Value Bet: Rays vs. Yankees Pick

by | Jun 14, 2022 | mlb

Tampa Bay Rays vs New York Yankees

Date: Tuesday, June 14th, 07:05 ET

Location: Yankee Stadium

TV: TBS

Money Line: Rays +165 / Yankees -200 (Best Bonus - Why re-deposit and get NOTHING when you can grab a 100% bonus at one of our top tier sportsbooks!)

Total Line: 8.0

STARTING PITCHING

Tampa Bay: Corey Kluber (3-2, 3.88)
New York: Gerrit Cole (5-1, 3.63)

Rays Projected Lineup

Taylor Walls SS
Kevin Kiermaier CF
Isaac Paredes 2B
Manuel Margot LF
Francisco Mejía C
Vidal Brujan 2B
Yandy Díaz 3B
Randy Arozarena LF
Harold Ramirez CF
Corey Kluber P

Yankees Projected Lineup

Isiah Kiner-Falefa SS
Jose Trevino C
Josh Donaldson 3B
Joey Gallo RF
Aaron Hicks CF
Anthony Rizzo 1B
Giancarlo Stanton RF
DJ LeMahieu 2B
Aaron Judge CF
Gerrit Cole P

STRAIGHT UP/ OVER/UNDER / RUN LINE RECORDS

Tampa Bay Rays: 35-25-0 SU / OU 26-31-3 / Run Line W/L 29-31-0
New York Yankees: 44-16-0 SU / OU 27-32-1 / Run Line W/L 32-28-0

The New York Yankees host the Tampa Bay Rays on Tuesday, June 14th at Yankee Stadium. The first pitch in this matchup is scheduled for 07:05 ET. The MLB Odds Board places New York as the favorite (-200), with an OU line set at 8.0.

Recent Form

The Tampa Bay Rays will look to pick up another big win after they defeated the Twins by a score of 6-0. Overall, the team’s pitching staff limited the Twins to 0 runs on 5 hits. The Rays lineup had a good night at the plate, coming up with 7 hits, leading to 6 runs. Heading into their last game, Tampa Bay was the betting favorite, at -125.0. Through 46 games as the favorite, the team has found the win column at a rate of 63.0%. Combined, the Rays and Twins fell short of the over-under betting line of 9.0 runs. So far, Tampa Bay has been a good candidate to fall below the betting line, as their over-under record sits at just 26-31-3.

The Rays are looking to continue adding wins, as they are 3-2 over their last 5 games. During this time, they have an average scoring differential of +9. Offensively, the team has put up 28 runs in their last 5 games. Tampa Bay’s season average comes in at 4.25 (19th). So far, Tampa Bay has won over half of their 19 series played, going 10-7-2.

The New York Yankees are coming off a big win over the Cubs by a score of 18-4. For the game, the pitching staff held the Cubs to 4 runs on 11 hits. Offensively, they finished with 18 runs on 17 hits. In the game, New York was able to take care of business as they were the favorite at -210.0. For the season, the team has been favored in 56 games, winning at a rate of 73.0%. In terms of the over-under, the Yankees and Cubs combined to surpass the line of 8.5 runs. So far, New York has an over-under record of just 27-32-1.

In their last 5 games, the Yankees have put together a record of 4-1. During this time, the team’s run differential sits at +19. Overall, the Yankees are averaging 5.12 runs per contest. But, over their last 5 outings, they have been scoring at a clip of 7.8 runs per contest. On the season, New York has won more than half of their series, going 15-2-2.

Pitching Matchup

The Tampa Bay Rays will send Corey Kluber to the mound with an overall record of 3-2. To date, Kluber has an ERA of 3.88 while lasting an average of 5.02 innings per appearance. Compared to other starters, the right-hander has a high BA allowed, currently sitting at 0.258. Opponents are hitting for power against Kluber, as his HR/9 figure sits at 1.14. Overall, he is averaging 4.64 per game, on a K rate of 22.0%. Throughout the season, Kluber has avoided walking batters, allowing just 1.46 per contest.

New York will roll with Gerrit Cole (5-1) as their starter. Cole gets the start with an ERA of 3.63. On average, he has lasted 5.58 innings per appearance. Through 12 outings, opposing teams have combined for a batting average of 0.212. This year, home runs have been an issue for Cole. So far, he has allowed 1.48 per 9 innings. On the season, Gerrit Cole has had no problem racking up strikeouts, posting a strikeout percentage of 31.0%. This has led to an average of 7.0 K’s per game. Cole has done a good job at limiting walks, averaging just 2.28 per contest.

Tampa Bay vs New York History

For the season, the Tampa Bay Rays and New York Yankees will be playing their 5th game of the season. So far, the teams have each won 2 times. The over-under record in this series sits at 1-3. The average run total in these games is 7.79 runs per game. The averge scoring margin in these meetings is 2.75 runs. Going back to last year, Tampa Bay won the season series, 11 games to 8. The over-under record in last year’s matchups was 9-10, with the average run total being 7.79 runs per game. The average scoring differential in this series was 4.0 runs per game.

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Betting Trends

  • Tampa Bay is 5-0 ATS in its last 5 games when playing on the road against NY Yankees
  • The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Tampa Bay’s last 5 games when playing NY Yankees
  • NY Yankees is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games at home
  • NY Yankees is 11-1 SU in its last 12 games

Tampa Bay Rays at New York Yankees Prediction

Heading into Tuesday’s AL East matchup between Tampa Bay and New York, the Yankees are the heavy favorite to pick up a win. Even though Gerrit Cole is coming off a terrible outing vs Minnesota, I expect him to bounce back with a strong performance. However, Corey Kluber was excellent the first time around vs New York, giving up just 1 run across 6 innings. In this matchup, I like Tampa Bay to cover the runline.

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