Brooklyn vs. Golden State Predictions 1/29/22

by | Jan 29, 2022 | nba

Brooklyn Nets (29-19 SU, 18-29-1 ATS) vs. Golden State Warriors (36-13 SU, 27-19-3 ATS)
When: Saturday January 29 2022, 08:30 PM (ET)
Where: Chase Center: San Francisco, California
TV: ABC

Point Spread: BRO 5.5/GSW -5.5 (Opened at -6.5 at BetOnline - 35% crypto reloads!)
Total: 232.0 (Opened at 230.5)
Money Line: Brooklyn +203/Golden State -250
Power Rating: BRO -6.5

Probable Starting Lineups

Nets: PG Kyrie Irving, SG James Harden, SF Kessler Edwards, PF Day’Ron Sharpe, C LaMarcus Aldridge
Warriors: PG Stephen Curry, SG Klay Thompson, SF Andrew Wiggins, PF Jonathan Kuminga, C Kevon Looney

Recent Form

The Brooklyn Nets enter today’s game, having lost three straight games.
This streak is part of a larger trend of winning just 4 of their past 10. As the road team, the Nets travel to Golden State with a positive plus-minus of rating 5.6 points. Overall, the Nets are ranked 11th among NBA teams in point differential (4.8). Among NBA teams, they have played the 28th toughest schedule.

For bettors, taking the Brooklyn Nets to cover the spread has been a losing bet as they have covered the spread in just 38.30% of their games. Their season-long plus-minus against the spread is -2.3.

Coming into the game, Brooklyn will look to knock off the Warriors despite not having their leading scorer in Kevin Durant. So far, Durant is averaging 29.25 points per game, good for the top spot among NBA small forwards. However, because it is a road contest, they will have Kyrie Irving to go along with James Harden, each averaging 23 points per game.

The Golden State Warriors enter today’s game, having won 4 straight games. In their past ten contests, the Warriors have played at an above .500 rate, going 6-4. As they get set to host the Nets, Golden State has a positive home plus-minus of 13.4 points. Overall, the Warriors are the NBA’s top-ranked team in point differential (0.9).

For bettors, taking the Warriors to cover the spread has been a winning bet as they have covered the spread in 58.70% of their games. Their season-long plus-minus against the spread is 3.0.

On offense, the team’s leading scorer is PG Stephen Curry. So far, Curry is averaging 25.84 points per game while knocking down 38% of his three-point shots. Behind him is Andrew Wiggins at 18 points per contest. However, the team is still without Draymond Green, who provides Golden State with rebounding and strong defense.

An Eye On Pace

Coming into this game, the Brooklyn Nets are the 11th ranked team in field goal attempts per game, while Golden State comes ranked 22nd. However, even though the Warriors tend to play at a slower pace, their 40 three-point attempts per game place them 3rd among NBA teams. On the other side, the Nets have been more selective with their looks from deep as they rank 26th.

Key Matchups

A key matchup to watch in this game is if the scoring James Harden and Kyrie Irving will be enough to overcome some of the team’s disadvantages. Throughout the season, the Warriors have been one of the best defensive units in the NBA, holding teams to just 32% shooting from downtown (1st). This focus on locking down the three-point line has not come at the expense of their interior defense as they are the 4th ranked team in points in the paint allowed per game.

The Historicals

Tonight’s matchup between the Nets and Warriors will be their second meeting of the year. In the first match, Golden State picked up the 117-99 win.

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How the Public is betting the Nets vs Warriors

57% are betting the Warriors against the spread.
62% are wagering on the game to go Under the posted total of 230.5

Betting Trends Worth Noting

  • Nets are 4-11-1 ATS in their last 16 games overall.
  • Nets are 4-11-1 ATS in their last 16 after allowing 100 points or more in their previous game.
  • Warriors are 19-6-1 ATS in their last 26 home games vs. a team with a winning road record.
  • Warriors are 35-17-2 ATS in their last 54 home games.

Joe’s Pick To Cover The Spread

After leading the Western Conference for much of the season, the Golden State Warriors went through a small rough patch that dropped them behind the Phoenix Suns. However, they appear to have regained their early season form, winning four straight games. Brooklyn will look to pull off the upset by relying heavily on Kyrie Irving and James Harden. However, Golden State plays team basketball and anyone in the NBA. Look for the Warriors to cover the 6.5 point spread.

Prop Bets Worth Wagering

In this game, I have Kyrie Irving falling below his over-under prop of 24.5 points. In his seven games, he has surpassed this line just three times and is going against one of the top defensive units in the NBA. Bet your NBA picks for FREE this weekend by taking advantage of a 100% REAL CASH bonus on your first deposit of $100 to $300 at MyBookie Sportsbook! (Must use bonus code PREDICT100).