Tigers vs. Athletics Recommended Bet

by | Jul 21, 2022 | mlb

Detroit Tigers vs Oakland Athletics

Date: Thurday, July 21st, 03:37 ET

Location: T-Mobile Park

TV: NBCSCA

Money Line: Tigers -130 / Athletics +108

Total Line: 7.5

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STARTING PITCHING

Detroit: Tarik Skubal (6-8, 3.93)
Oakland: Zach Logue (3-4, 5.16)

Tigers Projected Lineup

Jeimer Candelario 3B
Harold Castro P
Eric Haase C
Jonathan Schoop 2B
Victor Reyes RF
Robbie Grossman RF
Miguel Cabrera 1B
Riley Greene CF
Javier Báez SS
Tarik Skubal P

Athletics Projected Lineup

Dermis Garcia 1B
Sheldon Neuse 3B
Elvis Andrus SS
Stephen Piscotty RF
Ramón Laureano CF
Skye Bolt CF
Sean Murphy C
Chad Pinder LF
Nick Allen 2B
Zach Logue P

STRAIGHT UP/ OVER/UNDER / RUN LINE RECORDS

Detroit Tigers: 37-55-0 SU / OU 34-54-4 / Run Line W/L 43-49-0
Oakland Athletics: 32-61-0 SU / OU 36-50-7 / Run Line W/L 45-48-0

The Oakland Athletics host the Detroit Tigers on Thursday, July 21st at T-Mobile Park. The first pitch in this matchup is scheduled for 03:37 ET. The MLB Odds Board places Detroit as the favorite (-130), with an OU line set at 7.5.

Recent Form

The Tigers will look to bounce back from a tough loss to the Guardians by the score of 10-0. In the loss, Detroit’s pitchers gave up 10 runs on 13 hits. On offense, the Tigers finished with 0 runs on 5 hits. Detroit’s loss came as the underdog, getting 137.0 on the moneyline. Together, the Tigers and Guardians combined to surpass the over-under betting line set at 8.5 runs. Games involving the Tigers have stayed below the over-under line more than half of the time, at 34-54-4.

Over the Tigers’ last 5 contests, they have a record of just 1-4. This mark has come on an average run margin of just -16. In their last 5 contests, Detroit is averaging 2.8 runs per game, right in line with their season average of 3.13. Detroit’s overall series record is just 7-17-5.

The Athletics will look to add another win, as in their last game, they defeated the Astros by a score of 4-3. In the win, the pitching staff allowed just 3 runs on 8 hits. With their 8 hits, the Athletics could only muster 4 runs. This was a good win for the Athletics, as they were underdogs at 230.0 on the moneyline. In their 78 games as the underdog, their straight-up win percentage sits at 35.0%. With this result, the Athletics and Astros combined to fall below the over-under line of 8.0 runs. Now, Oakland had an over-under record of 36-50-7.

Across their last 5 contests, the Athletics are above .500, going 3-2. Their recent success is backed by an average scoring margin of +4 (last 5). The Athletics’ offense has elevated their play over their last 5 games, averaging 5.0 runs per game, compared to their season average of 3.29. Oakland has a below .500 series record of just 7-21-1.

Pitching Matchup

Detroit will roll with Tarik Skubal (6-8) as their starter. To date, Skubal has an ERA of 3.93 while lasting an average of 5.57 innings per appearance. Compared to other starters, the left-hander has a high BA allowed, currently sitting at 0.249. Opposing batters are hitting for power at a below-average rate against Skubal, as he is allowing just 0.81 per 9 innings. On the season, Tarik Skubal has had no problem racking up strikeouts, posting a strikeout percentage of 25.0%. This includes a per game average of 5.67 K’s per game. In his previous outings, walks have been an issue, as Skubal is averaging 2.24 free passes per outing.

In today’s game, Oakland turns to starter Zach Logue. For the year, he has a record of 3-4. So far, Logue has put together an ERA of 5.16. In his appearances leading up to today, he has lasted an average of 4.17 innings. Opposing teams have hit the ball well against the right-hander, with a batting average of 0.271. Home runs have been an issue for Logue, as he is allowing an average of 2.16 per 9 innings pitched. Up to this point, Logue has a strikeout percentage of just 17.0% and a per game average of 3.29. Logue has done a good job at limiting walks, averaging just 3.34 per contest.

Detroit vs Oakland History

For the season, the Detroit Tigers and Oakland Athletics will be playing their 6th game of the season. Oakland holds the edge in the series at 4-1. The over-under record in this series sits at 1-3. The average run total in these games is 9.57 runs per game. The averge scoring margin in these meetings is 4.4 runs. Dating back to last season, Oakland picked up 6 wins compared to 1, taking the season series. The over-under record in last year’s matchups was 4-3, with the average run total being 9.57 runs per game. On average, the winning team won by a margin of 3.57 runs per contest.

Betting Trends

  • The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Detroit’s last 6 games when playing on the road against Oakland
  • The total has gone OVER in 4 of Detroit’s last 6 games on the road
  • Oakland is 22-3 SU in its last 25 games when playing Detroit
  • The total has gone UNDER in 12 of Oakland’s last 14 games

Detroit Tigers at Oakland Athletics Prediction

Heading into Thursday’s matchup between Detroit and Oakland, the Tigers are the slight favorite on the moneyline. Even though the Tigers’ don’t feature a potent offense, they could be in line for an above-average offensive performance vs A’s starter Zach Logue. Heading into the game, Logue has a WHIP of 1.45 and is prone to getting chased early. I like Detroit on the moneyline.

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