Atlanta Hawks vs. Dallas Mavericks Point Spread Pick 1/18/23

by | Jan 18, 2023 | nba

Atlanta Hawks (22-22 SU, 18-25-1 ATS) vs. Dallas Mavericks (24-21 SU, 15-28-2 ATS)
When: Wednesday, January 18th, 7:30 PM (ET)
Where: American Airlines Center, TX, Dallas
TV: ESPN

Point Spread: ATL +4/ DAL -4 (Deposit $100 and get $100 FREE with bonus code PREDICT100 at MyBookie Sportsbook!)
Total: 232.5
Money Line: Atlanta Hawks +139/ -167

Notable Injuries

Hawks

    Mavericks

    • Tim Hardaway Jr. (Out) Ankle
    • Dorian Finney-Smith (Probable) Adductor
    • Maxi Kleber (Out) Hamstring
    • Luka Doncic (Probable) Ankle
    • Josh Green (Probable) Elbow
    • McKinley Wright IV (Out) Foot

    Recent Form

    Heading into the game, Atlanta is 22-22 overall. When taking to the road, Atlanta has a mark of 10-13 and a win percentage of 43%. Currently, the team is 9th in the Eastern Conference. So far, they are 18-25-1 vs the spread. In their matchup against Dallas, the Atlanta Hawks have won 3 straight games and will look to push that mark to 4 in a row.

    In their preceding game, the Hawks overpowered the Heat, earning a 121-113 win as 1 point favorites. Dejounte Murray led the way for the Hawks, putting up 28 points on 64.7% shooting. The Hawks not only secured the victory but also covered the spread.

    Heading into the game, Dallas is 24-21 overall. When playing at home, Dallas has a mark of 16-6 and a win percent of 73%. Currently, the team is 5th in the Western Conference. So far, they are 15-28-2 vs the spread. The Mavericks need a win in today’s matchup vs Atlanta to avoid their 3rd straight loss.

    In their most recent matchup, the Trail Blazers defeated Dallas with a score of 140-123. Spencer Dinwiddie scored the most points for the team with 28, but it was not enough to earn the win. The Mavericks were 9 points ahead going into the game.

    The Historicals

    Going back to last season, the Hawks and Mavericks split their season series, with each team picking up a win at home. The average point total across the two games was 190.5 points. Last year, the Hawks saw a drop in overall scoring when playing the Mavericks, averaging 103.5 points per game. Like the Hawks, the Mavericks scored at a rate below their season average, finishing with 95.0 points per game vs Atlanta. The ATS record across the previous 5 head-to-head meetings is 3-2 in favor of the Hawks. In these matchups, Atlanta has averaged 110 points per game while allowing 107. Atlanta and Dallas averaged a combined 217 points per game in these games, leading to an over-under mark of 2-3.

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    Analysis

    This season, Atlanta is among the league leaders in scoring, averaging 115.1 points per game. So far, the Hawks are also one of the more up-tempo teams in the league, sitting at 101.5 possessions per game. Atlanta has struggled with their 3-point shot this season, as they are currently ranked just 24th in 3-point shooting percentage at 34.0%. In addition, they are near the bottom of the league in attempts, at just 30.8 attempts per contest. Defense has been a struggle for Atlanta, as they are currently allowing 112.38 points per game. The team’s 3-point shooting defense has been a problem this year. So far, opposing offenses have hit 36.43% of their looks from the outside.

    Trae Young is the top scorer for the Hawks, with an average of 27.4 points per game. This season, his field goal percentage is 42.4%. Dejounte Murray is the team’s second-leading scorer, averaging 20.4 points per game.

    This season, the Mavericks’ offense is averaging 112.7 points per game, which is 18th in the NBA. In terms of pace, Dallas has been playing at one of the slower tempo’s in the league, averaging just 96.9 possessions per game. The three-point shot has been a big part of Dallas’ offensive game plan, as they are ranked 3rd in 3-point attempts per game. So far, they have connected on 35.9% of their looks from the outside. Defensively, the Mavericks have been one of the best units in the NBA, allowing just 104.72 points per game. So far, they have done an excellent job defending the 3-point arc, allowing teams to hit just 33.98%.

    Luka Doncic is the top scorer for the Mavericks, with an average of 33.8 points per game. This season, his field goal percentage is 49.8%. Christian Wood is the team’s second-leading scorer, averaging 18.3 points per game.

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    Betting Trends

    • Hawks are 18-37 ATS in their last 55 games following a straight up win.
    • Hawks are 18-37 ATS in their last 55 road games vs. a team with a winning home record.
    • Mavericks are 7-0 ATS in their last 7 home games following a road trip of 7 or more days.
    • Mavericks are 19-7 ATS in their last 26 games.

    Joes Pick To Cover The Spread

    Even though the Mavericks have been slumping of late, I am looking at them as a good option at home tonight. Look for Luka Doncic (probable), to continually look for opportunites against Trae Young, which should lead to a big offensive night for the Mavs. I like Dallas to cover. Bet your NBA predictions for FREE this week by scoring a 100% real cash bonus up to $500 when you use promo code PREDICTEM on the special offers page AFTER you register and BEFORE you place your first bet at the web’s oldest (In business since 1983) and most trusted sportsbook —-> Everygame! (Formerly known as Intertops)