Bucks vs. Cavs Point Spread Pick 12/21/22

by | Dec 21, 2022 | nba

Milwaukee Bucks (22-8 SU, 17-11-2 ATS) vs. Cleveland Cavaliers (21-11 SU, 18-13-1 ATS)

When: Wednesday, December 21st, 7:00 PM (ET)

Where: Rocket Mortgage FieldHouse, OH, Cleveland

TV: BSOH

Point Spread: MIL +2/ CLE -2 (Bet your games at -105 odds instead of -110! Find this awesome money saving offer that will save you THOUSANDS (and it costs you nothing!) at BAS Sportsbook!)

Total: 216.5

Money Line: Milwaukee Bucks +108/ -130

Notable Injuries

Bucks

  • Khris Middleton (Doubtful) Knee

Cavaliers

  • Ricky Rubio (Out) Knee
  • Dylan Windler (Out) Ankle
  • Dean Wade (Out) Shoulder
  • Lamar Stevens (Doubtful) Knee

Recent Form

Heading into the game, Milwaukee is 22-8 overall. When taking to the road, Milwaukee has a mark of 8-5 and a win percentage of 62%. Currently, the team is 1st in the Eastern Conference. So far, they are 17-11-2 vs. the spread. In their matchup against Cleveland, the Milwaukee Bucks have won 2 straight games and will look to push that mark to 3 in a row.

After their win against the Pelicans, Milwaukee will be looking to continue their momentum. Giannis Antetokounmpo had a big game, scoring 42 points to help lead the team to victory.

Heading into the game, Cleveland is 21-11 overall. When playing at home, Cleveland has a mark of 15-2 and a win percentage of 88%. Currently, the team is 3rd in the Eastern Conference. So far, they are 18-13-1 vs. the spread. Cleveland will look to stay hot in today’s game vs. Milwaukee as they are the winners of 4 straight games.

In their last game, Cleveland defeated the Jazz (122-99) as 6-point favorites. Donovan Mitchell led the team with 23 points on 66.7% shooting. The Cavaliers also covered the spread with the victory.

The Historicals

In the most recent matchup between the two teams, the Bucks picked up the 113-98 win over the Cavaliers. The Bucks margin of victory was enough to cover the spread as 2.0 point favorite. So far this season, the Bucks have a record of 2-0 vs. the Cavaliers. Over the last five head-to-head meetings, the Cavaliers have averaged 113 points per game compared to 106 for Milwaukee. This has led to an ATS record of 3-2 for Cleveland. Over the course of these games, they averaged 219 points per game, leading a 2-3 over-under record.

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Analysis

This year, the Milwaukee offense is not only near the NBA average in points at 113.1 points per game, but they are also playing at a pace similar to the league average. So far, the Bucks are ranked 17th in possessions per contest. The three-point shot has been a big part of Milwaukee’s offensive game plan, as they are ranked 6th in 3-point attempts per game. So far, they have connected on 35.1% of their looks from the outside. On defense, the Bucks are allowing an average of 112.13 points per game, placing them 19th in the league. So far, opposing teams are hitting 35.73% of their looks from deep vs. Milwaukee.

Giannis Antetokounmpo is the top scorer for the Bucks, with an average of 31.0 points per game. This season, his field goal percentage is 53.3%. Jrue Holiday is the team’s second-leading scorer, averaging 19.2 points per game.

This season, Cleveland is averaging just 110.9 points per game, which places them 23rd in the league. A major reason for these low numbers is the fact that they play at one of the slower paces in the NBA at just 96.4 possessions per game. Cleveland heads into the game as one of the top 3-point shooting teams in terms of percentage. So far, they have hit 36.9% of their looks from deep. However, they are currently ranked just 23rd in 3-point attempts per contest. Defensively, the Cavaliers have been one of the best units in the NBA, allowing just 105.67 points per game. So far, they have allowed a 3-point shooting percentage of 35.29%, placing them 16th in the NBA.

Going into today’s game, Donovan Mitchell is the leading scorer for the Cleveland team with an average of 29.2 points per game. This season, his field goal percentage is 50.5%. The team’s second top scorer is Darius Garland, who is averaging 20.7 points per game.

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Betting Trends

  • Bucks are 6-1-2 ATS in their last nine games vs. a team with a winning straight-up record.
  • Bucks are 2-5-2 ATS in their last nine games following an ATS win.
  • Cavaliers are 6-1 ATS in their last seven games vs. a team with a winning % above .600.
  • Cavaliers are 17-3-1 ATS in their last 21 home games vs. a team with a winning road record.

Joes Pick To Cover The Spread

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