Texas Rangers vs. Seattle Mariners Betting Prediction 9/28/23

by | Sep 28, 2023 | mlb

Texas Rangers vs. Seattle Mariners
Date: Thursday, September 28th, 9:40 ET
Location: T-Mobile Park
TV: RSNW
Money Line: Rangers +104/Mariners -124
Total Line: 7.5

Betting Preview

Here’s our betting preview for the upcoming MLB clash between the Seattle Mariners and the Rangers on Thursday, September 28th at T-Mobile Park. We provide you with a comprehensive analysis, odds, and predictions to help with your handicapping decision or tail our expert based on the projected lineups and listed starting pitchers.

Betting Odds

ML RL Total
TEX +104 +1.5 O 7.5 (-111)
SEA -124 -1.5 U 7.5 (-109)

Rangers vs. Mariners Projected Lineup

Batting Order Position
Marcus Semien 1 2B
Corey Seager 2 SS
Nathaniel Lowe 3 1B
Josh Jung 4 3B
Adolis García 5 RF
Jonah Heim 6 C
Mitch Garver 7 DH
Leody Taveras 8 CF
Evan Carter 9 LF
Jordan Montgomery SP


Batting Order Position
J.P. Crawford 1 SS
Julio Rodríguez 2 CF
Teoscar Hernández 3 DH
Cal Raleigh 4 C
Eugenio Suárez 5 3B
Ty France 6 1B
Dylan Moore 7 LF
Sam Haggerty 8 RF
Jose Caballero 9 2B
Logan Gilbert SP


Straight Up/Over-Under/ Runline Record

Texas Rangers: 89-69 SU / OU 84-68 / Runline 85-73
Seattle Mariners: 85-73 SU / OU 81-74 / Runline 76-82

The Rangers head into today’s game in first place in the AL West on a record of 89-69. Over their last five games, they have put together an above .500 record of 4-1. At home, Texas is 50-31 and 39-38 on the road. Their overall series record comes in at 28-19-2.

  • The Rangers have covered the runline in 53.8% of their games and have an average run margin of 1.1
  • The Rangers have been favored in 69.6% of their games and have runline records of 45-36 and 40-37 at home and on the road, respectively
  • The over has hit in 55% of the Rangers’ 158 games at 84-68.

Heading into today’s action, the Mariners’ record of 85-73 has them sitting 3rd in the AL West. Currently, they are four games out of the division lead. Over their last five games, they are 1-4 and have a road and home record of 43-38 and 42-35, respectively. Seattle’s overall series record sits at 26-21-2.

  • The Mariners have covered the runline in 48.1% of their games and have an average run margin of 0.6
  • The Mariners have been favored in 68.4% of their games and have runline records of 31-46 and 45-36 at home and on the road, respectively
  • The over has hit in 52% of the Mariners’ 158 games at 81-74.

Pitching Matchup

Pitcher Appearances Started IP Record ERA WHIP HR
Jordan Montgomery 31 31 182 10-11 3.25 1.19 17

 

Jordan Montgomery has an overall record of 10-11, and will get the start for the Rangers. With 31 appearances, his ERA currently stands at 3.25, while his K/9 figure is 7.93. Additionally, he has a FIP of 3.53 and an OBP of .289.

Jordan Montgomery finished with a quality start and a win in his last appearance, as the Rangers took down the Mariners by final score of 2-0. Montgomery gave up zero runs and five hits across seven innings.

Pitcher Appearances Started IP Record ERA WHIP HR
Logan Gilbert 31 31 184 13-7 3.75 1.09 27

 

Today will be Logan Gilbert’s 32nd appearance this season, and he has an overall record of 13-7. His current ERA stands at 3.75 and OBP allowed of .267. So far, he struckout 184 batters and has a WHIP of 1.09. On the road, his ERA is 4.22 compared to 4.59 at home.

Logan Gilbert took the loss after allowing two runs on five hits in his previous outing against the Rangers. In the game, the Mariners fell 2-0.

Rangers vs. Mariners Offense Outlook

For the season, the Rangers are one of the top home runs hitting teams in the league with a total of 231 home runs (3rd). So far, Texas is averaging 5.5 runs per game with a collective batting average of .265. When playing at home, the Rangers have a slugging percentage of .412 compared to .484 at home.

Texas Rangers Top Hitters On The Road

Player BA HR SLG WOBA
Marcus Semien .264 11 .429 .333
Nathaniel Lowe .258 6 .391 .335
Corey Seager .327 10 .556 .390
Leody Taveras .254 4 .388 .295
Josh Jung .271 11 .485 .332


Texas Rangers Top Hitters: Last Five Games

Player BA H R HR SLG
Marcus Semien .287 6 6 4 .893
Adolis García .330 6 5 3 .907
Mitch Garver .517 8 3 1 .717
Evan Carter .283 4 2 2 .700
Corey Seager .353 6 1 1 .553

 

This season, Seattle is currently ranked 12th in the league in terms of runs scored, averaging 4.7 runs per game. Their home run count currently stands at 205, which is 11th in the MLB. The team’s batting average of .243 is 17th in the league, including 12th on the road compared to 25th at home.

Seattle Mariners Top Hitters vs. Lefties

Player BA HR SLG WOBA
Julio Rodríguez .317 5 .497 .366
Ty France .304 3 .428 .338
Teoscar Hernández .306 7 .545 .360
J.P. Crawford .255 1 .340 .320
Eugenio Suárez .252 2 .361 .326


Seattle Mariners Top Hitters: Last Five Games

Player BA H R HR SLG
J.P. Crawford .230 4 2 2 .650
Julio Rodríguez .150 3 3 0 .250
Teoscar Hernández .217 4 2 1 .367
Ty France .340 7 2 1 .540
Eugenio Suárez .200 3 0 0 .250

 

Free MLB Pick

Considering the recent form of the Rangers and the slight edge in pitching, it’s hard to ignore the value offered by their Money Line at +104.

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