76ers vs. Heat Game 5 Picks & Predictions

by | May 10, 2022 | nba

Philadelphia 76ers (57-35 SU, 44-47-1 ATS) vs. Miami Heat (59-32 SU, 51-39-1
ATS)

When: Tuesday May 10 2022, 07:30 PM (ET)

Where: FTX Arena, Miami, Florida

TV: TNT

Point Spread: PHI +3.5/MIA -3.5 (Opened MIA -3.5 at BetOnline - Fastest BTC payouts on the web!)

Total: 209.5 (Opened at 210)

Money Line: Philadelphia 132/Miami -159

Power Rating: MIA -4

Probable Starting Lineups

Philadelphia 76ers PG James Harden, SG Tyrese Maxey, SF Danny Green, PF Tobias Harris,
C Joel Embiid Q

Miami Heat PG Kyle Lowry Q, SG Max Strus P, SF Jimmy Butler, PF P.J. Tucker P, C Bam
Adebayo

Key Injuries

Philadelphia 76ers Isaiah Joe: Ankle (QUESTIONABLE)

Miami Heat Gabe Vincent: Knee (QUESTIONABLE) Max Strus: Hamstring (QUESTIONABLE) Caleb
Martin: Ankle (QUESTIONABLE) Tyler Herro: Ankle (QUESTIONABLE) P.J. Tucker: Calf (QUESTIONABLE)
Kyle Lowry: Hamstring (QUESTIONABLE) Dewayne Dedmon: Illness (QUESTIONABLE)

The Miami Heat host the Philadelphia 76ers in an Eastern-Conference matchup. Tip-off is set
for 07:30 PM ET at the FTX Arena.

Recent Form

The Philadelphia 76ers come into this game with an overall record of 51-31, placing them 2nd
in the Eastern Conference. So far, Philadelphia is above .500 on the road, holding a record of
29-17. Over their last five games, the 76ers have played well, picking up 3 wins. In this
stretch, Philadelphia’s offense is scoring right in line with their season average, putting up
108.0 points per game. Combined, the 76ers’ last five opponents are giving up 105.0 points per
contest. Philadelphia comes into this game also playing well defensively, holding their opponents
to just 102.0 points per game. An improvement on their season average of 106.9. In the
Philadelphia 76ers’ most recent game, Philadelphia took down Miami by a score of 116-108

The Miami Heat come into this game with an overall record of 53-29, placing them 1st in the
Eastern Conference. So far, Miami is above .500 at home, holding a record of 34-12. The Heat have
played well over their last five games, picking up 3 wins. In this stretch, Miami’s offense is
scoring right in line with their season average, putting up 102.0 points per game. Combined, the
Heat’s last five opponents are giving up 108.0 points per contest. The Heat come into this game
also playing well defensively, holding their opponents to just 101.0 points per game. An
improvement on their season average of 105.0. In the Miami Heat’s most recent game, the team fell
to Philadelphia by a score of 116-108.

Individual Player Analysis

As Philadelphia travels to take on the Miami Heat, the 76ers’ leading scorer is Joel Embiid.
Through 71 games, Embiid is averaging 30 points. On the season, he has surpassed his season
average in 52.0% of his games. Against the Heat, Embiid will need to be on top of his game as
Miami is allowing their opponent’s top scorer to surpass their average in 38.0% of their games,
placing them in the top 10. On the other side, Jimmy Butler leads the Heat in scoring, averaging
21 points across his 58 games. Throughout the season, Butler has outscored his season average in
50.0% of his outings. Given that Philadelphia’s defense has struggled to slow down their
opponent’s top scorers, Jimmy Butler should be in line for a big performance. So far, the 76ers
have allowed their opponent’s top scorer to surpass their season average in 53.03% of their
games, giving them a rank of 25th among NBA defenses.

Matchup Analysis

The 76ers come into this game as the more efficient offensive team, averaging 110.3 points per
100 possessions. When playing as the superior offensive unit, Philadelphia is winning at a rate
of 66%. These victories are coming by an average margin of 12.0 points. On the other side, the
Heat hold the advantage on the defensive end of the floor. So far, they have played 37 games as
the better defensive team, picking up 29 wins (78%).

The Historicals

Heading into today’s matchup, the Philadelphia 76ers and Miami Heat have met up for 8 games.
In their last meeting, Philadelphia picked up a 116-108 win.

How the Public is Betting the 76ers vs Heat

67% are betting the Heat against the spread.
52% are wagering on the game to go over the posted total of 209.5

More Picks: Get Joe’s Dallas at Phoenix Game 5 Projected Point Spread Winner >>>

Betting Trends Worth Noting

  • The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Philadelphia’s last 5 games when playing on the road
    against Miami
  • Philadelphia is 11-5 SU in its last 16 games
  • Miami is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games at home
  • Miami is 7-1 SU in its last 8 games when playing at home against Philadelphia

Joe’s Pick to Cover the Spread

Before this series moved to Philadelphia, the Heat looked like they would be punching an early
ticket to the Eastern Conference Finals. However, with the return of Joel Embiid, the Sixers have
new life. But, if the team is going to advance to the next round, they will need to eventually
win in Miami. With Embiid’s return, the spread has come way down compared to the first two games
in Miami. So far, not one of these games has been particularly close, with the tightest margin
being 8 points. However, I expect this trend to end in what should be a thrilling game 5. I
recommend taking Philly on the spread, getting +3.5. Bet your NBA predictions for FREE today by taking advantage of a 100% REAL CASH bonus on your first deposit of $100 to $300 at MyBookie Sportsbook! (Must use bonus code PREDICT100).