Seattle Mariners vs San Diego Padres Odds & Pick

by | Jul 5, 2022 | mlb

Seattle Mariners vs San Diego Padres
Date: Tuesday, July 5th, 04:10 ET
Location: Petco Park
TV: ROOTNW
Money Line: Mariners +108 / Padres -130 (BAS)
Total Line: 7.0

STARTING PITCHING

Seattle: Logan Gilbert (9-3, 2.76)
San Diego: Mike Clevinger (2-0, 2.79)

Mariners Projected Lineup

Dylan Moore SS
Adam Frazier 2B
Abraham Toro 3B
Cal Raleigh C
Sam Haggerty RF
Eugenio Suárez 3B
Carlos Santana 1B
Julio Rodriguez CF
Jesse Winker LF
Logan Gilbert P

Padres Projected Lineup

Nomar Mazara RF
Ha-seong Kim SS
Eric Hosmer 1B
Jorge Alfaro C
Manny Machado 3B
Trent Grisham CF
Luke Voit 1B
Jurickson Profar LF
Jake Cronenworth 2B
Mike Clevinger P

STRAIGHT UP/ OVER/UNDER / RUN LINE RECORDS

Seattle Mariners: 40-42-0 SU / OU 38-42-2 / Run Line W/L 41-41-0
San Diego Padres: 47-35-0 SU / OU 36-44-2 / Run Line W/L 42-40-0

The San Diego Padres host the Seattle Mariners on Tuesday, July 5th at Petco Park. The first pitch in this matchup is scheduled for 04:10 ET. The MLB Odds Board places San Diego as the favorite (-130), with an OU line set at 7.0.

Recent Form

In Seattle’s last game vs the Padres, the Mariners came away with a 8-2 win. On their way to the victory, the pitching staff gave up 2 runs on 7 hits. The Mariners benefited from an offense that generated 8 runs on 12 hits. This victory came despite being the betting underdog, getting 155.0 on the moneyline. This game went over the posted over-under line of 8.0 runs. The Mariners now have an over-under record of 38-42-2.

The Mariners are looking to continue adding wins, as they are 4-1 over their last 5 games. During this time, they have an average scoring differential of +8. Seattle’s offense heads into action averaging 4.2 runs per game in their last 5 contests. Similar to their season average of 3.99. So far, Seattle has won over half of their 26 series played, going 13-12-1.

San Diego will look to move on from a 6 run loss to the Mariners, falling by the score of 8-2. On their way to giving up 8 runs, the Padres staff allowed 12 hits. The Padres offense ended the game with just 2 runs on 7 hits. Leading into the game, San Diego was the betting favorite at -185.0. For the season, the team has been favored in 56 games, winning at a rate of 59.0%. The Padres and Mariners went over the run total line set at 8.0 runs. So far, San Diego has an over-under record of just 36-44-2.

In their last 5 contests, the Padres have just 1 win, going 1-4. During this time, the team has a run differential of -15. If San Diego is going to pick up their play, they need to improve their offensive performance. Over their last 5 contests, they are averaging just 2.0 runs per game, compared to a season average of 4.48. On the season, San Diego has won more than half of their series, going 13-9-4.

Pitching Matchup

Seattle will roll with Logan Gilbert (9-3) as their starter. In his previous outings, Gilbert has lasted an average of 5.89 innings, putting together an ERA of just 2.76. Across his previous appearances, the right-hander has a batting average allowed of 0.227. This season, Gilbert has been able to avoid giving up home runs, allowing just 0.96 per 9 innings. On the season, Logan Gilbert has had no problem racking up strikeouts, posting a strikeout percentage of 24.0%. This includes a per game average of 5.75 K’s per game. Command has been a problem for Gilbert, as he is giving up 2.47 walks per outing.

Mike Clevinger gets the start for the Padres, with an overall record of 2-0. In his previous outings, Clevinger has lasted an average of 4.14 innings, putting together an ERA of just 2.79. Hits have been hard to come by against the right-hander, as his batting average allowed is just 0.200. Clevinger is allowing home runs at a rate of 0.93 per 9 innings. In terms of strikeouts, Clevinger is averaging just 4.43 K’s per game. So far, he has struck out 26.0% of the batters he has faced. Throughout the season, Clevinger has avoided walking batters, allowing just 3.1 per contest.

Seattle vs San Diego History

Today’s matchup between the Seattle Mariners and San Diego Padres will be their 2nd meeting of the season. Seattle has the lead in the series at 1-0. The over-under record in this series sits at 1-0. The average run total in these games is 12.67 runs per game. In these matchups, the average scoring differential sits at 6.0 runs. San Diego won last year’s head-to-head series, grabbing 3 wins to 0. In these 3 meetings, the two teams combined for an over-under record of 3-0. Last year, the Mariners and Padres averaged 12.67 runs per game. On average, the winning team won by a margin of 8.0 runs per contest.

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Betting Trends

  • The total has gone OVER in 5 of Seattle’s last 5 games when playing San Diego
  • The total has gone OVER in 5 of Seattle’s last 5 games when playing on the road against San Diego
  • The total has gone OVER in 5 of San Diego’s last 5 games when playing at home against Seattle
  • The total has gone OVER in 5 of San Diego’s last 5 games when playing Seattle

Seattle Mariners at San Diego Padres Prediction

Heading into Tuesday’s interleague showdown between Seattle and San Diego, the Padres are the slight favorite on the moneyline. San Diego has now won 2 straight games with Mike Clevinger as the starting pitcher. In these outings, he has given up just 1 run across 10 innings. However, they will be going up against Logan Gilbert, who has a WHIP of just 1.12. I like Seattle to pull off the upset.

Free MLB Pick: Mariners Moneyline

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