Atlanta Hawks vs. Toronto Raptors Predictions 2/4/22

by | Last updated Feb 4, 2022 | nba

Atlanta Hawks (25-26 SU, 23-28-0 ATS) vs. Toronto Raptors (27-23 SU, 28-21-1 ATS)

When: Friday February 04 2022, 07:30 PM (ET)

Where: Scotiabank Arena: Toronto, Ontario


Point Spread: ATL 1.5/TOR -1.5 (Opened at TOR -1.5 at Bovada – They offer a 50% bonus, rebates on ALL your bets and the BEST live betting platform on the web!)

Total: 214.5 (Opened at 214.5)

Money Line: Atlanta 105/Toronto -125

Power Rating: TOR -4

Probable Starting Lineups

Hawks: PG Trae Young, SG Bogan Bogdanovic, SF De’Andre Hunter, PF John Collins, C Clint Capela

Raptors: PG Fred VanVleet, SG Gary Trent Jr, SF OG Anunoby, PF Pascal Siakam, C Chris Boucher

Key Injuries

De’Andre Hunter: ankle (PROBABLE) Trae Young: shoulder (QUESTIONABLE)

Khem Birch: nose (OUT) David Johnson: illness (OUT)

Recent Form

The Atlanta Hawks enter today’s game, having won eight of their past ten games. When playing away from home, the Hawks have played at a below .500 rate, having gone 10-14. As the road team, Atlanta travels to Toronto with a negative plus-minus of rating -2.0 points. Overall, the Hawks are ranked 16th among NBA teams in point differential (1.6). Among NBA teams, they have played the 12nd toughest schedule.

Heading into the game, the Hawks have a below .500 record vs. the spread, sitting at 23-28. Their season-long plus-minus against the spread is -1.1.

On offense, the team’s leading scorer is PG Trae Young. So far, Young is averaging 28.07 points per game, making him the top-scoring point guard in the NBA. Atlanta’s second-leading scorer, John Collins, is listed as questionable on the injury report. So far, Collins is averaging 16.7 points while pulling down eight rebounds.

The Toronto Raptors enter today’s game, having won 4 straight games. In their past ten contests, the Raptors have played at an above .500 rate, going 6-4. For the year, the team has played the 6th most difficult schedule. As they get set to host the Hawks, Toronto has a positive home plus-minus of 3.1 points. Overall the Raptors are ranked 15th among NBA teams in point differential (-0.5).

For bettors, taking the Atlanta Hawks to cover the spread has been a winning bet as they have covered in 57.10% of their games. Their season-long plus-minus against the spread is 1.1.

On offense, the team’s leading scorer is PG Fred VanVleet. So far, VanVleet is averaging 21.51 points per game. A key to VanVleet’s success is his ability to knock down the three-point shot, as he is connecting on 3.87 shots from downtown per game at a rate of 39%.

An Eye On Pace

In terms of pace, the Atlanta Hawks come into this game slightly below the league average. On the season, they are averaging 87.2 field goal attempts per game (17th). As for Toronto, they prefer to play a more up-tempo style of basketball, ranking 5th in field goal attempts. Both units are below-average teams in three-point attempts per game.

Key Matchups

Even though the Hawks are below the league average in three-point shots per game, they are the second most efficient team from downtown. A key matchup to watch in this game is how Toronto’s defense will perform against the hot shooting Hawk. On the season, the Raptors rank 24th in three-point shooting percentage allowed.

The Historicals

This game between the Hawks and Raptors will be their second meeting of the season, with Toronto winning game one by a score of 106-100.

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How the Public is Betting the Hawks vs. Raptors

55% are betting the Raptors against the spread.

54% are wagering on the game to go over the posted total of 214.5.

Betting Trends Worth Noting

  • The Hawks are 8-1 ATS in their last nine games overall.
  • The Hawks are 8-1 ATS in their last nine after scoring 100 points or more in their previous game.
  • The Raptors are 4-0 ATS in their last four after scoring 100 points or more in their previous game.
  • The Raptors are 7-1 ATS in their last eight games playing on 0 days rest.

Joe’s Pick to Cover the Spread

Heading into this matchup, both the Hawks and Raptors will be playing on back-to-back nights. In addition, both teams are coming off wins against quality opponents, with Atlanta knocking off the Suns and Toronto taking down the Bulls. Even though the Hawks are on the NBA’s hottest teams, I see them dropping this game as they are in the unenviable position of playing two games in a row while also having to travel. Look for the Raptors to cover the spread. Bet your NBA picks for FREE this weekend by taking advantage of a 100% REAL CASH bonus on your first deposit of $100 to $1000 at Betnow Sportsbook!

Prop Bets Worth Wagering

My favorite prop bet of the night is to take Fred VanVleet to go over his player scoring prop. So far, VanVleet has been one of the NBA’s top three-point shooters. In this matchup, he will have plenty of opportunities vs. a Hawks defense ranked 23rd in opponent shooting percentage.