Bucks vs. Jazz Odds & Prediction ATS

by | Last updated Mar 14, 2022 | nba

Milwaukee Bucks (42-26 SU, 31-37-0 ATS) vs. Utah Jazz (42-25 SU, 28-37-2 ATS)
When: Monday March 14 2022, 10:00 PM (ET)
Where: Vivint Smart Home Arena, Salt Lake City, Utah

Point Spread: MIL -1.5/UTA +1.5 (Opened MIL -2 at BetOnline)
Total: 235 (Opened at 235.5)
Money Line: Milwaukee -128/Utah +108
Power Rating: MIL -2

Probable Starting Lineups

Milwaukee Bucks PG Jrue Holiday, SG Grayson Allen, SF Khris Middleton, PF Giannis Antetokounmpo, C Bobby Portis
Utah Jazz PG Mike Conley IN, SG Donovan Mitchell, SF Bojan Bogdanovic, PF Royce O’Neale, C Rudy Gobert Q

Key Injuries

Milwaukee Bucks Brook Lopez: Back (PROBABLE) DeAndre’ Bembry: Knee (OUT) Lindell Wigginton: Ankle (QUESTIONABLE) George Hill: Neck (OUT) Pat Connaughton: Finger (OUT)

Utah Jazz Udoka Azubuike: Ankle (QUESTIONABLE) Rudy Gobert: Foot (QUESTIONABLE) Trent Forrest: Wrist (QUESTIONABLE)

The Utah Jazz host the Milwaukee Bucks in a Non-Conference matchup. Tip-off is set for 10:00 PM ET at the Vivint Smart Home Arena.

Recent Form

The Milwaukee Bucks come into this game with an overall record of 42-26, placing them 3rd in the Eastern Conference. So far, Milwaukee is above .500 on the road, holding a record of 18-14. Over their last five games, the Bucks have played well, picking up 4 wins. During this stretch, Milwaukee is averaging 125.0 points per game, 10.0 points more than their season average of 114.5. This uptick in offensive play has come while playing a group of opponents who are collectively giving up 109.0 points per contest. Even though Milwaukee has been picking up wins, their opponents have had no trouble scoring the ball, averaging 117.0 points per game, up from the Bucks’ usual rate of 110.7. In the Milwaukee Bucks’ most recent game, the team fell to Golden State by a score of 122-109.

The Utah Jazz come into this game with an overall record of 42-25, placing them 4th in the Western Conference. So far, Utah is above .500 at home, holding a record of 24-10. The Jazz have played well over their last five games, picking up 3 wins. In this stretch, Utah’s offense is scoring right in line with their season average, putting up 116.0 points per game. Combined, the Jazz’s last five opponents are giving up 111.0 points per contest. The Jazz have been picking up victories while holding opponents to an average of 106.0 points per game, similar to their season average of 107.5. In the Utah Jazz’ most recent game, Utah took down Sacramento by a score of 134-125.

Reduced Juice Sportsbook

BAS Sportsbook
BET AT -105

Individual Player Analysis

As Milwaukee travels to take on the Utah Jazz, the Bucks’ leading scorer is Giannis Antetokounmpo. Through 56 games, Antetokounmpo is averaging 29 points. On the season, he has surpassed his season average in 46.0% of his games. So far, the Jazz are allowing their opponent’s top scorer to surpass their season average in 50.0% of their games, placing them 18th among NBA defenses. On the other side, Donovan Mitchell leads the Jazz in scoring, averaging 25 points across his 53 games. Throughout the season, Mitchell has outscored his season average in 57.0% of his outings. Given that Milwaukee’s defense has struggled to slow down their opponent’s top scorers, Donovan Mitchell should be in line for a big performance. So far, the Bucks have allowed their opponent’s top scorer to surpass their season average in 53.45% of their games, giving them a rank of 24th among NBA defenses.

Matchup Analysis

Heading into this matchup, the Utah Jazz are the more efficient team on both ends of the court. This scenario has taken place in 22 of Utah’s 63 games, leading to a winning percentage of 77%. On the other side, today’s game will be the first time that the Milwaukee Bucks are the inferior unit on offense and defense.

The Historicals

Heading into today’s matchup, the Milwaukee Bucks and Utah Jazz have met up for 1 game. Utah took game one by a score of 107-95.

How the Public is Betting the Bucks vs Jazz

67% are betting the Jazz against the spread.
52% are wagering on the game to go over the posted total of No Odds

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Betting Trends Worth Noting

  • Bucks are 5-1 ATS in their last 6 games as a road favorite.
  • Bucks are 4-1 ATS in their last 5 games overall.
  • Jazz are 6-2 ATS in their last 8 games as a home underdog.
  • Jazz are 6-1-1 ATS in their last 8 home games.

Joe’s Pick to Cover the Spread

The Milwaukee Bucks continue their Western Conference road-trip after dropping their weekend showcase to the Golden State Warriors. However, the team will be looking forward to the return of Brook Lopez to the lineup, after sitting out nearly the entire season with a back injury. Keep an eye on the injury report leading up to the game, as Rudy Gobert is questionable with a foot injury. If Gobert plays, I like the Jazz to pick up the win and cover the spread. Over the year, Milwaukee has struggled in their trips to Utah, look for this to happen again.


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