Yankees vs. Rays Betting Predictions 5/29/22

by | May 29, 2022 | mlb

New York Yankees vs Tampa Bay Rays

Date: Sunday, May 29th, 01:40 ET

Location: Tropicana Field

TV: MLBN (out-of-market only)

Money Line: Yankees +100 / Rays -120 (BAS - Odds cost less there!)

Total Line: 6.5

STARTING PITCHING

New York: Luis Severino (3-3, 3.38)
Tampa Bay: Shane McClanahan (4-2, 2.06)

Yankees Projected Lineup

Joey Gallo RF
Marwin Gonzalez 3B
Aaron Hicks CF
Isiah Kiner-Falefa SS
DJ LeMahieu 2B
Jose Trevino C
Anthony Rizzo 1B
Gleyber Torres 2B
Aaron Judge CF
Luis Severino P

Rays Projected Lineup

Mike Zunino C
Taylor Walls SS
Randy Arozarena LF
Manuel Margot CF
Vidal Brujan 2B
Yandy Díaz 3B
Ji-Man Choi 1B
Kevin Kiermaier CF
Wander Franco SS
Shane McClanahan P

STRAIGHT UP/ OVER/UNDER / RUN LINE RECORDS

New York Yankees: 33-14-0 SU / OU 21-26-0 / Run Line W/L 24-23-0
Tampa Bay Rays: 27-19-0 SU / OU 20-23-3 / Run Line W/L 22-24-0

The Tampa Bay Rays host the New York Yankees on Sunday, May 29th at Tropicana Field. The first pitch in this matchup is scheduled for 01:40 ET. The MLB Odds Board places Tampa Bay as the favorite (-120), with an OU line set at 6.5.

Recent Form

The Yankees come into this game having suffered a 3-1 loss to the Tampa Bay. Even in the loss, the pitching staff gave up just 3 runs while allowing 7 hits. On offense, the Yankees finished with 4 hits. This defeat came despite being favored at -150.0. Through 44 games as the favorite, the team has found the win column at a rate of 68.0%. Combined, the Yankees and Tampa Bay fell short of the over-under betting line of 6.5 runs. This outcome pushed New York’s over-under record further below .500 at 21-26-0.

The Yankees come into this game with a 4-1 record of their last 5 contests. Over this stretch, the team has a positive run differential at 8. New York comes into the game struggling on offense, averaging 3.8 over their last 5. This figure is down from their season average of 4.64. So far, New York has won over half of their 15 series played, going 12-2-1.

Tampa Bay will look to keep things rolling in today’s game, as they most recently took down the Yankees by 2 runs 3-1. In the win, the pitching staff allowed just 1 run on hits 4 hits. The Rays’ offense ended the game with just 3 runs on 7 hits. This was a good win for the Rays, as they were underdogs at 130.0. In their 12 games as the underdog, their straight-up win percentage sits at 50.0%. Combined, the Rays and the Yankees’ run total fell below the OU line of 6.5 runs. Now, Tampa Bay had an over-under record of 20-23-3.

Across their last 5 contests, the Rays are above .500, going 3-2. Tampa Bay has managed to play above .500 baseball, despite their last 5 scoring margin sitting at 0. Tampa Bay has played above .500 baseball, despite averaging just 2.8 runs in their last 5 games. This is a drop in production compared to their season average of 4.22. On the season, Tampa Bay has won more than half of their series, going 9-6-0.

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Pitching Matchup

Luis Severino gets the start for the Yankees, with an overall record of 3-0. To date, Severino has an ERA of 3.02 while lasting an average of 5.15 innings per appearance. Severino comes into the game with a batting average allowed of 0.239. Home runs have been an issue for Severino, as he is allowing an average of 1.09 per 9 innings pitched. Severino has accumulated a strikeout percentage of 24.0% and a per game average of 5.375. Leading into the game, he has shown a strong command of his pitches, averaging just 2.38 walks per contest.

The Tampa Bay Rays will send Shane McClanahan to the mound with an overall record of 4-2. In his previous outings, McClanahan is lasting an average of 5.79, putting together an ERA of just 2.06. So far, batters are hitting just 0.184 against him. McClanahan is giving up home runs at a rate similar to the league average, allowing 1.04 per 9 innings. In terms of strikeouts, Shane McClanahan has a strong strikeout percentage of 37.0%, including a per-game average of 8.22. Leading into the game, he has shown a strong command of his pitches, averaging just 2.06 walks per contest.

New York vs Tampa Bay History

Today’s matchup between the New York Yankees and Tampa Bay Rays will be their 3rd meeting of the season. New York has the lead in the series at 2-1. The over-under record in this series sits at 1-2. The average run total in these games is 7.79 runs per game. In these matchups, the average scoring differential sits at 3.0 runs. Dating back to last season, the Tampa Bay picked up 11 wins compared to 8, taking the season series. The over-under record in last year’s matchups was 9-10, with the average run total being 7.79 runs per game. On average, the winning team won by a margin of 4.0 runs per contest.

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Betting Trends

  • NY Yankees is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games
  • NY Yankees is 13-4 SU in its last 17 games on the road
  • Tampa Bay is 5-2 ATS in its last 7 games when playing NY Yankees
  • Tampa Bay is 5-2 SU in its last 7 games at home

New York Yankees at Tampa Bay Rays Prediction

Heading into Sunday’s AL East matchup between New York and Tampa Bay, the over-under betting line is set at just 6.5 runs. Even with a low number, look for Luis Severino and Shane McClanahan to keep the scoring to a minimum. Both starters come into the game not having given up a run in their last outing. I recommend the under.

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