Tigers vs. Pirates Odds & Predictions 6/8/22

by | Jun 8, 2022 | mlb

Detroit Tigers vs Pittsburgh Pirates

Date: Wednesday June 8th, 12:35 ET

Location: PNC Park

TV: ATT SportsNet-PIT

Money Line: Tigers -110 / Pirates -110 (Bovada - Get a 50% bonus from the sportsbook that we feel is TOP 2 on the web! It’s where we play!)

Total Line: 8.0

STARTING PITCHING

Detroit: Alex Faedo (1-2, 3.09)
Pittsburgh: Mitch Keller (2-5, 5.77)

Tigers Projected Lineup

Spencer Torkelson 1B
Tucker Barnhart C
Javier Báez SS
Daz Cameron RF
Jeimer Candelario 3B
Harold Castro 3B
Miguel Cabrera 1B
Willi Castro LF
Jonathan Schoop 2B
Alex Faedo P

Pirates Projected Lineup

Tucupita Marcano 2B
Tyler Heineman C
Jack Suwinski LF
Cal Mitchell RF
Diego Castillo SS
Ke’Bryan Hayes 3B
Daniel Vogelbach 1B
Michael Chavis 1B
Bryan Reynolds CF
Mitch Keller P

STRAIGHT UP/ OVER/UNDER / RUN LINE RECORDS

Detroit Tigers: 22-33-0 SU / OU 19-34-2 / Run Line W/L 26-29-0
Pittsburgh Pirates: 24-29-0 SU / OU 20-27-6 / Run Line W/L 26-27-0

The Pittsburgh Pirates host the Detroit Tigers on Wednesday, June 8th at PNC Park. The first pitch in this matchup is scheduled for 12:35 ET. The MLB Odds Board places Pittsburgh as the favorite (-110), with an OU line set at 8.0.

Recent Form

Heading into today’s game, Detroit will be looking to tack on another win after taking down the Pirates by the score of 5-3. On their way to the victory, the pitching staff gave up 3 runs on 6 hits. The Tigers benefited from an offense that generated 5 runs on 11 hits. Detroit picked up the win, despite getting 120.0 on the moneyline. Together, the Tigers and Pirates combined to surpass the over-under betting line set at 7.5 runs. On the season, Detroit’s over-under record is 19-34-2.

Over the Tigers’ last 5 contests, they have a record of just 2-3. This mark has come on an average run margin of just -14. In their last 5 contests, Detroit is averaging 2.4 runs per game, right in line with their season average of 2.82. Detroit’s overall series record is just 5-11-2.

Pittsburgh is coming off a 2-run loss to the Tigers 5-3. Pittsburgh’s pitching staff gave up 11 hits, leading to 5 runs for the Tigers. The Pirates’ offense ended the game with just 3 runs on 6 hits. Leading into the game, Pittsburgh was the betting favorite at -130.0. So far, the team has won 54.0% of the games in which they were favored. In terms of the over-under, the Pirates and Tigers combined to surpass the line of 7.5 runs. So far, Pittsburgh has an over-under record of just 20-27-6.

In their last 5 games, the Pirates have put together a record of 3-2. During this time, the team’s run differential sits at +4. Pittsburgh has benefited from strong pitching, as their offense has slipped in their last 5 games, averaging just 4.4 runs per game. Their overall average sits at 3.55. Pittsburgh has a below .500 series record of just 6-9-3.

Pitching Matchup

The Detroit Tigers will send Alex Faedo to the mound with an overall record of 1-2. Currently, Faedo has an ERA of just 3.09 while pitching an average of 5.33 innings per outing. So far, opposing teams have hit the ball well against the right-hander. So far, Faedo has managed to keep the ball in the ballpark, allowing just 0.84 home runs per 9 innings. Up to this point, Faedo has a strikeout percentage of just 16.0% and a per game average of 3.5. Throughout the season, Faedo has avoided walking batters, allowing just 2.81 per contest.

Mitch Keller gets the start for the Pirates, with an overall record of 2-5. To date, Keller has an ERA of 5.77 while lasting an average of 4.32 innings per appearance. Teams have been able to rack up runs against him, as he has a batting average allowed of 0.276. Home runs have been an issue for Keller, as he is allowing an average of 1.25 per 9 innings pitched. Keller is in the bottom half of the league in strikeouts, averaging just 3.7 K’s per game. This includes a strikeout percentage of 19.0%. For the season, he has struggled with command averaging 4.12 walks per outing.

Detroit vs Pittsburgh History

Today’s matchup between the Detroit Tigers and Pittsburgh Pirates will be their 4th meeting of the season. So far, Detroit is leading the season series, 2-1. Through 3rd games, the series’ over-under record is 2-1, with the average run total sitting at 6.33 runs per game. The averge scoring margin in these meetings is 2.67 runs. Dating back to last season, the Pittsburgh picked up 4 wins compared to 2, taking the season series. The over-under record in last year’s matchups was 2-4, with the average run total being 6.33 runs per game. The average scoring differential in this series was 2.33 runs per game.

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Betting Trends

  • Detroit is 7-2 ATS in its last 9 games when playing on the road against Pittsburgh
  • The total has gone UNDER in 11 of Detroit’s last 16 games on the road
  • Pittsburgh is 5-1 SU in its last 6 games
  • Pittsburgh is 7-3 ATS in its last 10 games

Detroit Tigers at Pittsburgh Pirates Prediction

In Wednesday’s interleague matchup between Pittsburgh and Detroit, I recommend taking the Tigers to pick up another win. Detroit starter Alex Faedo has yet to give up more than 2 runs in any of his 6 starts. And, given that he is taking on one of the worst offenses in the league, I expect another good outing from the right-hander.

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