White Sox vs. Astros Picks & Predictions

by | Jun 19, 2022 | mlb

Chicago White Sox vs Houston Astros
Date: Sunday, June 19th, 07:08 ET
Location: Minute Maid Park
TV: ESPN
Money Line: White Sox +144 / Astros -175
Total Line: 8.0

STARTING PITCHING

Chicago: Michael Kopech (2-2, 1.92)
Houston: Cristian Javier (3-3, 3.2)

White Sox Projected Lineup

Leury García 2B
Reese McGuire C
Jake Burger 3B
Andrew Vaughn RF
Yoán Moncada 3B
Danny Mendick SS
Luis Robert CF
José Abreu 1B
AJ Pollock LF
Michael Kopech P

Astros Projected Lineup

Aledmys Díaz SS
Jose Siri CF
Kyle Tucker RF
Yuli Gurriel 1B
Alex Bregman 3B
Martín Maldonado C
Yordan Alvarez LF
Jose Altuve 2B
Michael Brantley LF
Cristian Javier P

STRAIGHT UP/ OVER/UNDER / RUN LINE RECORDS

Chicago White Sox: 31-32-0 SU / OU 31-30-2 / Run Line W/L 29-34-0
Houston Astros: 40-25-0 SU / OU 21-44-0 / Run Line W/L 31-34-0

The Houston Astros host the Chicago White Sox on Sunday, June 19th at Minute Maid Park. The first pitch in this matchup is scheduled for 07:08 ET. The MLB Odds Board places Houston as the favorite (-175), with an OU line set at 8.0.

Recent Form

The Chicago White Sox are coming off a 7 run win over the Astros by a score of 7-0. On their way to the victory, the pitching staff gave up 0 runs on 3 hits. The White Sox benefited from an offense that generated 7 runs on 12 hits. Chicago picked up the win, despite getting 205.0 on the moneyline. Combined, the White Sox and Astros fell short of the over-under betting line of 7.5 runs. Even after this game, Chicago’s overall over-under record sits at 31-30-2.

In the White Sox’s last 5 games, they are above .500, going 4-1. Over this stretch, the team has a positive run differential at +18. Their hot play has been driven by an offense that typically averages 4.19 runs per game. But over this stretch, this figure has bumped up to 7.4. So far, Chicago has won over half of their 21 series played, going 9-8-4.

Houston is coming off a 7-run loss to the White Sox. Dropping the game 7-0. Houston’s pitching staff gave up 12 hits, leading to 7 runs for the White Sox. At the plate, the Astros only came through for 0 runs on 3 hits. Leading into the game, Houston was the betting favorite at -250.0. For the season, the team has been favored in 56 games, winning at a rate of 64.0%. With this result, the Astros and White Sox combined to fall below the over-under line of 7.5 runs. This result comes as no surprise, as the team’s over-under record is just 21-44-0.

Across their last 5 contests, the Astros are above .500, going 3-2. During this time, the team’s run differential sits at +9. Compared to their season average, the Astros come into this game swinging the bats well, averaging 5.8 runs per game. On the season, Houston has won more than half of their series, going 11-8-2.

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Pitching Matchup

The Chicago White Sox will send Michael Kopech to the mound with an overall record of 2-2. Through 11 appearances, Kopech has an ERA of just 1.92 while averaging 4.65 innings per appearance. Hits have been hard to come by against the right-hander, as his batting average allowed is just 0.137. In addition, to his strong BA allowed, he has been able to limit power, allowing just 0.35 home runs allowed per 9 innings. Kopech has accumulated a strikeout percentage of 25.0% and a per-game average of 4.64. Command has been a problem for Kopech, as he is giving up 4.18 walks per outing.

In today’s game, Houston turns to starter Cristian Javier. For the year, he has a record of 3-3. Through 12 appearances, Javier has an ERA of just 3.2 while averaging 4.18 innings per appearance. So far, batters are hitting just 0.216 against him. Not only does Javier have a strong batting average allowed, but he has also avoided giving up home runs. In his previous outings, opponents are averaging just 0.72 home runs allowed per 9 innings. Overall, Cristian Javier has struck out 30.0% of the batters he has faced. On average, he averages 5.25 K’s per game. Javier comes into the game hoping to improve his walk numbers, as he is averaging 3.38 free passes per outing.

Chicago vs Houston History

For the season, the Chicago White Sox and Houston Astros will be playing their 3rd game of the season. Today’s game will be a rubber match for the two teams, as Chicago and Houston each have 1 win. Through 2 games, the series’ over-under record is 1-1, with the average run total sitting at 9.73 runs per game. In these matchups, the average scoring differential sits at 8.5 runs. Houston won last year’s head to head series, grabbing 8 wins to 3. The over-under record in last year’s matchups was 7-4, with the average run total being 9.73 runs per game. On average, the winning team won by a margin of 5.73 runs per contest.

Betting Trends

  • The total has gone OVER in 7 of Chi White Sox’s last 8 games
  • Chi White Sox is 5-1 SU in its last 6 games on the road
  • Houston is 5-0 ATS in its last 5 games when playing at home against Chi White Sox
  • Houston is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games when playing at home against Chi White Sox

Chicago White Sox at Houston Astros Prediction

Heading into Sunday evening’s matchup between Chicago and Houston, the Astros are once again heavy favorites to pick up the win. Even though the White Sox should benefit from having Michael Kopech on the mound, he was pulled early from his last start with knee discomfort. I expect Chicago to be careful about relying on the right-hander for too much work. Look for Houston to bounce back with a convincing win. I recommend the Astros on the runline.

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