St. Louis Cardinals vs. Milwaukee Brewers Runline Pick

by | Last updated Sep 27, 2023 | mlb

St. Louis Cardinals vs. Milwaukee Brewers
Date: Wednesday, September 27th, 7:40 ET
Location: American Family Field
Money Line: Stl +118/Mil -140
Total Line: 8

Betting Preview

Here’s our betting preview for the upcoming MLB clash between the Milwaukee Brewers and the Cardinals on Wednesday, September 27th at American Family Field. We provide you with a comprehensive analysis, odds, and predictions to help with your handicapping decision or tail our expert based on the projected lineups and listed starting pitchers.

Betting Odds

ML RL Total
STL +118 +1.5 O 8 (-112)
MIL -140 -1.5 U 8 (-109)

Cardinals vs. Brewers Projected Lineup


Batting Order Position
Tommy Edman 1 2B
Lars Nootbaar 2 CF
Paul Goldschmidt 3 1B
Jordan Walker 4 RF
Luken Baker 5 DH
Andrew Knizner 6 C
Richie Palacios 7 LF
Jose Fermin 8 3B
Masyn Winn 9 SS
Zack Thompson SP

Batting Order Position
Christian Yelich 1 LF
William Contreras 2 C
Carlos Santana 3 1B
Mark Canha 4 DH
Willy Adames 5 SS
Josh Donaldson 6 3B
Sal Frelick 7 CF
Andruw Monasterio 8 2B
Blake Perkins 9 RF
Wade Miley SP


Straight Up/Over-Under/ Runline Record

St. Louis Cardinals: 69-88 SU / OU 76-75 / Runline 75-82
Milwaukee Brewers: 88-69 SU / OU 71-81 / Runline 77-80

For the season, the Cardinals have put together a record of 69-88, including going just 4-6 over their last ten games. In the NL Central standings, they are 5th, trailing by 19.5 games. This year, they have gone 33-45 at home and 36-43 on the road with an overall series mark of 19-25-5.


  • The Cardinals have covered the runline in 47.8% of their games and have an average run margin of -0.6
  • The Cardinals have been favored in 48.4% of their games and have runline records of 34-44 and 41-38 at home and on the road, respectively
  • Through 157 games, the over has hit in half of the Cardinals’ games at 76-75.

Against the Cardinals, the Brewers are looking to shake a two game losing streak. Yet, their record of 88-69 is stil good for 1st in the NL Central. At home, Milwaukee has gone 45-31 and 43-38 on the road. So far, their overall series record is 27-20-2.


  • The Brewers have three straight losses vs. the runline and have a season-long run margin of 0.5.
  • The Brewers have been favored in 54.8% of their games and have runline records of 33-43 and 44-37 at home and on the road, respectively
  • So far, the Brewers have an over/under record of just 71-81.

Pitching Matchup

Pitcher Appearances Started IP Record ERA WHIP HR
Zack Thompson 24 8 61 5-7 4.57 1.44 8

For the season, St. Louis starter Zack Thompson has a record of 5-7 and ERA of 4.57. One thing to note, is that he has given up four or more earned run in two straight games. Overall, he has a slugging percentage allowed of .418 with opponents putting together a batting average of .268 against him. In terms of strikeouts, he comes in with a season-long total of 67 while issuing 24 walks.

St. Louis lost the last time Thompson pitched, falling to the Brewers by a final score of 8-2. In the game, Thompson went five innings and allowed four earned runs on five hits.

Pitcher Appearances Started IP Record ERA WHIP HR
Wade Miley 22 22 115 9-4 3.20 1.13 16

Milwaukee starter Wade Miley enters with an overall record of 9-4 and ERA of 3.20. His ERA on the road is 2.99 and 3.84 when pitching at home. Miley’s season-long WHIP comes in at 1.13 with a batting average allowed of .215. Opposing teams have put together a slugging percentage of .382 against him.

Miley picked up the win in his most recent outing, as he gave up zero earned runs and three hits across six innings vs. the Cardinals. The Brewers won the game by a score of 6-0.

Cardinals vs. Brewers Offense Outlook

With 157 games under their belt, the Cardinals are currently 18th in the league, averaging 4.4 runs per game. St. Louis’ home run ranking is 10th, with the team having hit 207 long balls. The team’s batting average, including .234 on the road and .254 at home, is .249.

St. Louis Cardinals Top Hitters vs. Lefties

Paul Goldschmidt .301 5 .459 .358
Tommy Edman .248 6 .441 .314
Willson Contreras .296 5 .537 .384
Nolan Arenado .227 5 .394 .286
Lars Nootbaar .238 2 .327 .298

St. Louis Cardinals Top Hitters: Last Five Games

Player BA H R HR SLG
Tommy Edman .325 6 3 1 .562
Luken Baker .250 3 2 1 .500
Richie Palacios .291 4 1 0 .500
Masyn Winn .146 2 1 1 .333
Jordan Walker .342 5 1 0 .508

In terms of offensive production Milwaukee is currently ranked 17th in the league this season. The team has hit 162 home runs, which is 20th, and their batting average of .239 is ranked 17th in the league. When playing on the road, they rank 21st in batting average, compared to 22nd when playing at home.

Milwaukee Brewers Top Hitters vs. Lefties

William Contreras .363 10 .664 .462
Carlos Santana .271 5 .444 .347
Mark Canha .257 6 .463 .351
Christian Yelich .241 3 .355 .289
Joey Wiemer .267 7 .517 .343

Milwaukee Brewers Top Hitters: Last Five Games

Player BA H R HR SLG
Christian Yelich .338 6 6 2 .825
Carlos Santana .458 8 2 1 .812
William Contreras .458 7 2 0 .521
Josh Donaldson .133 2 1 1 .367
Brice Turang .244 3 3 0 .244

Free MLB Pick

I believe the Brewers beat up on the Cards Mikolas and get Miley to double-digit wins. Take Milwaukee on the runline!

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