Today’s Pick: White Sox vs. Royals 8/22/22

by | Aug 22, 2022 | mlb

Chicago White Sox vs Kansas City Royals

Date: Monday August 22nd, 02:10 ET

Location: Kauffman Stadium

TV: NBCSCH

Money Line: White Sox -140 / Royals +117 (Bet MLB Dimelines! - Anything less sucks!)

Total Line: 8.5

STARTING PITCHING

Chicago: Michael Kopech (4-9, 3.25)
Kansas City: Daniel Lynch (4-8, 4.52)

STRAIGHT UP/ OVER/UNDER / RUN LINE RECORDS

Chicago White Sox: 62-59-0 SU / OU 53-59-9 / Run Line W/L 55-66-0
Kansas City Royals: 49-74-0 SU / OU 59-59-5 / Run Line W/L 57-66-0

The Kansas City Royals host the Chicago White Sox on Monday August 22nd at Kauffman Stadium. The first pitch in this matchup is scheduled for 02:10 ET. The MLB Odds Board places Chicago as the favorite (-140), with an OU line set at 8.5.

Recent Form

In their most recent game, Chicago picked up a 2-run win over the Cleveland (2-0). On their way to the victory, the pitching staff gave up 0 runs on 5 hits. On offense, Chicago’s lineup put together a total of 5 hits, leading to 2 runs. This victory came despite being the betting underdog, getting 155.0 on the moneyline. Together, the White Sox and Cleveland stayed below the over-under line set at 7.5 runs. So far, Chicago has been a good candidate to fall below the betting line, as their over-under record sits at just 53-59-9.

The White Sox will be hoping to pick up a win in today’s matchup, as they have gone just 2-3 over their last 5 games. In this rough stretch of games, the team’s run differential comes in at -17. A key reason for Chicago’s recent struggles is an offense averaging just 3.0 runs per game over their last 5 contests, compared to a season average of 4.21. So far, Chicago has won over half of their 38 series played, going 15-13-10.

In their last game, the Royals suffered a 1 run loss to the Rays by a score of 3-2. Despite the losing effort, the team’s pitchers held the Rays to 3 runs and 9 hits. At the plate, the Royals only came through for 2 runs on 4 hits. This loss came as no surprise, as Kansas City came into the game as the underdog, getting 160.0. So far, the team has gone into 92 games as the underdog, still finding the win column at a rate of 36.0%. With this result, the Royals and Rays combined to fall below the over-under line of 7.5 runs. With this outcome, the team’s over-under record drops back to even at 59-59-5.

The Royals come into today’s game looking to turn things around, as they are just 1-4 over their last 5 games. During this time, the team has a run differential of -13. The team’s offense is partly to blame for their recent slump, as they have averaged just 1.6 runs over their last 5 game. Kansas City has a below .500 series record of just 11-24-3.

Pitching Matchup

The Chicago White Sox will send Michael Kopech to the mound with an overall record of 4-9. Currently, Kopech has an ERA of just 3.25 while pitching an average of 5.01 innings per outing. Hits have been hard to come by against the right-hander, as his batting average allowed is just 0.197. Kopech is giving up home runs at a rate similar to the league average, allowing 1.06 per 9 innings. Per game, Michael Kopech is averaging 4.45, on a strikeout percentage of 22.0%. Command has been a problem for Kopech, as he is giving up 4.31 walks per outing.

Daniel Lynch gets the start for the Royals, with an overall record of 4-8. So far, Lynch has put together an ERA of 4.52. In his appearances leading up to today, he has lasted an average of 4.91 innings. Opposing teams have hit the ball well against the right-hander, with a batting average of 0.267. Opposing hitters are hitting home runs at an above average rate against Lynch. This year, he is allowing 1.16 HR’s per 9 innings pitched. Overall, Daniel Lynch has struckout 22.0% of the batters he has faced. On average, he averages 4.79 K’s per game. Lynch comes into the game hoping to improve his walk numbers, as he is averaging 3.65 free passes per outing.

Chicago vs Kansas City History

Today’s matchup between the Chicago White Sox and Kansas City Royals will be their 16th meeting of the season. Kansas City holds the edge in the series at 8-7. Through 15 games, the series’ over-under record is 5-8, with the average run total sitting at 7.53 runs per game. The averge scoring margin in these meetings is 3.13 runs. Kansas City won last year’s head to head series, grabbing 10 wins to 9. In these 19 meetings, the two teams combined for an over-under record of 5-14. Last year, the White Sox and Royals averaged 7.53 runs per game. On average, the winning team won by a margin of 3.84 runs per contest.

More Picks: Atlanta at Pittsburgh Odds & Predictions 8/22/22

Betting Trends

  • Chi White Sox is 7-2 ATS in its last 9 games
  • The total has gone UNDER in 11 of Chi White Sox’s last 16 games when playing on the road against Kansas City
  • Kansas City is 6-1 ATS in its last 7 games when playing at home against Chi White Sox
  • The total has gone OVER in 4 of Kansas City’s last 5 games at home

Chicago White Sox at Kansas City Royals Prediction

Heading into Monday’s AL Central matchup between Chicago and Kansas City, the White Sox are the favorite on the moneyline. The Royals have lost 2 straight games with Daniel Lynch on the mound, but he has given up just 3 runs across 11 innings. On the other side, Michael Kopech has also been the victim of bad run support. However, I give the edge to the White Sox.

Free MLB Pick: White Sox Moneyline.

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