Seattle Mariners vs. Toronto Blue Jays ML Pick

by | Last updated Apr 28, 2023 | mlb

Seattle Mariners vs. Toronto Blue Jays
Date: Friday, April 28th, 7:07 ET
Location: Rogers Centre
TV: SNET
Money Line: Mariners -107/Blue Jays -111 (Bet on MLB games at reduced odds EVERY DAY at BAS Sportsbook!)
Total Line: 8.5

Betting Preview

Here’s our betting preview for the upcoming MLB clash between the Toronto Blue Jays and the Mariners on Friday, April 28th at Rogers Centre. We provide you with a comprehensive analysis, odds, and predictions to help with your handicapping decision or tail our expert based on the projected lineups and listed starting pitchers.

Betting Odds

ML RL Total
-107 -1.5 O 8.5 (-114)
-111 +1.5 U 8.5 (-107)

Mariners vs. Blue Jays Projected Lineup

 

Batting Order Position
Julio Rodríguez 1 CF
Ty France 2 1B
Eugenio Suárez 3 3B
Cal Raleigh 4 C
Teoscar Hernández 5 RF
Jarred Kelenic 6 CF
AJ Pollock 7 RF
Kolten Wong 8 2B
J.P. Crawford 9 SS
Luis Castillo SP

 

Batting Order Position
George Springer 1 CF
Bo Bichette 2 SS
Vladimir Guerrero Jr. 3 1B
Daulton Varsho 4 RF
Matt Chapman 5 3B
Alejandro Kirk 6 C
Brandon Belt 7 1B
Cavan Biggio 8 2B
Kevin Kiermaier 9 CF
Alek Manoah SP

 

Straight Up/Over-Under/ Runline Record

Seattle Mariners: 11-14 SU / OU 13-12 / Runline 10-15
Toronto Blue Jays: 16-9 SU / OU 9-14 / Runline 15-10

Heading into their game vs. the Blue Jays, the Mariners have a record of 11-14 and have dropped two straight games. In the AL West, they are in 4th place and have an overall series record of 3-4. At home, they have gone 7-9 and 4-5 on the road.

 

  • The Mariners have two straight losses vs. the runline and have a season-long run margin of 0.0.
  • The Mariners have been favored in 72.0% of their games and have runline records of 6-10 and 4-5 at home and on the road, respectively
  • The over has hit in 52% of the Mariners’ 25 games at 13-12.

On a record of 16-9, the Blue Jays are 3rd in the AL East. Currently, they are 4.5 games out of the division lead. Against the Mariners, they will be seeking their 5th straight win. On the road, they have a record of 9-7 while going 7-2 at home. Toronto’s overall series record is 5-2.

 

  • The Blue Jays have covered the runline in six straight games and have a season-long run margin of 0.6.
  • The Blue Jays have been favored in 64.0% of their games and have runline records of 6-3 and 9-7 at home and on the road, respectively
  • So far, the Blue Jays have an over/under record of just 9-14.

Pitching Matchup

Pitcher Appearances Started IP Record ERA WHIP HR
Luis Castillo 5 5 29 2-0 1.52 .81 0

Luis Castillo has an overall record of 2-0, and will get the start for the Mariners. With five appearances, his ERA currently stands at 1.52, while his K/9 figure is 1.2. Additionally, he has a FIP of 1.65 and an OBP of .214.

Luis Castillo is coming off an outing against the Cardinals in which he gave up three runs and seven hits across five innings. Even though he took a no-decision, the Mariners won by a score of 5-4.

Pitcher Appearances Started IP Record ERA WHIP HR
Alek Manoah 5 5 26 1-1 5.13 1.56 4

With an overall record of 1-1, the Blue Jays will give Alek Manoah the start. His ERA stands at 5.13 with a K/9 figure of 0.8 after making five appearances. Additionally, he has a FIP of 5.77 and an OBP of .355.

Alek Manoah took a no-decision in his last outing, tossing seven innings and giving up zero runs. Despite picking up a quality start, the Blue Jays lost to the Yankees by a score of 3-2.

Mariners vs. Blue Jays Offense Outlook

The Mariners have played 25 games and currently hold the 20th spot in the league with an average of 4.3 runs per game. With 26 home runs, Seattle is 20th in the league. The team’s batting average, including .234 on the road and .211 at home, is .223.

Seattle Mariners Top Bats

BA OBP SLG RBI HR SB
Julio Rodríguez .224 .284 .430 13 5 5
Jarred Kelenic .316 .375 .671 14 7 3
Ty France .258 .348 .381 15 1 1

Seattle Mariners Top Hitters: Last Five Games

Player BA H R HR SLG
Jarred Kelenic .300 6 3 3 .850
J.P. Crawford .367 6 3 1 .617
Teoscar Hernández .100 2 2 2 .400
Eugenio Suárez .200 4 1 0 .250
Kolten Wong .312 4 3 0 .438

This season, Toronto has been scoring an average of 4.8 runs per game, ranking them 13th in the league. In terms of home runs, they have hit 29 long balls, placing them in the middle of the pack. Their batting average of .261 ranks 5th in the league. On the road, the Blue Jays are 8th in batting average, compared to 4th at home.

Toronto Blue Jays Top Bats

BA OBP SLG RBI HR SB
Matt Chapman .364 .446 .659 18 5 1
Vladimir Guerrero Jr. .333 .407 .535 15 5 2
Bo Bichette .340 .381 .528 15 5 0

Toronto Blue Jays Top Hitters: Last Five Games

Player BA H R HR SLG
Danny Jansen .400 5 4 3 1.350
Vladimir Guerrero Jr. .287 6 3 1 .633
Whit Merrifield .317 5 3 0 .483
Bo Bichette .300 6 3 1 .500
Matt Chapman .317 5 3 0 .417

Free MLB Pick

The Blue Jays are sending Alex Manoah to the mound, who’s had an up-and-down season but is fresh off a stellar performance against the Yankees, pitching seven scoreless innings and allowing just two hits. He has a strong track record against the Mariners’ roster, holding them to a .192 batting average, despite walking four in 30 plate appearances.

On the other side, Mariners’ starting pitcher Luis Castillo has been more consistent this season, boasting an impressive 1.52 ERA. However, he’s coming off his worst game of 2023, where he gave up three runs in only five innings.

This matchup might be tough to predict, but when you have the opportunity to back the Jays at home with a small line and riding a four-game win streak, during which they’ve outscored their opponents 25-3, you don’t hesitate. Bet on Toronto -110. Bet your MLB picks for FREE by scoring a 100% real cash bonus on your first deposit of $100 to $500! Here’s how: Register for an account through this special link at Everygame Sportsbook (Oldest bookie on the web – Online since the 1990’s!). Deposit $100 to $500. Before placing your first bet, go to their “Special Offers” page. Enter bonus code PREDICTEM. Your balance will then be instantly credited with the bonus!