Toronto Blue Jays vs. Cleveland Guardians Runline Pick

by | Last updated Aug 10, 2023 | mlb

Toronto Blue Jays vs. Cleveland Guardians
Date: Thursday, August 10th, 1:10 ET
Location: Progressive Field
TV: BSGL
Money Line: Blue Jays -137/Guardians +115
Total Line: 9.5

Betting Preview

Here’s our betting preview for the upcoming MLB clash between the Cleveland Guardians and the Blue Jays on Thursday, August 10th at Progressive Field. We provide you with a comprehensive analysis, odds, and predictions to help with your handicapping decision or tail our expert based on the projected lineups and listed starting pitchers.

Betting Odds

ML RL Total
TOR -137 -1.5 O 9.5 (-106)
CLE +115 +1.5 U 9.5 (-115)

Blue Jays vs. Guardians Projected Lineup

Batting Order Position
Whit Merrifield 1 2B
Brandon Belt 2 DH
Vladimir Guerrero Jr. 3 1B
George Springer 4 RF
Matt Chapman 5 3B
Danny Jansen 6 C
Daulton Varsho 7 CF
Paul DeJong 8 SS
Nathan Lukes 9 LF
Alek Manoah SP


Batting Order Position
Steven Kwan 1 LF
Andrés Giménez 2 2B
Oscar Gonzalez 3 1B
Kole Calhoun 4 DH
Brayan Rocchio 5 3B
Will Brennan 6 RF
Myles Straw 7 CF
Bo Naylor 8 C
Gabriel Arias 9 SS
Noah Syndergaard SP


Straight Up/Over-Under/ Runline Record

Toronto Blue Jays: 65-51 SU / OU 46-66 / Runline 54-62
Cleveland Guardians: 55-60 SU / OU 48-64 / Runline 57-58

With an overall record of 65-51, the Blue Jays are in 3rd place in the AL East, trailing by six games. Over their last ten games, they are above .500 at 6-4. On the road, the Blue Jays have a mark of 35-27 while going 30-24 at home. Their overall series mark stands at 22-14.

  • The Blue Jays have two straight losses vs. the runline and have a season-long run margin of 0.5.
  • The Blue Jays have been favored in 71.6% of their games and have runline records of 23-31 and 31-31 at home and on the road, respectively
  • So far, the Blue Jays have an over/under record of just 46-66.

For the season, the Guardians have put together a record of 55-60, including going just 3-7 over their last ten games. In the AL Central standings, they are 2nd, trailing by 4.5 games. This year, they have gone 30-28 at home and 25-32 on the road with an overall series mark of 16-18-2.

  • The Guardians have covered the runline in two straight games and have a season-long run margin of -0.1.
  • The Guardians have been favored in 54.8% of their games and have runline records of 28-30 and 29-28 at home and on the road, respectively
  • So far, the Guardians have an over/under record of just 48-64.
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Pitching Matchup

Pitcher Appearances Started IP Record ERA WHIP HR
Alek Manoah 18 18 83 3-8 5.72 1.74 15

 

The Blue Jays will turn to starter Alek Manoah who has an overall record of 3-8. After 18 appearances, his ERA is 5.72 and he has a K/9 figure of 7.88. Also, he has compiled a FIP of 6.20 and an OBP of .370.

The last time Alek Manoah took to the mound, he secured a quality start and a win for his team, who won by a final score of 7-3 against the Red Sox. Manoah gave up three runs and six hits across 6 2/3 innings.

Pitcher Appearances Started IP Record ERA WHIP HR
Noah Syndergaard 14 14 66 1-5 6.75 1.40 16

 

Across 14 appearances, Noah Syndergaard has a slugging percentage allowed of .521 and enters with a WHIP of 1.40. His overall record is 1-5 on an ERA of 6.75. For the season, he has a total of 41 K’s, and is averaging 5.53 strikeouts per nine innings. Syndergaard’s record on the road is 0-2 and 1-3 at home. This includes an ERA of 9.05 (road) and 5.01 (home), respectively.

In Noah Syndergaard’s most recent outing, he took the loss in a 7-4 defeat against the White Sox. Even though, Syndergaard lasted six innings, he gave up five runs on nine hits.

Blue Jays vs. Guardians Offense Outlook

This season, Toronto is currently ranked 15th in the league in terms of runs scored, averaging 4.5 runs per game. Their home run count currently stands at 135, which is 13th in the MLB. The team’s batting average of .260 is 5th in the league, including 2nd on the road compared to 13th at home.

Toronto Blue Jays Top Bats

BA OBP SLG RBI HR SB
Vladimir Guerrero Jr. .267 .342 .445 69 18 4
Matt Chapman .257 .349 .456 49 15 3
Bo Bichette .321 .352 .494 59 17 3

 

Toronto Blue Jays Top Hitters: Last Five Games

Player BA H R HR SLG
George Springer .530 11 4 1 .760
Brandon Belt .375 6 5 1 .688
Davis Schneider .450 7 2 1 .600
Cavan Biggio .133 2 3 1 .433
Alejandro Kirk .217 3 3 0 .267

 

Through 115 games the Guardians are 26th in the league at 4 runs per game. In terms of home runs, Cleveland is 26th having gone deep 84 times. Their batting average leading up to today’s game is .249, including .242 on the road and .244 at home.

Cleveland Guardians Top Bats

BA OBP SLG RBI HR SB
José Ramírez .284 .355 .490 65 18 16
Steven Kwan .268 .340 .373 38 5 16
Josh Naylor .306 .346 .500 79 15 6

 

Cleveland Guardians Top Hitters: Last Five Games

Player BA H R HR SLG
José Ramírez .183 3 0 0 .250
Andrés Giménez .100 2 1 0 .150
Kole Calhoun .312 4 2 0 .375
Gabriel Arias .050 1 1 1 .200
Brayan Rocchio .233 4 2 0 .367

 

Free MLB Pick

Neither team has been scoring in this series, but we get two starters today that each have an iffy resume this season, so that may change today. I believe that the jays have the best chance of accomplishing this against Noah Syndergaard. The Guardians’ starter has been tagged with five or more runs in four of his last five starts. Toronto starter Alek Manoah has had his share of rough outings, but has looked better in his last three. I rarely lay anything really over -120 and I won’t be here with the chance of Manoah reverting back to his earlier form. Take the Jays -1.5 +120.

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