Atlanta Hawks vs. Miami Heat Prediction ATS

by | Apr 8, 2022 | nba

Atlanta Hawks (42-38 SU, 36-44-0 ATS) vs. Miami Heat (52-28 SU, 45-34-1 ATS)

When: Friday April 08 2022, 08:00 PM (ET)

Where: FTX Arena, Miami, Florida

TV: BSSE-ATL

Point Spread: ATL +2/MIA -2 (Opened MIA -4 at SportsBetting.ag - Awesome website!)

Total: 229 (Opened at 229)

Money Line: Atlanta 110/Miami -132

Power Rating: MIA -3

Probable Starting Lineups

Atlanta Hawks PG Trae Young, SG Kevin Huerter, SF De’Andre Hunter, PF Danilo Gallinari, C Clint Capela

Miami Heat PG Kyle Lowry Off Inj, SG Max Strus, SF Caleb Martin Q, PF Jimmy Butler, C Bam Adebayo

Key Injuries

Atlanta Hawks
Lou Williams: Back (QUESTIONABLE)
John Collins: Foot (OUT)

Miami Heat
Gabe Vincent: Toe (QUESTIONABLE)
Markieff Morris: Hip Flexor (QUESTIONABLE)
Caleb Martin: Calf (QUESTIONABLE)
Haywood Highsmith: Hip (QUESTIONABLE)
Omer Yurtseven: Illness (QUESTIONABLE)
P.J. Tucker: Calf (OUT)
Dewayne Dedmon: Ankle (QUESTIONABLE)

The Miami Heat host the Atlanta Hawks in an Eastern-Conference matchup. Tip-off is set for 08:00 PM ET at the FTX Arena.

Recent Form

The Atlanta Hawks come into this game with an overall record of 42-38, placing them 9th in the Eastern Conference. Throughout the season, Atlanta has struggled in their 39 road contests, sitting at 15-24. Over their last five games, the Hawks have played well, picking up 4 wins. During this stretch, Atlanta is averaging 123.0 points per game, 9.0 points more than their season average of 113.8. This uptick in offensive play has come while playing a group of opponents who are collectively giving up 110.0 points per contest. The Hawks have been picking up wins while holding opponents to an average of 112.0 points per game, similar to their season average of 112.4. In the Atlanta Hawks’ most recent game, Atlanta took down Washington by a score of 118-103

The Miami Heat come into this game with an overall record of 52-28, placing them 1st in the Eastern Conference. So far, Miami is above .500 at home, holding a record of 28-12. The Heat have played well over their last five games, picking up 5 wins. During this stretch, Miami is averaging 123.0 points per game, 13.0 points more than their season average of 110.0. This uptick in offensive play has come while playing a group of opponents who are collectively giving up 111.0 points per contest. The Heat have been picking up victories while holding opponents to an average of 106.0 points per game, similar to their season average of 105.3. In the Miami Heat’s most recent game, Miami took down Charlotte by a score of 144-115.

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Individual Player Analysis

As Atlanta travels to take on the Miami Heat, the Hawks’ leading scorer is Trae Young. Through 75 games, Young is averaging 28 points. On the season, he has surpassed his season average in 52.0% of his games. So far, the Heat are allowing their opponent’s top scorer to surpass their season average in 47.62% of their games, placing them 13rd among NBA defenses. On the other side, Jimmy Butler leads the Heat in scoring, averaging 21 points across his 59 games. Throughout the season, Butler has outscored his season average in 53.0% of his outings. However, if he hopes to add to this total, Butler will need to do so against a Hawks defense that has been tough on their opponent’s top scorers. So far, leading scores have surpassed their season average at a rate of just 34.48%. This figure is good for a rank of 1st in the league.

Matchup Analysis

The Hawks come into this game as the more efficient offensive team, averaging 112.8 points per 100 possessions. When playing as the superior offensive unit, Atlanta is winning at a rate of 41%. These victories are coming by an average margin of 11.0 points. On the other side, the Heat hold the advantage on the defensive end of the floor. So far, they have played 36 games as the better defensive team, picking up 28 wins (78%).

The Historicals

Heading into today’s matchup, the Atlanta Hawks and Miami Heat have met up for 3 games. In their last meeting, Atlanta picked up a 110-108 win.

How the Public is Betting the Hawks vs Heat

67% are betting the Heat against the spread.
52% are wagering on the game to go over the posted total of 228.5

More Picks: Charlotte at Chicago 4/8/22 Point Spread Pick >>>

Betting Trends Worth Noting

  • Hawks are 4-0 ATS in their last 4 games playing on 1 days rest.
  • Hawks are 6-1 ATS in their last 7 games overall.
  • Heat are 4-0 ATS in their last 4 after allowing 100 points or more in their previous game.
  • Heat are 4-0 ATS in their last 4 games following a ATS win.

Joe’s Pick to Cover the Spread

The Miami Heat come into this matchup with just 2 games remaining on their schedule and hold a 2 game lead over Milwaukee for the top slot in the Eastern Conference. After a brief set of games in which the team struggled, Miami has rattled off 5 straight wins. On the other side, the Hawks tied with the Nets for the 8th seed. If they can find the win column in their final 2 games, they will give themselves an opportunity to play in the 7/8 matchup, and a chance to win and get in to the actual playoffs. However, I expect the Heat to take care of business at home, covering the spread as 2 point favorites. Bet your Atl vs. Mia pick and ALL your NBA predictions for FREE this week by taking advantage of a 100% REAL CASH bonus on your first deposit of $100 to $300 at MyBookie Sportsbook! Must use bonus code PREDICT100 and go through this special link!