White Sox vs. Guardians Odds & Predictions

by | Jul 11, 2022 | mlb

Chicago White Sox vs Cleveland Guardians

Date: Monday, July 11th, 07:10 ET

Location: Progressive Field

TV: NBCSCH

Money Line: White Sox -115 / Guardians -105 (Find dimeline sportsbooks >>> Maximize your potential! Wasting money is DUMB!)

Total Line: 9.0

STARTING PITCHING

Chicago: Lance Lynn (1-1, 5.33)
Cleveland: Cal Quantrill (4-5, 3.86)

White Sox Projected Lineup

Yoán Moncada 3B
Leury García LF
Gavin Sheets RF
Eloy Jiménez LF
Seby Zavala C
Luis Robert CF
José Abreu 1B
Tim Anderson SS
Andrew Vaughn LF
Lance Lynn P

Guardians Projected Lineup

Nolan Jones RF
Austin Hedges C
Franmil Reyes RF
Andrés Giménez 2B
José Ramírez 3B
Myles Straw CF
Josh Naylor 1B
Steven Kwan LF
Amed Rosario SS
Cal Quantrill P

STRAIGHT UP/ OVER/UNDER / RUN LINE RECORDS

Chicago White Sox: 41-43-0 SU / OU 40-40-4 / Run Line W/L 39-45-0
Cleveland Guardians: 41-42-0 SU / OU 39-39-5 / Run Line W/L 42-41-0

The Cleveland Guardians host the Chicago White Sox on Monday, July 11th at Progressive Field. The first pitch in this matchup is scheduled for 07:10 ET. The MLB Odds Board places Chicago as the favorite (-115), with an OU line set at 9.0.

Recent Form

In their most recent game, Chicago picked up a 2 run win over the Tigers (4-2). Overall, the team’s pitching staff limited the Tigers to 2 runs on 5 hits. The White Sox benefited from an offense that generated 4 runs on 7 hits. Heading into their last game, Chicago was the betting favorite at -180.0. Through 50 games as the favorite, the team has found the win column at a rate of 54.0%. Together, the White Sox and Tigers stayed below the over-under line set at 9.0 runs. With this result, Chicago’s over-under record dropped back to .500 40-40-4.

In the White Sox’s last 5 games, they are above .500, going 3-2. During this time, they have an average scoring differential of +8. Their hot play has been driven by an offense that typically averages 4.29 runs per game. But, over this stretch this figure has bumped up to 5.4. Chicago’s overall series record is just 11-12-4.

Cleveland will look to move on from a 4-run loss to the Royals, falling by the score of 5-1. On their way to giving up 5 runs, the Guardians staff allowed 10 hits. At the plate, the Guardians only came through for 1 run on 5 hits. Cleveland dropped the game despite being favored at -115.0. For the season, the team has been favored in 43 games, winning at a rate of 57.9%. Combined, the Guardians and Royals’ run total fell below the over-under line of 9.0 runs. The Guardians now have a .500 over-under record of 39-39-5.

The Guardians come into today’s game looking to turn things around, as they are just 1-4 over their last 5 games. This recent slump is backed by a scoring margin of -6 over their last 5 games. Even with their recent struggles, the offense has been steady, averaging 4.6 runs per game. This is right in line with their season average of 4.31. On the season, Cleveland has won more than half of their series, going 12-11-4.

Pitching Matchup

Chicago will roll with Lance Lynn (1-1) as their starter. So far, Lynn has put together an ERA of 5.33. In his appearances leading up to today, he has lasted an average of 5.4 innings. Opposing teams have hit the ball well against the right-hander, with a batting average of 0.266. Opponents are hitting for power against Lynn, as his HR/9 figure sits at 1.33. Lynn has had trouble generating strikeouts, averaging just 5.2 K’s per game on a K rate of 22.0%. Leading into the game, he has shown a strong command of his pitches, averaging just 2.33 walks per contest.

Cal Quantrill gets the start for the Guardians, with an overall record of 4-5. To date, Quantrill has an ERA of 3.86 while lasting an average of 5.88 innings per appearance. Compared to other starters, the right-hander has a high BA allowed of 0.266. So far, Quantrill has managed to keep the ball in the ballpark, allowing just 1.12 home runs per 9 innings. Quantrill has accumulated a strikeout percentage of 15.0% and a per-game average of 3.67. For the season, he has struggled with command averaging 2.74 walks per outing.

Chicago vs Cleveland History

For the season, the Chicago White Sox and Cleveland Guardians will be playing their 6th game of the season. Cleveland holds the edge in the series at 4-1. The over-under record in this series sits at 3-2. The average run total in these games is 8.16 runs per game. The averge scoring margin in these meetings is 4.0 runs. Last season, Chicago picked up the series win, 10 games to 9. In these 19 meetings, the two teams combined for an over-under record of 10-9. Last year, the White Sox and Guardians averaged 8.16 runs per game. The average scoring differential in this series was 2.79 runs per game.

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Betting Trends

  • Chi White Sox is 7-1 ATS in its last 8 games on the road
  • Chi White Sox is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games on the road
  • Cleveland is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games when playing Chi White Sox
  • Cleveland is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games when playing at home against Chi White Sox

Chicago White Sox at Cleveland Guardians Prediction

Heading into Monday’s American League Central matchup between Chicago and Cleveland, the White Sox have a slight edge on the moneyline. However, even though Chicago is 4-1 in Lance Lynn’s 5 outings, I don’t see the White Sox mustering enough offense vs Cal Quantrill. I recommend taking the Guardians on the moneyline.

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