Brooklyn Nets vs. Miami Heat: Betting Odds, Trends, and Predictions

by | Last updated Nov 2, 2023 | nba

Brooklyn Nets (1-2 SU, 3-0 ATS) vs. Miami Heat (1-3 SU, 1-3 ATS)

When: Wednesday, November 1st, 7:30 PM (ET)

Where: Kaseya Center, FL, Miami

TV: BSSU

Point Spread: Bkn +6/Mia -6 (Have you seen the HUGE NBA teasers offered at Wagerweb?)

Total: 222.5

Money Line: Brooklyn Nets +196/-249

Notable Injuries

Nets

  • Spencer Dinwiddie (Doubtful) Ankle
  • Dennis Smith Jr. (Doubtful) Hip
  • Cameron Johnson (Out) Calf
  • Nicolas Claxton (Out) Ankle
  • Noah Clowney (Out) Not With Team
  • Dariq Whitehead (Out) Not With Team

Heat

  • Jimmy Butler (Questionable) Knee
  • Bam Adebayo (Probable) Hip
  • Haywood Highsmith (Questionable) Knee
  • Caleb Martin (Out) Knee

Recent Form

The Nets’ previous game came against the Hornets, where they emerged victorious with a score of 133-121. This win improved their overall record to 1-2 and they also successfully covered the spread of -1.5, resulting in a perfect 3-0 season ATS record.

The Heat’s previous game came against the Bucks, resulting in a 122-114 loss. With this defeat, their overall season record now stands at 1-3.

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The Historicals

Over the last 5 head to head meetings, the Nets have averaged 112 points per game compared to 102 for Miami. This has led to an ATS record of 3-2 for Brooklyn. The over-under record in these same games is 2-3, with the teams combining for an average of 214 points per game.

Analysis

Brooklyn’s leading scorer was Cam Thomas, who recorded 33 points, closely followed by Mikal Bridges with 24 points.

Brooklyn’s defense is coming off a game where they recorded 4 steals, 36 defensive rebounds, and allowed 121 points on defense. They also had 8 blocked shots and forced 13 turnovers.

Miami’s leading scorer was Tyler Herro, who scored 35 points, 8 rebounds, and 3 assists in the game against the Bucks. He shot 12/21 from the field and 2/5 from three-point range. Duncan Robinson also contributed with 15 points, 1 rebound, and 1 assist, shooting 6/10 from the field and 3/7 from three-point range.

On defense vs. the Bucks, the Heat limited them to 122 points, caused 14 turnovers, and achieved 7 steals. Additionally, they secured 33 defensive rebounds and blocked 2 shots.

Betting Trends

  • Through their last ten road contests, the Nets offense has averaged 114 points per game while allowing an average of 115. Brooklyn posted an overall record of 5-5 while going 6-4 ATS.
  • In their last ten games at home, the Heat have a straight up record of 4-6 while going 6-4 vs. the spread. The team averaged 104 points per game in this stretch.
  • As the betting underdog, the Nets have an ATS mark of just 2-3 in their last five games. Brooklyn posted a straight up mark of 0-5 in these matchups.
  • As the betting favorite, the Heat have an ATS mark of just 4-6 in their last ten games. Miami posted a straight up mark of 7-3 in these matchups.

Joes Pick To Cover The Spread

So far this season, the Nets are perfect vs. the spread and they are getting 6-points today in Miami. Even though the Heat ended up making a late run in their last game vs. the Bucks, they looked bad throughought the game. I’m taking the Nets to keep things closer than expected. I like Brookyn +6.