey Votto 6 1B
Spencer Steer 7 1B
Tyler Stephenson 8 C
Will Benson 9 LF
Graham Ashcraft SP

 

Straight Up/Over-Under/ Runline Record

San Francisco Giants: 54-41 SU / OU 44-48 / Runline 49-46
Cincinnati Reds: 50-46 SU / OU 54-42 / Runline 59-37

On a record of 54-41, the Giants are 2nd in the NL West. Currently, they are 1.5 games out of the division lead. Against the Reds, they will be seeking their 8th straight win. On the road, they have a record of 28-19 while going 26-22 at home. San Francisco’s overall series record is 15-14-1.

 

  • The Giants have covered the runline in 51.6% of their games and have an average run margin of 0.4
  • The Giants have been favored in 52.6% of their games and have runline records of 23-25 and 26-21 at home and on the road, respectively
  • So far, the Giants have an over/under record of just 44-48.

Heading into their game vs. the Giants, the Reds have a record of 50-46 and have dropped six straight games. In the NL Central, they are in 2nd place and have an overall series record of 15-12-3. At home, they have gone 23-26 and 27-20 on the road.

 

  • The Reds have covered the runline in 61.5% of their games and have an average run margin of -0.2
  • The Reds have been favored in 26.0% of their games and have runline records of 28-21 and 31-16 at home and on the road, respectively
  • The over has hit in 56% of the Reds’ 96 games at 54-42.

Pitching Matchup

Pitcher Appearances Started IP Record ERA WHIP HR
Ross Stripling 13 8 45 0-2 6.11 1.42 12


San Francisco will give the starting nod to Ross Stripling, entering with a record of 0-2. Stripling is on a four-game streak of finishing with fewer than three earned runs allowed. So far, his ERA is 6.11, including a FIP figure of 5.74. Overall, opponents have a slugging percentage of .511 against him. Stripling’s strikeout total currently sits at 40.

Looking back at Stripling’s last appearance, he allowed five hits across 4 2/3 innings of work. Overall, he finished with two earned runs. Despite not factoring into the decision, the Giants won by a score of 6-4 over the Pirates.

Pitcher Appearances Started IP Record ERA WHIP HR
Graham Ashcraft 17 17 87 4-7 5.95 1.56 13


As he prepares to take on the Giants, Cincinnati starter Graham Ashcraft has recorded a quality start in each of his last three outings. Overall, he has made 17 trips to the mound and has a recorded of 4-7 and ERA of 5.95. For the season, opponents have batting average of .279 against him, including an OPS of .804. Ashcraft’s strikeout total currently sits at 63 while issuing 37 this year.

In the 1-0 defeat against the Brewers in his previous start, Graham Ashcraft was tagged with the loss after giving up one run across six innings of work.

Giants vs. Reds Offense Outlook

The Giants come into the game ranked 11th in the league on an average of 4.7 runs per game. When it comes to home runs, San Francisco is 11th, having hit the ball out of the park 111 times. Their overall batting average stands at .246. On the road, they are hitting .240, while .239 at home.

San Francisco Giants Top Bats

BA OBP SLG RBI HR SB
Thairo Estrada .272 .327 .434 31 9 18
Michael Conforto .243 .334 .414 51 13 4
J.D. Davis .268 .348 .431 47 11 1


San Francisco Giants Top Hitters: Last Five Games

Player BA H R HR SLG
Wilmer Flores .433 8 6 3 1.073
Michael Conforto .347 7 2 0 .387
Mike Yastrzemski .100 2 3 1 .300
Luis Matos .240 5 2 0 .240
Joc Pederson .250 2 3 0 .450


After 96 games, the Reds are ranked 8th in the league with an average of 4.9 runs per game. Cincinnati ranks 15th in home runs (105) while their overall batting average is .253. On the road, they have a BA of .253 and .241 at home.

Cincinnati Reds Team Hitting Stats

Team Games Runs HR BA OBP SLG
Reds 96 4.9 (8th) 105 (15th) .253 (11th) .333 (3rd) .333 (3rd)


Cincinnati Reds Top Hitters: Last Five Games

Player BA H R HR SLG
Matt McLain .300 6 5 1 .500
Jake Fraley .300 3 2 2 1.050
Joey Votto .133 2 1 1 .400
Will Benson .117 2 1 1 .267
Jonathan India .240 5 2 1 .440


Free MLB Pick

San Francisco starter Ross Stripling has been moving forward since his return, and when he is on, he does an adequate job, but he certainly doesn’t scare many opponents. Graham Ashcraft gets the ball for the Reds, and while he hasn’t gotten much run support in recent games, he has pitched well, allowing a single run in each of his last three starts. I’m going with the public on this one, taking the team with the starter with the better form who are at home laying a tiny number. Take Cincinnati -105

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